Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$173

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

81.8%

Resolved

Trades

862

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

$207

7 positions

First seen

2026-07-08

last 10-31 19:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Politics

66% 74% +$94

Other

32% 83% +$73

Sports

2% 100% +$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	+260	$171	76¢	$199	+$28	10-31 19:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+9	$5	88¢	$8	+$3	08-17 18:45
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	No	+0	-$1	96¢	$0	+$1	08-13 04:18
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	+0	-$2	96¢	$0	+$2	07-20 16:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+0	$2	84¢	$0	-$2	08-02 04:12
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+4	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	10-23 01:37
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	Yes	+0	$30	6¢	$0	-$30	07-31 21:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	30	$1.0K	520	520	+0	No	+$3	08-17 18:55
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	57	$1.0K	555	555	+0	No	+$52	08-28 00:54
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?	40	$983	553	442	+112	No	+$5	08-31 21:06
will iran target a arab country on august 17 2026 20260801004719134	17	$981	625	562	+62	Yes	-$54	08-21 20:28
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	36	$742	423	423	+0	open	—	07-20 16:03
Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?	36	$723	381	381	+0	No	+$39	07-25 04:40
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	42	$601	321	321	+0	open	—	07-15 11:34
Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	71	$581	546	287	+260	open	—	10-31 19:03
Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	37	$418	284	278	+6	Yes	+$42	10-05 01:34
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?	34	$401	218	218	+0	open	—	08-13 04:18
will trump accuse germany of election interference by july 16 20260714013930799	20	$390	202	202	+0	No	+$5	07-17 00:13
will trump speak to emmanuel macron in july 20260626154217431	26	$242	221	204	+18	No	-$3	08-03 07:22
iran military action against a gulf state on july 9 20260708212322934	9	$228	118	118	+0	Yes	+$8	07-14 01:26
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	23	$222	115	115	+0	Yes	+$2	07-28 01:27
iran military action against a gulf state on july 23 20260708212322948	38	$195	216	0	+216	No	+$21	07-28 16:57
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	24	$187	95	95	+0	Yes	+$2	09-15 19:48
will russia target kyiv by august 10 2026 20260809090428975	21	$183	161	27	+134	No	+$4	08-15 05:59
Will Chris Moneymaker cash in the WSOP 2026 Main Event?	38	$176	89	89	+0	Yes	+$1	07-23 23:58
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	10	$172	272	0	+272	Yes	+$101	07-20 15:58
will donald trump publicly insult vladimir putin by july 31 2026 20260626210612715	32	$160	113	113	+0	No	+$58	07-31 04:23
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	28	$150	100	100	+0	open	—	07-31 21:31
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	13	$144	73	73	+0	No	+$1	10-08 03:23
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?	7	$118	61	61	+0	No	+$4	07-24 01:47
will donald trump publicly insult emmanuel macron by july 31 2026 20260626210612731	14	$110	63	63	+0	No	-$2	08-01 19:36
will donald trump publicly insult xi jinping by july 31 2026 20260626210612723	10	$95	96	0	+96	No	+$1	07-17 17:13
nato downs another russian drone by august 31 20260726215001931	13	$94	47	47	+0	Yes	+$0	08-21 07:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	7	$88	54	54	+0	open	—	08-02 04:12
will venezuela recognize israel by december 31	15	$83	63	63	+0	open	—	08-15 06:49
uptspt anti cartel operation outside of the uptspt by july 31 20260616215440524	22	$70	81	0	+81	No	-$70	07-30 21:55
Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?	7	$59	30	30	+0	Yes	+$2	07-24 01:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 19:03:06	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x598e69…
10-29 19:03:04	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x1e8dba…
10-27 19:02:42	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xdcaab4…
10-25 19:02:21	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0xd7fa3b…
10-23 19:01:53	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x434cb3…
10-23 01:37:17	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xbc97b5…
10-22 02:31:24	Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	18¢	$3	0x7aefaf…
10-21 19:01:42	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0xc9a681…
10-19 19:01:23	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	82¢	$7	0xaa9ea0…
10-17 19:01:17	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	79¢	$7	0x9d9757…
10-15 19:00:43	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	83¢	$7	0x71c408…
10-13 19:00:00	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x0799a3…
10-12 10:55:15	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	16	51¢	$8	0xf5ef60…
10-12 09:54:50	Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?	Yes	BUY	16	59¢	$10	0x56d04e…
10-11 18:59:07	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0xe2fa9d…
10-09 18:58:26	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0x6025a5…
10-08 03:23:49	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x08ef3e…
10-08 02:53:07	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x002459…
10-08 02:22:31	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xe34d02…
10-08 01:51:53	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x24e81d…
10-08 01:21:19	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x0140bd…
10-08 00:50:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0xbc88c9…
10-07 23:46:17	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x46b193…
10-07 22:45:56	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x78c145…
10-07 21:45:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8ec224…
10-07 20:45:14	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	BUY	12	97¢	$12	0xea6b87…
