Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 SD-AL House election by 20%-25%?
open
Total volume
$6,405
$50 in 24h
Trades
401
Unique wallets
91
Liquidity
$165
End date
2026-11-04
First seen
2026-08-12
last 11-04 14:24
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-24.0¢
(top1%: 4% YES on $457
vs crowd: 28% YES on $4.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 33 | $534 | $2.1K | $1.5K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 37 | $552 | $738 | $186 |
| 🐟 Fish | 16 | $187 | $403 | $216 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $3 | $53 | $50 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 16 | $19 | $439 | $420 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $13 | $11 | +$3 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $76 | $24 | +$52 |
| Below median | 5 | $151 | $256 | $106 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $64 | $116 | $52 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 17 | $124 | $431 | $307 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 37 | $829 | $2.0K | $1.1K |
| unranked | 1 | — | $40 | $40 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +612 | $190 | $190 | 23 | 11-02 16:30 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +476 | $338 | $338 | 15 | 10-30 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x9472…f660 | Yes | +455 | $244 | $244 | 5 | 10-20 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | +339 | $136 | $139 | 11 | 10-30 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | +336 | $206 | $206 | 10 | 10-30 12:01 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +205 | $82 | $82 | 2 | 10-20 15:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | +158 | $50 | $50 | 10 | 10-30 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | +158 | $112 | $141 | 12 | 10-30 13:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | +151 | $62 | $62 | 2 | 10-26 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x4959…a6f5 | No | +150 | $90 | $90 | 2 | 10-26 14:05 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | +120 | $72 | $78 | 2 | 10-28 19:04 |
| Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | Yes | +120 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 10-26 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | +106 | $67 | $67 | 5 | 10-29 23:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | +100 | $39 | $39 | 4 | 10-29 23:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | +100 | $62 | $62 | 4 | 10-29 23:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | +98 | $32 | $32 | 6 | 10-30 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | +98 | $67 | $71 | 10 | 10-30 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | +79 | $52 | $105 | 11 | 10-30 13:35 |
| (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | +79 | $28 | $28 | 6 | 10-29 23:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | +60 | $31 | $31 | 4 | 10-27 21:21 |
| Admirable-Trust 0xfbd8…4027 | No | +53 | $46 | $46 | 3 | 09-19 20:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | Yes | +40 | $16 | $16 | 3 | 10-20 18:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xbc42…790f | No | +40 | $24 | $26 | 4 | 10-20 18:25 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +40 | $28 | $77 | 5 | 11-02 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x8268…e7fd | No | +40 | $26 | $26 | 3 | 10-27 16:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x8268…e7fd | Yes | +40 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 10-27 16:17 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +40 | $18 | $18 | 2 | 10-26 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | +39 | $24 | $24 | 1 | 10-29 23:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | +35 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 10-29 08:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xfec3…7f04 | No | +34 | $16 | $64 | 3 | 10-26 00:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | +32 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-30 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | +32 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 10-30 09:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x4629…f3b1 | Yes | +30 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-20 18:57 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 11-04 14:23 |
| (anonymous) 0xe40a…e4a2 | No | +26 | $26 | $26 | 2 | 08-25 21:44 |
| (anonymous) 0xe503…22b1 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-07 01:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xe503…22b1 | No | +25 | $22 | $22 | 2 | 09-06 21:05 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +24 | $8 | $36 | 8 | 10-31 01:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x38cf…d885 | Yes | +23 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 10-20 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | No | +22 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-29 23:46 |
| Powerful-Waste 0x8fe7…6c1f | No | +22 | $19 | $19 | 2 | 09-19 16:46 |
| This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | +21 | $9 | $9 | 2 | 11-03 06:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | No | +20 | $14 | $58 | 3 | 10-25 10:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | +20 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 10-28 22:29 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-04 14:24 |
