Instructive-Cuisine — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

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Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,450 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$83.4K lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 09-26 06:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 143 days

Categories

Other

60% 39% -$1,640

Politics

30% 64% +$399

Sports

6% 22% -$479

Tech

3% 44% +$86

Crypto

0% 71% +$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 103 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	11	$4.7K	2,597	2,597	+0	No	+$108	05-31 14:10
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	8	$3.6K	1,962	1,962	+0	No	+$176	05-30 07:35
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	12	$3.1K	2,035	2,035	+0	No	+$60	05-31 14:14
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$2.7K	15,439	15,439	+0	No	-$285	06-28 00:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$2.5K	1,610	1,610	+0	No	-$140	05-25 00:39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	8	$2.2K	2,243	1,243	+1,000	Yes	-$92	06-17 07:14
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	4	$2.1K	1,470	1,470	+0	Yes	+$20	07-24 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 24?	8	$1.8K	1,150	1,150	+0	Yes	-$171	06-24 08:12
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	4	$1.7K	1,307	1,307	+0	No	-$201	07-24 00:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on June 27?	4	$1.6K	815	815	+0	Yes	+$27	06-27 17:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$1.5K	860	860	+0	No	+$148	05-13 07:35
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	2	$1.5K	813	813	+0	Yes	-$57	05-13 08:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on June 28?	4	$1.2K	637	637	+0	Yes	+$30	06-28 16:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	4	$1.2K	595	595	+0	No	+$27	05-23 02:41
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$1.1K	25,884	25,884	+0	No	-$171	06-23 13:41
Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on June 26?	3	$1.0K	544	544	+0	Yes	+$42	06-26 17:24
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	3	$904	501	501	+0	Yes	+$72	05-21 02:06
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 29?	2	$813	417	417	+0	Yes	+$13	06-29 16:42
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	5	$810	504	504	+0	No	+$10	07-22 13:10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?	7	$803	1,077	842	+235	Yes	-$81	07-25 14:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	4	$801	424	424	+0	No	+$1	07-16 10:10
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	13	$774	803	639	+164	No	-$142	08-17 06:19
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	3	$767	411	411	+0	Yes	-$33	08-05 13:07
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?	7	$765	718	185	+533	Yes	+$8	07-22 13:21
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	8	$758	1,014	1,014	+0	Yes	+$98	08-07 00:35
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	12	$749	1,643	1,643	+0	No	-$99	08-06 23:21
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	2	$746	408	408	+0	No	-$4	05-13 08:56
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	5	$726	395	395	+0	No	+$36	05-18 13:23
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?	9	$658	1,072	1,072	+0	Yes	-$62	08-18 04:54
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	6	$655	467	467	+0	No	-$25	07-22 13:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 06:48:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	45	20¢	$9	0xb1004f…
09-26 06:47:44	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	No	SELL	15	76¢	$11	0x4d2447…
09-26 06:47:09	trump renames ai by september 30	No	SELL	26	81¢	$21	0xda0448…
09-26 02:34:59	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0x3b542a…
09-25 08:47:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x8362a4…
09-25 08:45:18	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Down	SELL	27	25¢	$7	0x45a2a8…
09-25 06:58:30	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x924e8a…
09-25 06:54:36	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x39fcd3…
09-25 06:49:23	Trump renames AI by September 30?	No	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xb96453…
09-25 06:35:53	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Down	SELL	21	36¢	$8	0x58825c…
09-25 03:33:27	spx up or down on september 25 2026	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xb95e2c…
09-25 03:23:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x3848ea…
09-24 16:20:29	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	18	64¢	$12	0x0a313e…
09-24 16:12:29	spx up or down on september 24 2026	Down	SELL	124	94¢	$116	0x9eec0c…
09-24 08:32:50	spx up or down on september 24 2026	Down	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0xdbcad8…
09-24 08:22:06	spx up or down on september 24 2026	Down	BUY	49	82¢	$40	0x5293c7…
09-24 06:57:39	spx up or down on september 24 2026	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xd2efd0…
09-23 14:25:46	trump renames ai by september 30	No	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x74b611…
09-23 12:45:08	spx up or down on september 23 2026	Down	SELL	43	59¢	$25	0x6ea3e6…
09-23 11:49:20	spx up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xa277bb…
09-23 10:03:47	spx up or down on september 23 2026	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xa7d053…
09-23 06:24:14	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	81¢	$49	0x8fd01a…
09-23 01:02:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x9172a2…
09-22 23:08:34	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	24¢	$10	0x92cc09…
09-22 16:21:42	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xefa34c…
09-22 15:48:36	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	34	61¢	$21	0xeba87a…
09-22 15:31:09	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xded49d…
09-22 15:04:22	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xc89e1d…
09-22 14:53:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	27¢	$6	0xbfa2da…
09-22 14:52:16	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0xff6468…
09-22 14:45:37	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x5dfa03…
09-22 14:42:07	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	SELL	135	45¢	$61	0x38ab9a…
