Unwilling-Evocation 0xfa7e25…46f37e
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Realized P&L (90d)
+$881
Unrealized P&L
+$234
Hit rate
73.0%
Resolved (90d)
189
Trades (90d)
2,005
3,696 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$25.9K
$44.4K lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$3.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-01 01:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 185 days
Categories
Other
73% 39% +$145
Sports
8% 27% -$405
Politics
7% 40% -$65
Pop-Culture
6% 17% -$23
Tech
5% 37% -$103
Crypto
1% 64% +$58
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 68 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt0t by december 31 922 Yes +1,200 $759 70¢ $834 +$75 10-30 16:02
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +750 $416 62¢ $465 +$48 10-30 16:03
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes -420 -$416 85¢ $-357 +$60 10-31 02:39
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +423 $273 78¢ $328 +$55 10-29 01:52
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,000 $184 22¢ $215 +$32 10-27 21:37
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -200 -$165 97¢ $-193 -$28 06-17 12:00
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948 No +200 $108 91¢ $182 +$74 08-06 09:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +350 $68 31¢ $109 +$41 10-29 11:07
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by december 31 328 Yes +110 $3 82¢ $90 +$87 10-30 07:42
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +287 $164 29¢ $82 -$82 10-30 23:05
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +224 $78 36¢ $80 +$1 10-28 09:21
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +553 $77 8¢ $47 -$30 10-29 20:34
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +275 $49 15¢ $40 -$9 10-25 14:15
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes -1,114 -$50 3¢ $-28 +$22 06-17 23:53
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +31 $20 80¢ $25 +$5 10-20 10:21
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +233 $28 11¢ $25 -$3 10-25 05:43
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? Yes +600 $60 4¢ $24 -$36 10-29 11:08
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +35 $16 66¢ $23 +$7 09-07 09:52
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +175 $25 13¢ $23 -$2 10-24 10:01
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +200 $23 11¢ $21 -$2 11-01 01:16
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +27 $19 72¢ $19 +$0 11-01 00:48
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948 Yes +200 $94 9¢ $18 -$76 07-10 12:21
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +125 $14 14¢ $17 +$3 10-24 09:59
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +150 $18 10¢ $16 -$2 11-01 00:13
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $19 30¢ $15 -$4 10-25 00:20
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +367 $12 4¢ $13 +$2 11-01 01:24
Will Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +250 $11 5¢ $11 +$0 11-01 01:16
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $12 44¢ $11 $0 10-08 10:03
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +100 $18 10¢ $10 -$8 10-05 23:54
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +50 $3 17¢ $8 +$5 09-10 16:59