| (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | Yes | +20 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-29 23:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 10-26 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x625b…22cf | Yes | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 10-06 18:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x29ed…a8da | Yes | +20 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 10-20 18:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x1491…fd70 | No | +20 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 10-07 13:59 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | No | +20 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 09-19 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x2db2…de50 | No | +20 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 11-04 14:24 |
| Kaleidoscopic-Outhouse 0xe457…5ab3 | No | +20 | $18 | $53 | 3 | 09-19 16:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5be…18e1 | Yes | +19 | $8 | $9 | 2 | 10-26 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xd5be…18e1 | No | +19 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 10-26 14:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 10-27 21:21 |
| Stable-Ale 0xf56e…f316 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-19 20:59 |
| Fuzzy-Draft 0xfe93…8d0e | Yes | +3 | -$1 | $8 | 2 | 09-19 21:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-04 14:24:19 | (anonymous) 0x2db2…de50 | No | BUY | 20 | 93¢ | $19 | 0xa23956… |
| 11-04 14:24:19 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 7¢ | $1 | 0xa23956… |
| 11-04 14:23:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xe01eef… |
| 11-04 14:23:19 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 93¢ | $28 | 0xe01eef… |
| 11-03 06:48:48 | Bold-Health 0x8728…0882 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0xbbdf37… |
| 11-03 06:48:48 | This-Wiretap 0xac7a…414f | Yes | BUY | 1 | 33¢ | $0 | 0xbbdf37… |
| 11-03 03:00:04 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 30 | 63¢ | $19 | 0x223299… |
| 11-03 03:00:04 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | No | SELL | 34 | 63¢ | $22 | 0x223299… |
| 11-03 03:00:04 | (anonymous) 0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | BUY | 4 | 63¢ | $3 | 0x223299… |
| 11-02 16:30:16 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x8fdfd3… |
| 11-02 16:30:16 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 64¢ | $13 | 0x8fdfd3… |
| 10-31 01:18:00 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x6a22f6… |
| 10-31 01:18:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x6a22f6… |
| 10-30 13:35:27 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | SELL | 0 | 63¢ | $0 | 0x9bef3a… |
| 10-30 13:35:27 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 0 | 63¢ | $0 | 0x9bef3a… |
| 10-30 12:01:40 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x4a7260… |
| 10-30 12:01:40 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x424318… |
| 10-30 12:01:40 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 8 | 64¢ | $5 | 0x2b3eb5… |
| 10-30 12:01:40 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | BUY | 8 | 65¢ | $5 | 0x4a7260… |
| 10-30 12:01:40 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x424318… |
| 10-30 12:01:40 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0x2b3eb5… |
| 10-30 12:01:39 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | SELL | 52 | 36¢ | $19 | 0xcdfefb… |
| 10-30 12:01:39 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 22 | 64¢ | $14 | 0xcdfefb… |
| 10-30 12:01:39 | (anonymous) 0xfe46…6133 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 36¢ | $3 | 0xcdfefb… |
| 10-30 09:46:22 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0xbf2af7… |
| 10-30 09:46:22 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 38¢ | $12 | 0x3bfade… |
| 10-30 09:46:22 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 32 | 62¢ | $20 | 0x3bfade… |
| 10-30 09:46:22 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | BUY | 32 | 37¢ | $12 | 0x9717e3… |
| 10-30 09:46:22 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0xc6f7b3… |
| 10-30 09:46:22 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | BUY | 22 | 62¢ | $14 | 0xc6f7b3… |
| 10-30 09:46:22 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $13 | 0x5ab37e… |
| 10-30 09:46:22 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 38¢ | $1 | 0xc6f7b3… |
| 10-30 09:46:22 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 38¢ | $8 | 0x5ab37e… |
| 10-30 09:46:22 | (anonymous) 0xeed8…35f0 | No | BUY | 32 | 63¢ | $20 | 0x9717e3… |
| 10-30 09:46:22 | Infatuated-Nun 0xe8fc…0d3b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xbf2af7… |
| 10-29 23:46:09 | Stable-Administration 0x2f54…252c | Yes | SELL | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xbf86e6… |
| 10-29 23:46:09 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xbf86e6… |
| 10-29 23:46:03 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xfe206c… |
