(anonymous) 0xf847df…44ee6a
cold 26L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1.58K
Unrealized P&L
-$37
Hit rate
0.1%
Resolved
126
Trades
2,014
lifetime
Volume
$99.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$50
Open exposure
$5.24K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-05
last 10-29 19:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 59 days
Categories
Other
57% 1% -$1,116
Politics
30% 0% -$298
Sports
8% 0% -$50
Tech
5% 9% -$120
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? No +588 $434 80¢ $468 +$34 10-29 19:49
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? No +462 $403 95¢ $439 +$36 10-20 18:28
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +684 $356 59¢ $404 +$48 10-28 08:32
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? No +463 $340 74¢ $345 +$5 10-19 13:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +347 $281 84¢ $294 +$12 10-20 00:20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +434 $200 66¢ $287 +$86 10-28 17:07
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +684 $352 41¢ $280 -$72 10-28 08:32
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? No +347 $267 78¢ $273 +$5 10-28 10:44
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +330 $236 78¢ $257 +$21 10-14 15:54
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? No +347 $257 74¢ $255 -$2 10-16 17:55
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +340 $272 74¢ $252 -$20 10-28 23:18
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +244 $207 86¢ $210 +$2 10-27 20:38
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +434 $235 34¢ $148 -$88 10-28 17:07
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? Yes +588 $157 20¢ $121 -$37 10-29 19:49
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +463 $147 26¢ $118 -$29 10-19 13:59
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? No +156 $119 74¢ $116 -$2 10-28 16:58
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? No +105 $95 93¢ $98 +$2 10-26 20:50
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026? Yes +347 $87 26¢ $92 +$5 10-16 17:55
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +340 $71 26¢ $88 +$17 10-28 23:18
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? No +133 $86 66¢ $88 +$2 10-26 02:57
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +111 $89 79¢ $88 -$2 10-15 05:10
Israeli airspace closed by December 31, 2026? No +117 $92 72¢ $84 -$9 10-15 12:21
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +347 $83 22¢ $75 -$9 10-28 10:44
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +327 $96 22¢ $72 -$24 10-14 15:57
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +116 $75 54¢ $63 -$12 10-15 20:35
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +347 $67 16¢ $54 -$13 10-20 00:20
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? Yes +116 $44 46¢ $53 +$9 10-15 20:35
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +133 $47 34¢ $44 -$2 10-26 02:57
Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election? Yes +156 $39 26¢ $40 +$1 10-28 16:58
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +244 $37 14¢ $34 -$2 10-27 20:38