Stable-Ale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$45

Unrealized P&L

+$69

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.13K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$149

2 positions

First seen

2026-02-18

last 06-11 20:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

55% 0% $-45

Other

44% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+143	$60	99¢	$141	+$81	05-28 19:56
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes		+100	$20	7¢	$7	$-13	05-31 19:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$300	417	0	+417	open	—	05-31 12:30
will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	5	$252	133	133	+0	open	—	06-10 07:21
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	5	$231	245	0	+245	open	—	06-10 22:28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$210	215	0	+215	open	—	05-31 12:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$200	233	0	+233	open	—	06-10 20:59
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	4	$141	174	0	+174	open	—	06-11 20:58
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	2	$130	154	0	+154	open	—	06-10 21:11
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	9	$111	1,103	0	+1,103	open	—	06-08 21:51
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$85	100	0	+100	open	—	06-10 22:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	1	$60	143	0	+143	open	—	05-28 19:56
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$45	50	0	+50	open	—	06-10 22:30
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	2	$45	767	767	+0	open	—	06-08 21:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$35	43	0	+43	Yes	$-35	03-10 10:06
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	2	$34	59	0	+59	open	—	06-01 19:02
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	1	$22	30	0	+30	open	—	06-03 21:47
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	1	$20	100	0	+100	open	—	05-31 19:58
will trump visit china by march 31	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	03-04 17:04
Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	2	$19	68	0	+68	open	—	06-05 11:45
will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 11 20260607232624535	1	$17	27	0	+27	open	—	06-08 14:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$15	32	0	+32	open	—	05-04 07:27
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$15	23	0	+23	open	—	04-03 08:16
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	06-01 22:36
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	03-06 19:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$10	17	0	+17	Yes	$-10	03-10 10:05
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	06-11 20:59
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	02-22 11:22
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-03 08:16
Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	2	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	06-10 22:49
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$8	0	8	-8	open	—	06-11 20:22
bitcoin above 68k on february 25	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	02-25 16:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 20:59:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x78650b…
06-11 20:58:21	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by june 30 2026	No	BUY	15	82¢	$12	0x40e7ab…
06-11 20:22:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x16ab4c…
06-11 20:21:39	Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf5f923…
06-10 22:49:22	Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf13151…
06-10 22:47:40	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xd28c47…
06-10 22:43:40	Will any country join the Board of Peace by June 30?	No	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xa5922a…
06-10 22:30:33	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	33	90¢	$30	0xe959a3…
06-10 22:29:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	17	90¢	$15	0x168e6b…
06-10 22:28:01	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$51	0x8645d8…
06-10 22:26:16	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	48	97¢	$46	0xc9cf16…
06-10 21:11:03	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	119	84¢	$100	0xfe99bf…
06-10 20:59:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	233	86¢	$200	0x699351…
06-10 07:21:25	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0xc91b14…
06-09 20:57:04	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xae0588…
06-09 20:56:16	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xa11445…
06-09 20:35:27	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	110	89¢	$98	0x5e40e3…
06-09 20:35:16	will iran close its airspace by june 9 20260609184136047	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x54ee37…
06-08 21:51:30	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	55	15¢	$8	0xc04b6d…
06-08 21:50:06	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x070a1f…
06-08 21:49:57	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xe078d4…
06-08 21:49:43	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	80	14¢	$11	0x95e33c…
06-08 21:49:34	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	107	13¢	$14	0x47808e…
06-08 21:49:33	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd9c4ea…
06-08 21:49:28	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x881f67…
06-08 21:49:03	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	236	11¢	$25	0x0b3bbb…
06-08 21:48:52	Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	576	8¢	$46	0xd478aa…
06-08 21:43:10	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	Yes	SELL	767	3¢	$24	0x8ca983…
06-08 14:40:12	will any flight depart from imam khomeini international airport by june 11 20260607232624535	Yes	BUY	27	63¢	$17	0x58c5c8…
06-05 11:45:46	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	30¢	$9	0xf3ccc9…
06-03 21:47:39	will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	No	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xbc339b…
06-02 07:03:35	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0x9f66e4…
06-01 22:36:49	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x0ef86f…
06-01 20:24:29	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0xe033d5…
06-01 19:02:19	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9	39¢	$4	0x99c375…
06-01 18:59:07	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	61¢	$30	0x6e2d01…
06-01 18:58:18	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	29	72¢	$21	0x25e517…
06-01 18:58:11	Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	74¢	$23	0x10f17d…
06-01 18:50:41	Another critical Cloudflare incident by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x036a8f…
06-01 18:31:07	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	65	92¢	$60	0x04d8b8…
06-01 18:30:23	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	74	92¢	$68	0x40df86…
06-01 18:27:47	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0x0202ae…
05-31 19:58:38	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x268bf4…
05-31 19:57:35	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	Yes	BUY	767	3¢	$21	0xf14c3f…
05-31 12:32:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	203	98¢	$200	0x7ad3f8…
05-31 12:30:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	417	72¢	$300	0xc1bf10…
05-28 19:56:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	143	42¢	$60	0x4078ea…
05-04 07:27:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0xe23580…
05-04 07:27:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x27a523…
04-18 09:25:22	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xa228b2…
04-18 09:24:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x1e0c64…
04-03 08:16:35	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x3e6905…
04-03 08:16:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	23	66¢	$15	0x21d14d…
03-10 10:06:01	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	37	82¢	$30	0xbc421e…
03-10 10:05:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x39f4d7…
03-06 19:40:15	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xf31f20…
03-05 10:17:39	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xa7b925…
03-04 17:04:19	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0xc2b746…
03-03 11:35:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xe483d8…
02-25 16:15:46	bitcoin above 68k on february 25	No	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x52497a…
02-24 20:56:52	will jd vance clap fewer than 20 times during the state of the union	Yes	SELL	55	3¢	$2	0xe38e8f…
02-24 14:14:06	will jd vance clap fewer than 20 times during the state of the union	Yes	BUY	73	1¢	$1	0x6b63e0…
02-23 00:38:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x7d4930…
02-22 11:22:14	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x143200…
02-20 13:01:18	btc updown 5m 1771592400	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xad50cb…
02-19 21:35:18	btc updown 5m 1771536600	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x7ac835…
02-19 21:31:58	btc updown 5m 1771536600	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xbbc5cb…
02-19 15:35:40	btc updown 5m 1771515300	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3a9fc9…
02-19 14:01:42	btc updown 5m 1771509600	Up	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x16ce66…
02-19 14:00:20	btc updown 5m 1771509600	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa4f4c1…
02-18 16:37:50	btc updown 5m 1771432500	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x217e79…
02-18 16:32:24	btc updown 5m 1771432200	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x61409e…
02-18 13:52:00	btc updown 5m 1771422600	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0xbfb342…
02-18 13:50:42	btc updown 5m 1771422600	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xa1f7eb…