Bronze-Bid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

89.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$363

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$31

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 10-08 08:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 23 days

Categories

Politics

61% 84% -$11

Other

28% 100% +$4

Tech

6% 100% +$2

Sports

6% 100% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+15	$10	72¢	$11	+$1	10-08 08:46
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	+10	$10	100¢	$10	+$0	09-20 16:02
Trump out as President before 2027?	No	+10	$10	97¢	$10	+$0	09-26 04:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 08:46:41	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x265a5c…
09-26 04:49:35	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x012963…
09-20 16:02:18	Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x0607a3…
09-16 07:45:46	Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0x10ee2a…
08-25 09:01:39	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x29f558…
08-22 02:44:07	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x554407…
08-22 00:07:01	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x47c930…
08-18 18:24:51	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x3b3f73…
08-18 18:20:39	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xacbd4a…
08-16 03:41:06	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Islam Makhachev	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0xee13cb…
08-14 18:29:42	will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x122343…
08-12 04:27:42	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0xff5c61…
08-11 23:35:04	Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe0a915…
08-11 19:55:52	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x5320df…
08-11 19:51:42	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xcbeeef…
08-11 19:48:28	will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x9d1ead…
08-08 04:51:00	clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xee3736…
08-06 12:04:51	will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x2df1b6…
08-02 19:06:39	Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x45dae5…
08-02 02:12:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0x3e6518…
08-02 02:11:47	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xa248c4…
08-02 02:11:32	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	57¢	$0	0x159ee4…
08-02 02:11:27	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x05d3f3…
08-02 02:11:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xe127b4…
08-02 02:11:23	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x9d0209…
08-02 02:11:15	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x22f91f…
08-02 02:11:11	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x9e6019…
08-02 02:11:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0x4755a1…
08-02 02:10:54	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xaf5543…
08-02 02:08:57	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	4	49¢	$2	0x3ba462…
08-02 02:08:39	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xb256ed…
08-02 02:08:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x3bb61e…
08-02 02:08:29	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x1a0f88…
08-02 02:08:20	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	56¢	$0	0xceed66…
08-02 02:08:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	64¢	$0	0x800739…
08-02 02:08:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x5420d7…
08-02 02:08:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	1	59¢	$1	0x524675…
08-01 19:14:15	will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by july 31 2026 20260626210612718	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xf00c34…
07-31 23:01:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x52baf2…
07-31 22:26:30	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc6f403…
07-27 23:12:25	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2165f0…
07-27 22:19:07	us announces halt in iran offensive operations by august 15	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x9a31c4…
07-27 22:19:04	will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfd8cfa…
07-23 18:09:00	will leavitt say world cup during the next white house press briefing 20260723134130097	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc05a8e…
06-02 09:20:23	Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x967e70…
06-02 05:12:47	Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x49cfaa…
05-21 13:22:22	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa135f0…
05-21 09:21:39	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x5ce277…
05-21 08:14:15	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x1af458…
05-20 03:46:41	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x04c421…
05-20 03:41:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x294f7e…
05-18 14:24:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xd42df9…
05-18 00:38:00	Will Trump announce a US-China Board of Trade?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7e73ed…
05-15 20:53:44	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xe4c225…
05-14 01:59:54	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x512ae9…
04-14 03:15:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x6c3a57…
04-06 00:34:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x5df3f4…
04-01 12:17:13	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc2efdd…
03-15 08:02:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x22fadd…
03-14 22:09:11	cbb miss ark 2026 03 14 spread home 6pt5	Ole Miss Rebels	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x095376…
03-14 12:34:29	will elon musks net worth be between 660b and 670b on march 31	No	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xb4e2df…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ishowspeed attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630256	3	$20	11	11	+0	No	+$0	08-11 19:55
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$17	10	7	+3	No	+$0	05-21 13:22
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	19	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	-$4	08-02 02:12
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?	2	$11	10	10	+0	No	-$9	08-12 04:27
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-20 03:46
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$10	23	23	+0	Yes	-$10	04-06 00:34
Trump out as President before 2027?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	09-26 04:49
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	09-20 16:02
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 1	1	$10	12	0	+12	Yes	+$2	07-31 23:01
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	10-08 08:46
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$2	09-16 07:45
clf koe rso 2026 08 07 total 0pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Over	+$0	08-08 04:51
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	03-15 08:02
ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	1	$10	14	0	+14	Islam Makhachev	+$4	08-16 03:41
will elon musks net worth be between 660b and 670b on march 31	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	03-14 12:34
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 28, 2026?	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	08-25 09:01
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	05-14 01:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	13	0	+13	No	+$3	04-14 03:15
Will Spencer Pratt finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	1	$10	12	0	+12	No	+$2	06-02 09:20
us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	08-22 00:07
will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by july 31 2026 20260626210612718	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	08-01 19:14
will piers morgan attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260803185630255	1	$10	11	0	+11	No	+$1	08-11 19:48
will donald trump publicly insult marjorie taylor greene by august 31 2026 20260730161742251	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$1	08-22 02:44
will edu aguirre attend cristiano ronaldos wedding 20260806200934310	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	08-14 18:29
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by july 31 20260718000915875	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-27 23:12
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 2, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	06-02 05:12
cbb miss ark 2026 03 14 spread home 6pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	Ole Miss Rebels	+$0	03-14 22:09
will leavitt say world cup during the next white house press briefing 20260723134130097	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-23 18:09
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	08-02 19:06
will the us announce an iran ceasefire by august 31 20260718000915876 168	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	07-27 22:19