Super-Honey — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$252

Unrealized P&L

+$242

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

Trades

121

lifetime

Volume

$6.79K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$2.06K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 09:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

73% 70% -$714

Other

27% 67% +$461

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	+1,149	$1,000	98¢	$1.1K	+$124	07-01 13:49
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	+270	$200	90¢	$244	+$44	07-27 18:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+230	$200	98¢	$226	+$26	07-01 13:51
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+267	$200	84¢	$225	+$25	08-25 17:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	+114	$100	88¢	$101	+$1	10-12 15:29
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	+81	$50	82¢	$67	+$17	09-28 16:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+50	$41	84¢	$42	+$1	10-28 09:34
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	+41	$30	86¢	$35	+$5	08-25 17:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	1	$1000	1,149	0	+1,149	open	—	07-01 13:49
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	6	$696	631	344	+287	Yes	+$1	04-07 22:36
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	6	$420	305	305	+0	Yes	+$20	04-07 22:36
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?	5	$398	922	0	+922	Yes	-$398	01-16 04:15
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$214	237	237	+0	Yes	-$213	03-01 07:16
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$200	323	323	+0	Yes	-$200	03-01 07:16
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	1	$200	270	0	+270	open	—	07-27 18:15
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$200	267	0	+267	open	—	08-25 17:03
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	1	$200	230	0	+230	open	—	07-01 13:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$150	156	0	+156	No	+$6	05-25 20:54
will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	8	$139	245	121	+124	No	+$203	03-30 22:09
will iran strike cyprus in march	1	$138	147	0	+147	No	+$9	03-11 11:15
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$132	88	88	+0	Yes	-$8	04-07 21:45
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$127	157	94	+63	Yes	+$30	03-03 16:56
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	2	$127	0	127	-127	No	$0	06-18 08:07
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by january 31 425	2	$120	198	0	+198	No	+$78	01-12 09:59
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	3	$120	179	59	+120	No	+$20	03-01 14:16
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by october 31 2026	1	$100	135	0	+135	No	+$35	08-25 17:09
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	1	$100	111	0	+111	No	+$11	07-01 13:51
will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by january 31 2026 147	1	$100	127	0	+127	No	+$27	01-12 09:59
will russia capture all of prymorske by january 31 2026	1	$100	120	0	+120	No	+$20	01-13 12:33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	1	$100	130	0	+130	No	+$30	04-07 21:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	1	$100	122	0	+122	No	+$22	04-13 11:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	1	$100	114	0	+114	open	—	10-12 15:29
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	1	$93	99	0	+99	No	+$6	05-28 11:32
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	2	$88	57	57	+0	Yes	-$12	07-01 13:50
will ukraine re enter huliaipole by march 31	1	$66	72	0	+72	Yes	+$6	03-04 15:47
will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	3	$61	119	119	+0	Yes	-$59	02-05 06:19
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$61	68	68	+0	No	+$1	04-01 14:38
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	2	$60	87	0	+87	No	+$27	06-21 13:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 09:34:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	50	82¢	$41	0x198b09…
10-28 09:33:13	Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	71¢	$40	0x8812f3…
10-28 09:31:11	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	43	55¢	$24	0x76d2fd…
10-12 15:29:57	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x9372f6…
10-12 15:29:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x7154f1…
09-28 16:33:02	Will Russia capture Verkhnia Tersa by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	62¢	$22	0x989791…
09-28 16:31:59	Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0x64c48f…
09-28 16:31:42	Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31?	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x327683…
08-25 17:10:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	41	73¢	$30	0x8a4a40…
08-25 17:09:33	will russia announce a new forced mobilization by october 31 2026	No	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x903991…
08-25 17:03:24	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x2a55c7…
07-27 18:17:10	will russia capture myropillia by december 31	No	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x99bf3d…
07-27 18:15:39	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?	No	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0xfab5ac…
07-01 13:51:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0xc2bfb1…
07-01 13:51:07	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	230	87¢	$200	0x190c70…
07-01 13:50:29	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	SELL	57	66¢	$38	0x1f753c…
07-01 13:49:31	will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0xa05a10…
06-21 14:25:35	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	Yes	BUY	57	88¢	$50	0x9ad6e4…
06-21 13:02:23	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x0285d8…
06-18 08:07:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	94	100¢	$93	0x348e59…
06-18 08:07:10	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$33	0x4bc82b…
06-12 18:36:27	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 14 2026 20260612000748609	No	BUY	27	84¢	$23	0x886acb…
06-12 18:35:57	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0x0bd7ef…
05-28 11:32:58	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	99	94¢	$93	0x1be917…
05-25 20:54:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	156	96¢	$150	0x157aa0…
05-02 09:37:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x0ec4b6…
04-13 11:15:51	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x77a25d…
04-07 22:36:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	287	84¢	$241	0xda15af…
04-07 22:36:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	SELL	145	84¢	$122	0x653099…
