Defenseless-Badger — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$13.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-11 20:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

51% 0% $-2

Sports

25% 0% $-1

Crypto

17% — —

Politics

7% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	8	$1.4K	706	706	+0	open	—	03-29 14:48
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$1.1K	582	582	+0	No	$-1	03-31 14:28
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	11	$1.1K	559	559	+0	open	—	03-18 01:00
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	7	$717	379	379	+0	Yes	$-1	03-17 16:11
will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	4	$708	364	364	+0	open	—	03-19 13:15
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	4	$643	345	345	+0	open	—	04-27 07:54
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	4	$456	239	239	+0	open	—	04-09 01:59
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$373	191	191	+0	No	$-0	03-10 15:09
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$372	197	197	+0	open	—	03-11 14:31
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$370	199	199	+0	open	—	03-14 19:49
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$367	190	190	+0	open	—	03-16 03:16
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	2	$363	190	190	+0	open	—	03-13 11:41
will florida win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$358	198	198	+0	open	—	03-19 01:09
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	8	$355	186	186	+0	open	—	03-20 19:33
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$344	178	178	+0	open	—	03-18 18:35
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$342	182	182	+0	open	—	03-21 16:49
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	2	$340	175	175	+0	open	—	03-23 06:30
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	2	$339	175	175	+0	open	—	03-28 19:01
Netanyahu out by April 30?	2	$336	175	175	+0	open	—	03-25 14:02
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	2	$325	171	171	+0	open	—	03-29 23:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	6	$290	155	155	+0	open	—	05-22 06:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	4	$209	115	115	+0	open	—	05-29 22:59
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	4	$200	106	106	+0	open	—	06-10 19:10
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	2	$134	72	72	+0	open	—	06-02 15:26
Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	2	$128	69	69	+0	open	—	06-05 16:47
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	2	$115	59	59	+0	open	—	04-27 19:34
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$106	54	54	+0	No	$-0	04-22 09:40
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	2	$100	52	52	+0	open	—	04-08 13:41
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	2	$98	51	51	+0	open	—	04-07 13:29
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	2	$98	51	51	+0	open	—	04-15 00:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 20:52:36	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	SELL	30	91¢	$27	0x650827…
06-11 14:47:00	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xabffc9…
06-11 14:12:16	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xc1222f…
06-11 08:05:13	Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x3f0798…
06-11 07:32:21	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	SELL	45	98¢	$44	0x61ff4e…
06-11 02:24:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x33ecbb…
06-11 02:21:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x960eb4…
06-10 19:10:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	49	96¢	$47	0x723539…
06-10 11:08:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	49	96¢	$47	0x308a52…
06-07 09:28:49	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xe2850e…
06-07 03:25:58	will switzerland reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149714	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x54da39…
06-06 11:34:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	57	92¢	$53	0xd20cd0…
06-06 03:29:52	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	57	93¢	$53	0x915536…
06-05 16:47:18	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	69	93¢	$64	0x5cb6c6…
06-05 08:41:21	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	69	94¢	$64	0xf4a089…
06-04 20:52:03	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	No	SELL	53	88¢	$46	0x1bd267…
06-04 14:47:52	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	No	BUY	13	93¢	$12	0x8595ca…
06-04 14:47:51	will mexico reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149709	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0xd4433e…
06-04 00:52:54	mlb sd phi 2026 06 03 spread away 3pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	62	42¢	$26	0x97455c…
06-03 16:49:58	Spread: San Diego Padres (-3.5)	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	62	91¢	$56	0x6730fa…
06-03 01:45:50	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x8b918b…
06-02 20:41:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xdd5f9e…
06-02 15:26:13	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	72	93¢	$67	0x738e1d…
06-02 07:21:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	72	93¢	$67	0x501630…
05-29 22:59:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	93¢	$62	0x5a3c7f…
05-29 03:47:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	66	90¢	$60	0x39fb65…
05-22 06:20:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	52	95¢	$50	0x34c615…
05-22 00:14:20	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x609df6…
05-21 10:20:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	48	94¢	$45	0x6e1380…
05-21 02:18:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0xbce335…
05-19 07:10:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	55	91¢	$50	0xdc028e…
05-19 03:07:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	55	92¢	$50	0xc810b4…
05-16 08:51:46	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$45	0x923b00…