| 10-29 23:46:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xfe206c… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | Stable-Administration 0x2f54…252c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0xba0dbf… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 37¢ | $6 | 0x5ff91a… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x84ca66… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x48b4b5… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 15 | 63¢ | $9 | 0x5ff91a… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x8bac…5b0e | No | SELL | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x1fcc9f… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | Decisive-Ephyra 0x9efd…ad00 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 37¢ | $1 | 0xba0dbf… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | Yes | BUY | 20 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x7d27ba… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 36¢ | $7 | 0xa347c7… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0xa1b1…6a83 | No | BUY | 22 | 63¢ | $14 | 0xba0dbf… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x1387…55f8 | No | BUY | 35 | 63¢ | $22 | 0x7d27ba… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x4f55e5… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x1f5f…50fa | No | BUY | 39 | 63¢ | $24 | 0x1fcc9f… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 37¢ | $7 | 0x1fcc9f… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 36¢ | $5 | 0xba8939… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 19 | 64¢ | $12 | 0xa347c7… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | BUY | 15 | 64¢ | $10 | 0xba8939… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 37¢ | $6 | 0x7d27ba… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x54ba…4b30 | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x48b4b5… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | BUY | 19 | 63¢ | $12 | 0x4f55e5… |
| 10-29 23:46:01 | (anonymous) 0x98a8…a47b | No | BUY | 20 | 63¢ | $13 | 0x84ca66… |
| 10-29 08:19:26 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | BUY | 15 | 64¢ | $9 | 0x5f1843… |
| 10-29 08:19:26 | Defensive-Cohesion 0xa264…3b18 | No | BUY | 15 | 64¢ | $10 | 0x8def10… |
| 10-29 08:19:26 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 36¢ | $5 | 0x8def10… |
| 10-29 08:19:26 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 36¢ | $5 | 0x5f1843… |
| 10-28 22:29:19 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | BUY | 0 | 62¢ | $0 | 0xa1c718… |
| 10-28 22:29:19 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | No | SELL | 0 | 62¢ | $0 | 0xa1c718… |
| 10-28 19:04:34 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | SELL | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xc37f1a… |
| 10-28 19:04:34 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0xc37f1a… |
| 10-27 21:21:17 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0xa55693… |
| 10-27 21:21:17 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | No | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0xa55693… |
| 10-27 21:21:15 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0xec2a18… |
| 10-27 21:21:15 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | No | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x88e555… |
| 10-27 21:21:15 | (anonymous) 0xb0c8…fe7f | No | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0xf5eeab… |
| 10-27 21:21:15 | (anonymous) 0x84bb…1477 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xec2a18… |
| 10-27 21:21:15 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0x88e555… |
| 10-27 21:21:15 | (anonymous) 0x0b14…f1f5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 36¢ | $4 | 0xf5eeab… |
| 10-27 16:17:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 82 | 61¢ | $50 | 0x198082… |
| 10-27 16:17:03 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | BUY | 50 | 61¢ | $30 | 0x91db94… |
| 10-27 16:17:03 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0x72f774… |
| 10-27 16:17:03 | Canine-Biplane 0x4435…786f | Yes | SELL | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0x72f774… |
| 10-27 16:17:03 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x10a389… |
| 10-27 16:17:03 | (anonymous) 0x8268…e7fd | No | BUY | 20 | 61¢ | $12 | 0x10a389… |
| 10-27 16:17:03 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 28 | 62¢ | $17 | 0x198082… |
| 10-27 16:17:03 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 30 | 61¢ | $18 | 0x91db94… |
| 10-27 16:17:03 | (anonymous) 0x8268…e7fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 39¢ | $8 | 0x91db94… |
| 10-27 06:07:35 | (anonymous) 0xd89e…9c91 | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x486cb3… |
| 10-27 06:07:35 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x486cb3… |
| 10-26 20:48:33 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 4 | 61¢ | $2 | 0xfa79fa… |
| 10-26 20:48:33 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 39¢ | $1 | 0xfa79fa… |
| 10-26 20:20:02 | (anonymous) 0x69d1…7c8b | Yes | SELL | 330 | 39¢ | $129 | 0xcfe14c… |
| 10-26 20:20:02 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 288 | 61¢ | $175 | 0xcfe14c… |
| 10-26 20:20:02 | (anonymous) 0x4c9a…0cd4 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 40¢ | $8 | 0xcfe14c… |
| 10-26 14:50:05 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 105 | 60¢ | $64 | 0xd21666… |
| 10-26 14:50:05 | (anonymous) 0xdd23…af75 | No | BUY | 105 | 60¢ | $64 | 0xd21666… |
| 10-26 14:05:15 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 1 | 62¢ | $1 | 0xeff522… |
| 10-26 14:05:15 | (anonymous) 0xd5be…18e1 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 38¢ | $0 | 0xeff522… |
| 10-26 14:05:05 | Writhing-Round 0x1583…bdde | No | BUY | 125 | 60¢ | $75 | 0x5e9978… |
| 10-26 14:05:05 | (anonymous) 0x28d4…f9d3 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0xdd8376… |
| 10-26 14:05:05 | (anonymous) 0xd5be…18e1 | No | BUY | 19 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x21d366… |
| 10-26 14:05:05 | Downright-Goddess 0x16da…05c0 | No | SELL | 16 | 60¢ | $10 | 0xfabbb4… |