Instructive-Cuisine — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.9%

Resolved

Trades

331

lifetime

Volume

$24.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$74

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 08-14 02:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

75% 50% +$5

Other

23% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

42 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	11	$3.1K	2,003	2,035	-32	open	—	05-31 14:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	7	$2.2K	1,962	609	+1,352	open	—	05-29 16:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	4	$1.9K	980	1,597	-617	open	—	05-24 11:05
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	9	$1.9K	1,242	1,046	+197	open	—	05-30 11:46
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	7	$1.9K	1,877	1,243	+634	open	—	06-17 07:14
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	3	$1.5K	848	860	-12	open	—	05-13 07:35
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	5	$810	504	504	+0	open	—	07-22 13:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$801	424	424	+0	open	—	07-16 10:10
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$746	408	408	+0	open	—	05-13 08:56
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	5	$726	395	395	+0	open	—	05-18 13:23
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	6	$655	467	467	+0	open	—	07-22 13:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	3	$567	595	0	+595	open	—	05-21 02:06
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	5	$523	290	290	+0	open	—	08-10 02:12
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	4	$498	291	291	+0	open	—	07-22 13:15
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	3	$421	315	315	+0	open	—	06-14 17:25
israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	2	$397	224	224	+0	open	—	07-17 12:20
will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	4	$364	368	368	+0	open	—	07-25 08:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	2	$362	194	194	+0	open	—	05-18 16:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$320	163	163	+0	open	—	05-18 17:22
us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	2	$312	169	169	+0	open	—	07-19 09:17
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	5	$275	179	179	+0	open	—	08-07 15:53
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	4	$265	201	201	+0	open	—	06-19 01:16
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	3	$260	236	236	+0	open	—	07-16 02:18
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	5	$227	191	191	+0	open	—	08-14 02:16
will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	3	$216	143	143	+0	open	—	07-21 03:41
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	2	$184	136	136	+0	open	—	05-16 14:10
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$159	173	173	+0	open	—	06-01 13:44
Nothing Ever Happens: May	2	$158	117	117	+0	open	—	05-24 16:49
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	5	$146	92	92	+0	open	—	04-29 14:12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$132	0	203	-203	open	—	06-12 01:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-14 02:16:55	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 22 2026	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xc384b0…
08-14 02:16:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	SELL	80	97¢	$78	0x63b1a8…
08-10 02:12:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	105	100¢	$105	0x5ae2b5…
08-09 04:30:00	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	105	95¢	$100	0xb04879…
08-09 04:27:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0x4cfb1c…
08-08 16:31:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	SELL	184	91¢	$168	0x75658c…
08-08 11:48:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x475dc8…
08-08 08:55:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 9 2026	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x8ce1a5…
08-08 06:09:03	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	SELL	56	90¢	$51	0x48567d…
08-07 23:31:31	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x9fc923…
08-07 15:53:43	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	132	92¢	$121	0x47b5f1…
08-07 05:00:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by august 15 2026	No	BUY	56	89¢	$50	0xfff31c…
08-06 23:43:12	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	59	85¢	$50	0x21e3e6…
08-06 23:42:53	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	SELL	111	44¢	$49	0xae581c…
08-06 23:42:20	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xd5ddde…
08-06 02:41:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0x1ab908…
08-05 15:23:05	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	SELL	46	52¢	$24	0x0f7fd5…
08-05 13:55:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xa9d9c9…
07-25 08:44:43	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	SELL	151	12¢	$18	0x867c35…
07-25 08:44:22	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0xcf1051…
07-25 08:44:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	86	3¢	$3	0x36b763…
07-25 05:02:15	will trump post uranium on truth social this week 20260717142647656	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0xf1d93e…
07-22 13:20:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	SELL	333	89¢	$297	0x3e85f4…
07-22 13:15:03	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	169	88¢	$148	0xef7899…
07-22 13:10:07	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	112	91¢	$102	0x8bf87e…
07-21 03:41:43	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	SELL	143	82¢	$116	0x05c18f…
07-20 23:25:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xe265b5…
07-20 14:08:51	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	SELL	19	75¢	$15	0xabef01…
07-20 13:43:52	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xad6af4…
07-20 11:45:06	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	SELL	24	94¢	$23	0x6e2c7b…
07-20 11:43:49	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	No	BUY	278	90¢	$250	0x0128ac…
07-20 11:42:18	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	SELL	391	79¢	$308	0xdc65e9…
07-20 11:27:37	spx up or down on july 20 2026	Up	BUY	19	77¢	$15	0x00c2d7…
07-19 09:17:58	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	169	89¢	$150	0xbd8494…
07-19 09:17:34	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	SELL	169	96¢	$162	0xca5a25…