05-16 01:44:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0x8803d9…
05-15 20:59:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	49	88¢	$43	0x54b3ae…
05-15 16:55:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	49	91¢	$45	0x96c31a…
04-27 19:34:22	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0x1361a2…
04-27 15:32:52	Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0x49cb99…
04-27 07:54:44	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	169	92¢	$156	0x5501e7…
04-27 03:45:02	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	169	93¢	$156	0xe7e7e6…
04-22 09:40:38	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	54	97¢	$53	0x351f85…
04-22 03:34:28	Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x3ea153…
04-21 13:13:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	43	93¢	$40	0x359ed0…
04-21 09:04:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	BUY	43	94¢	$41	0xb7ae30…
04-15 00:15:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	SELL	51	97¢	$49	0xbe0418…
04-14 06:45:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?	No	BUY	51	95¢	$49	0x844f59…
04-13 06:13:57	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0xf999bd…
04-12 23:34:53	Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x2773b0…
04-11 13:34:53	will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	51	95¢	$49	0xb33d4a…
04-11 05:45:25	will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	51	95¢	$49	0xb597ee…
04-10 11:13:59	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	47	95¢	$44	0xb3f627…
04-10 02:35:33	Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	47	96¢	$45	0x4f756a…
04-09 01:59:57	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	47	97¢	$45	0x4a10fa…
04-08 18:38:27	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0xabce84…
04-08 13:41:03	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	FC Barcelona	SELL	52	94¢	$49	0x4abf86…
04-08 07:30:27	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 spread away 2pt5	FC Barcelona	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0xe2a6fe…
04-07 13:29:19	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	51	95¢	$49	0x902301…
04-01 05:27:37	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xdb724d…
03-31 20:35:05	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x546c09…
03-31 16:26:57	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0x927e29…
03-31 14:28:11	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0x647141…
03-31 06:20:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	59	97¢	$57	0xf624a3…
03-29 23:28:44	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	SELL	171	94¢	$161	0x7824da…
03-29 17:02:14	will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	No	BUY	171	96¢	$165	0xc27b47…
03-29 14:48:32	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	179	97¢	$173	0x9b47ba…
03-29 06:03:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	179	97¢	$173	0xeafead…
03-29 03:50:46	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	172	97¢	$166	0xcdfc88…
03-28 21:37:38	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x3f167a…
03-28 21:37:34	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	122	97¢	$118	0x01a61d…
03-28 19:01:12	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	175	97¢	$170	0xc34e5c…
03-28 11:20:19	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	175	96¢	$169	0xe49f39…
03-27 22:57:39	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	177	94¢	$165	0xb19ddb…
03-27 14:56:07	Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	177	94¢	$166	0x0b754a…
03-27 12:35:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	170	96¢	$163	0xab7ae8…
03-27 06:11:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	170	96¢	$163	0xc59ac7…
03-27 05:35:17	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x1328f2…
03-26 23:11:51	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x8ffa9b…
03-26 12:41:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	172	96¢	$165	0x38713a…
03-26 07:00:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	172	96¢	$165	0xe89c84…
03-25 20:17:29	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	176	97¢	$170	0x7122e4…
03-25 14:08:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	176	97¢	$170	0xc200f6…
03-25 14:02:47	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	SELL	175	96¢	$168	0xc04c58…
03-25 09:53:47	Netanyahu out by April 30?	No	BUY	175	96¢	$168	0xf3e849…
03-23 06:30:41	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	175	97¢	$170	0xedb1d1…
03-22 22:57:47	Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	175	98¢	$170	0x4e49ce…
03-22 21:53:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	185	94¢	$174	0x536ae0…
03-22 15:52:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	185	95¢	$175	0xa04dc7…
03-21 16:49:03	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	182	94¢	$170	0x63b611…
03-21 10:43:51	will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	182	94¢	$172	0x0df5db…
03-21 05:38:43	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	175	96¢	$169	0x66a3ad…
03-20 20:35:03	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	175	97¢	$169	0x3de5ff…
03-20 19:33:05	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	SELL	186	96¢	$178	0x85f029…
03-20 12:47:11	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	36	95¢	$34	0x3ae0d5…
03-20 12:34:53	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x822da7…
03-20 12:34:17	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	29	96¢	$27	0x4a4ac1…
03-20 12:30:57	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x01b5cc…
03-20 12:30:15	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0xbf310e…
03-20 12:27:53	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	27	96¢	$25	0x47d89e…
03-20 12:17:41	will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xbf83ff…
03-19 13:15:19	will bitcoin dip to 50k in march 2026	No	SELL	187	96¢	$180	0x056df3…