10-07 19:44:54	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x2eab6d…
10-07 18:57:48	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x4c9ae3…
10-07 18:44:30	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x459092…
10-07 17:44:07	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 1?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xa8f926…
10-05 01:34:01	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xfd5aea…
10-05 01:03:26	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0xc57084…
10-05 00:32:52	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x03e89d…
10-05 00:02:17	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0xd45a62…
10-04 23:54:05	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	42¢	$7	0xbe9428…
10-04 23:54:05	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x8604f3…
10-04 23:43:47	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0xc7dda5…
10-04 23:33:29	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	23¢	$4	0x5410c4…
10-04 23:23:11	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	59¢	$6	0x5d804b…
10-04 23:12:53	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	58¢	$9	0xf36e98…
10-04 23:02:34	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0x6d9fd4…
10-04 22:55:19	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x6dacb4…
10-04 22:53:14	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x2d9a1b…
10-04 21:55:17	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xd1972c…
10-04 21:53:13	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x89bcbc…
10-04 20:55:16	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9c1c4c…
10-04 20:53:10	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x95fd9d…
10-04 19:55:13	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xb805ad…
10-04 19:53:07	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xeadf3d…
10-04 17:55:02	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xd8ac0c…
10-04 17:52:58	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x226e53…
10-04 16:54:58	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x43775b…
10-04 16:52:53	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xfe0538…
10-04 15:54:44	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x875ee3…
10-04 15:52:38	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x44be48…
10-04 14:53:46	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xa68bc3…
10-04 14:51:41	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x421e3d…
10-04 13:53:38	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x49cdcd…
10-04 13:51:31	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	68¢	$10	0x6bd35c…
10-04 12:53:28	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x448781…
10-04 12:51:23	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x256361…
10-04 00:52:01	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	66¢	$5	0x688bfc…
10-04 00:49:56	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x7d04dc…
10-03 22:51:55	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x7d05d0…
10-03 22:49:46	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	66¢	$9	0x346b25…
10-03 21:51:44	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xf22e92…
10-03 21:49:40	Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0x348bac…
10-03 18:55:29	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0xbe35dd…
10-01 18:55:05	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x7c3cb3…
09-29 18:54:56	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	87¢	$8	0x52ba85…
09-29 18:50:48	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x16c17a…
09-29 17:50:11	Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x4f3ddb…
09-27 18:53:56	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	86¢	$7	0x8683d3…
09-25 18:53:44	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	85¢	$7	0x2d2623…
09-25 01:04:35	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xdaf5ea…
09-25 00:11:23	Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?	Yes	BUY	13	72¢	$10	0x1bdf88…
09-23 18:52:52	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	84¢	$7	0xb5cfac…
09-21 18:51:58	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x3f9119…
09-17 18:50:52	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	81¢	$7	0x6b5f4d…
09-16 23:25:12	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	SELL	9	40¢	$3	0x966d59…
09-16 23:15:00	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x869870…
09-16 23:04:48	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x20f89e…
09-16 22:54:37	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	SELL	9	33¢	$3	0x0a239b…
09-16 22:44:25	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	SELL	9	41¢	$3	0xd2a1b9…
09-16 22:34:13	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	SELL	9	70¢	$6	0x11de02…
09-16 22:04:30	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0xd4362d…
09-16 21:04:00	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	6	93¢	$5	0x72abf0…
09-16 20:03:24	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$4	0x5562ed…
09-16 19:02:39	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0x92cd86…
09-16 18:01:40	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x494525…
09-16 17:01:08	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x467b93…
09-16 16:00:30	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	7	65¢	$4	0xf337c8…
09-16 14:59:51	Moscow air traffic suspended by September 15?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9dfdef…
09-15 19:48:27	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x039fcb…
09-15 19:38:15	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x1721bb…
09-15 19:28:03	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x29e623…
09-15 19:17:51	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x7d09f0…
09-15 19:07:37	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xe3c294…
09-15 18:57:25	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x9f2f54…
09-15 18:50:16	Will Max Martin attend Taylor Swift's wedding?	No	SELL	9	75¢	$6	0x1896a5…