07-18 16:33:55	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 24	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x5f64a4…
07-18 16:08:36	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	SELL	42	65¢	$27	0x95fe5b…
07-17 23:45:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x9cbd8a…
07-17 23:45:18	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	87	12¢	$10	0x10a3f3…
07-17 23:42:27	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	No	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x0546b2…
07-17 23:38:46	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	SELL	29	57¢	$16	0x2b5da4…
07-17 13:20:19	will anthropic extend claude fable 5 paid plan access again by july 19 20260712201937544	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0xb8341f…
07-17 12:48:37	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	143	7¢	$10	0xad94ca…
07-17 12:25:13	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0xb355f2…
07-17 12:20:46	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	224	88¢	$197	0x0d8ab5…
07-16 15:05:28	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x6fce2f…
07-16 13:42:28	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Down	BUY	47	85¢	$40	0x4964b5…
07-16 10:31:55	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	No	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xca69b4…
07-16 10:22:17	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	Yes	BUY	151	33¢	$50	0x00afb5…
07-16 10:21:59	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	SELL	217	67¢	$146	0xb68418…
07-16 10:16:20	will the united states send warships through the strait of hormuz by july 31 2026 20260701001952741	No	BUY	217	69¢	$150	0xcb70b8…
07-16 10:11:25	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0xb76cda…
07-16 10:10:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	306	99¢	$302	0xd4bc58…
07-16 10:08:56	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	SELL	18	42¢	$8	0xfef92f…
07-16 03:05:49	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0xe3d311…
07-16 03:00:40	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	224	89¢	$200	0x00cd6c…
07-16 02:50:37	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	123	81¢	$99	0x047f02…
07-16 02:49:08	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 24 2026 20260713152715081 211	No	BUY	169	89¢	$150	0x9939be…
07-16 02:46:49	spx up or down on july 16 2026	Up	BUY	18	61¢	$11	0x92ba46…
07-16 02:39:46	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	SELL	200	4¢	$8	0x384e57…
07-16 02:20:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	133	14¢	$19	0x58bb38…
07-16 02:18:40	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	236	55¢	$130	0x6b28c5…
07-15 01:47:07	spx up or down on july 15 2026	Up	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0x071f54…
07-14 14:08:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	306	98¢	$300	0xec4a10…
07-14 13:50:46	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	123	82¢	$100	0xf488f5…
07-14 13:38:10	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by july 31	Yes	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xe89976…
07-14 13:35:59	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x0ddcce…
07-14 13:23:58	spx up or down on july 14 2026	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xb9b318…
07-13 15:30:41	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x3d720b…
07-13 15:29:37	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x042224…
07-13 03:31:20	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	SELL	26	32¢	$8	0x8a1dd7…
07-13 03:25:53	spx up or down on july 13 2026	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xa908f2…
07-13 03:09:55	iran military action against a gulf state on july 14 20260708212322939	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x20f69c…
07-12 10:51:10	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0x48fcba…
07-07 00:20:41	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260629202434613	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xab046c…
07-05 14:06:08	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 extra time	Yes	SELL	37	26¢	$10	0xbc004a…
07-05 14:05:53	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x169eb6…
07-05 13:29:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	118	84¢	$99	0x43c303…
07-05 08:07:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x9717d9…
07-05 07:53:55	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 btts	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x7587e3…
07-05 07:52:22	fifwc bra nor 2026 07 05 extra time	Yes	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x45e1e2…
06-19 01:16:10	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	160	78¢	$125	0x3bf550…
06-19 00:44:16	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	160	62¢	$100	0x39d65b…
06-18 16:19:34	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	SELL	40	73¢	$30	0xe86f0a…
06-18 13:37:44	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x6916a4…
06-18 13:36:56	will the text of the us iran agreement be released by june 16 20260615224555000	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xda1c32…
06-18 13:33:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	No	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x8b7b8f…
06-18 13:29:04	fifwc mex kr 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x59bd7c…
06-18 13:28:31	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xc222a5…
06-18 13:28:07	fifwc che bih 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x1bf4de…
06-18 13:27:32	fifwc cze rsa 2026 06 18 btts	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb6270a…
06-17 07:17:31	fifwc uzb col 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xfcdd0d…
06-17 07:16:40	fifwc gha pan 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6b9528…
06-17 07:16:13	fifwc eng hrv 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xb94a11…
06-17 07:15:52	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x7ff2f0…
06-17 07:14:17	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xeffdd1…
06-16 07:43:31	fifwc arg alg 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x2a9db4…
06-15 07:13:52	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 btts	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x07f350…
06-15 07:13:28	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x29bcdb…
06-15 07:13:03	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 btts	Yes	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x50a493…