09-22 13:38:33	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	55	73¢	$40	0x367897…
09-22 13:35:52	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	80	75¢	$60	0xb25205…
09-22 13:33:03	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	SELL	70	28¢	$20	0x07603e…
09-22 11:49:36	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?	Down	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0x7572b1…
09-22 11:36:10	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	SELL	14	10¢	$1	0x7be6f0…
09-21 23:07:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8bb3b1…
09-21 16:36:02	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x008ad4…
09-21 13:48:35	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	40¢	$12	0xec3550…
09-21 10:47:23	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	SELL	44	96¢	$43	0x09ca9d…
09-21 10:46:47	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 21?	Up	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x66bdf3…
09-21 10:34:42	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x6aded4…
09-20 06:01:25	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xde114d…
09-20 05:32:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x3b3947…
09-19 07:08:15	Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	32¢	$6	0x54f762…
09-19 07:06:10	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	SELL	77	18¢	$14	0x97b761…
09-19 02:08:16	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x105487…
09-19 02:03:12	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	87¢	$33	0x04a9a2…
09-19 01:00:54	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0x9b0c87…
09-19 01:00:10	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	SELL	16	65¢	$10	0xc5f0b8…
09-19 00:56:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0xf2a1f1…
09-18 23:02:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x6f693a…
09-18 16:57:54	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	SELL	97	77¢	$75	0x93b755…
09-18 13:55:42	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	97	62¢	$60	0x224c1f…
09-18 13:54:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x532f08…
09-18 13:50:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	SELL	124	47¢	$58	0x3ad35d…
09-18 13:41:45	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x21f98f…
09-18 13:34:15	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	BUY	42	60¢	$25	0x7dad2d…
09-18 10:00:25	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 18?	Up	SELL	38	63¢	$24	0xb9260f…
09-18 06:49:34	spx up or down on september 18 2026	Up	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x61ff1d…
09-18 01:40:31	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	12	55¢	$7	0x57d2cc…
09-17 14:00:24	spx up or down on september 17 2026	Up	SELL	115	96¢	$111	0x5c2d37…
09-17 08:15:31	spx up or down on september 17 2026	Up	BUY	115	87¢	$100	0x71b41b…
09-17 03:08:31	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$11	0x1b241b…
09-16 16:19:53	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	SELL	78	69¢	$54	0x729122…
09-16 13:41:45	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	78	64¢	$50	0xf0a6ab…
09-16 07:20:04	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	73¢	$12	0x2d11f2…
09-15 14:56:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?	Down	SELL	86	94¢	$81	0x8d8c10…
09-15 14:08:34	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?	Down	BUY	86	81¢	$70	0xb3183d…
09-15 13:51:00	Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x7a4902…
09-15 13:48:30	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x4fc8b0…
09-15 13:46:55	Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	Yes	BUY	16	63¢	$10	0x0da123…
09-15 13:33:12	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?	Up	SELL	2	29¢	$1	0x19d9fb…
09-15 13:32:19	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?	Up	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0x9f3a5a…
09-15 12:16:13	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 15?	Up	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x93b830…
09-15 05:50:34	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xf81eba…
09-15 04:59:34	spx up or down on september 15 2026	Up	SELL	34	37¢	$13	0x0a8d8b…
09-14 23:24:36	spx up or down on september 15 2026	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xc3c01b…
09-14 13:41:28	spx up or down on september 14 2026	Down	SELL	96	96¢	$93	0x9fe512…
09-14 06:23:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xcd6a64…
09-14 05:51:24	spx up or down on september 14 2026	Down	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x29e817…
09-13 23:22:12	spx up or down on september 14 2026	Down	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0x84d0e8…
09-13 12:27:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2100fd…
09-12 07:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x7e43f0…
09-12 06:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xdcd2ac…
09-12 06:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x052a81…
09-11 14:03:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	38	80¢	$30	0x848a64…
09-11 13:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?	Up	SELL	14	92¢	$13	0x211725…
09-11 13:25:31	Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?	Up	BUY	14	73¢	$10	0x9e7ca9…
09-11 12:43:16	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	79¢	$30	0x03446b…
09-11 12:40:49	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Up	SELL	60	84¢	$50	0x8ec431…
09-11 12:37:09	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xd5306c…
09-11 12:36:13	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Up	BUY	24	82¢	$20	0x0b3530…
09-11 12:33:49	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Down	SELL	36	20¢	$7	0xc5b4ec…
09-11 07:19:16	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x7f237b…
09-11 00:51:27	houthis enter aden by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xef50df…
09-11 00:47:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?	Yes	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x8de64b…
09-11 00:39:34	Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x279bff…
09-11 00:37:54	Will annual inflation be 3.4% in August?	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5ba704…