04-07 21:55:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x14ffc0…
04-07 21:45:37	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	88	71¢	$62	0xbf5d97…
04-07 21:21:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	88	79¢	$70	0x2e6e15…
04-07 21:21:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	111	40¢	$44	0x47b1f1…
04-07 21:05:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0xbdb3e0…
04-07 21:04:51	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x7588ec…
04-07 20:33:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	65	59¢	$38	0xdad997…
04-07 20:33:35	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	233	69¢	$160	0x56f22a…
04-06 21:15:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xe87716…
04-06 21:14:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xf569cd…
04-03 16:17:55	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	111	6¢	$7	0xc339bd…
04-03 16:17:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0xa0b857…
04-01 18:42:01	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x32397b…
04-01 14:39:37	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	111	36¢	$40	0xf10d78…
04-01 14:39:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	95	64¢	$61	0xb0a9d5…
04-01 14:38:51	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	68	45¢	$31	0x569806…
04-01 07:50:01	Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	81¢	$40	0xe46a4c…
04-01 07:47:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0xcf22a6…
04-01 07:42:15	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x28a2bb…
04-01 07:41:03	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xc54aa1…
03-30 22:09:03	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	No	SELL	69	90¢	$62	0xd304a2…
03-30 22:01:29	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	No	SELL	10	90¢	$9	0xec3dc6…
03-30 20:30:19	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	No	SELL	8	90¢	$7	0x9dcadb…
03-30 12:00:12	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x4a3b49…
03-30 10:13:04	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	No	SELL	22	90¢	$20	0x37a95d…
03-30 10:08:18	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8a52ab…
03-22 10:12:05	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x8b4d80…
03-22 10:11:47	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x803047…
03-22 10:11:31	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	No	SELL	34	4¢	$2	0x35ce25…
03-17 15:38:25	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	67	74¢	$49	0xdf84e6…
03-13 11:46:21	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	No	SELL	48	2¢	$1	0x2089f2…
03-11 11:15:29	will iran strike cyprus in march	No	BUY	147	94¢	$138	0x39247d…
03-10 22:26:01	will russia capture toretske by march 31 2026	No	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x57bcd1…
03-10 22:25:25	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x5006f0…
03-04 15:47:39	will ukraine re enter huliaipole by march 31	Yes	BUY	72	92¢	$66	0x5a73ab…
03-03 16:56:33	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0x115f6b…
03-03 16:50:59	will russia enter rizdvianka by march 31 2026	No	SELL	28	3¢	$1	0x45b31b…
03-03 09:14:45	will france strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	20	83¢	$16	0x9fa63f…
03-03 09:14:07	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x6517e0…
03-03 09:09:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	SELL	65	41¢	$26	0x77217a…
03-02 19:09:59	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0x91767d…
03-02 19:09:17	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	SELL	22	35¢	$8	0x6897a1…
03-02 11:57:15	Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	No	BUY	65	87¢	$56	0xa1e4a2…
03-02 11:53:07	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x1ddad7…
03-02 11:51:41	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0xbf3491…
03-01 14:17:05	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0x2e4fab…
03-01 14:16:33	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	No	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x8e30f3…
03-01 14:16:23	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0xdeb6e6…
03-01 14:16:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	Yes	SELL	59	17¢	$10	0xc55613…
03-01 13:51:57	will russia enter rizdvianka by march 31 2026	No	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0xed9f5a…
03-01 13:46:07	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	No	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x6f55c0…
03-01 08:53:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x8bb14b…
03-01 08:52:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0x62d23d…
03-01 07:50:05	will russia capture all of huliaipole by march 31	No	BUY	170	12¢	$20	0x6bc629…
03-01 07:46:41	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	No	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xdd042f…
03-01 07:41:59	will russia capture rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x101974…
03-01 07:40:09	will russia capture all of rodynske by march 31	No	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xcaacc5…
03-01 07:38:21	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x7dd4f6…
03-01 07:28:43	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 7	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x72893e…
03-01 07:16:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	323	0¢	$0	0x70a9ba…
03-01 07:16:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	237	0¢	$0	0xd0a9c4…
02-07 08:33:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	181	93¢	$168	0x895024…
02-05 06:21:59	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	No	BUY	61	33¢	$20	0x7c9224…
02-05 06:20:41	will russia capture rodynske by february 28	No	BUY	30	66¢	$20	0xa14d5e…
02-05 06:19:37	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	No	SELL	119	1¢	$1	0xbb5e0d…
02-01 22:06:10	will russia capture rodynske by february 28	No	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x49e77c…
02-01 22:05:42	will russia capture lyman by march 31 2026 494	No	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0xeec6d6…
02-01 22:05:10	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by february 28	No	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0x34776f…
02-01 22:04:06	will russia capture kostyantynivka by february 28	No	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0xe96a52…
02-01 22:02:26	will russia capture all of myrnohrad by february 28	No	BUY	60	67¢	$40	0x0c618e…
02-01 22:01:56	will russia capture all of stepnohirsk by march 31 2026 627	No	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x836328…