Unwilling-Evocation 0xfa7e25…46f37e Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$449
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
58.5%
Resolved
639
Trades
3,832
lifetime
Volume
$46.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$3.26K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 11-03 07:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 187 days
Categories
Other
73% 39% +$140
Sports
8% 27% -$415
Politics
7% 40% -$65
Pop-Culture
6% 17% -$23
Tech
5% 35% -$142
Crypto
1% 64% +$58
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? Yes +1,360 $864 64¢ $870 +$6 11-02 21:44
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? Yes -488 -$475 86¢ $-422 +$53 11-03 05:39
Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? Yes +450 $294 77¢ $347 +$52 11-03 01:22
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +620 $341 55¢ $338 -$3 11-03 00:23
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? No -200 -$165 97¢ $-194 -$29 06-17 12:00
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +200 $108 92¢ $183 +$75 08-06 09:56
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +1,000 $184 17¢ $172 -$12 10-27 21:37
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? Yes +425 $85 22¢ $96 +$11 11-03 07:35
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +110 $3 80¢ $89 +$85 10-30 07:42
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? Yes +287 $164 25¢ $72 -$92 10-30 23:05
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.00T? Yes +224 $78 22¢ $49 -$29 10-28 09:21
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797 Yes +50 $46 94¢ $47 +$1 11-01 10:45
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +325 $56 14¢ $44 -$12 11-01 17:24
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? Yes +553 $77 6¢ $33 -$44 10-29 20:34
Will Taylor Swift be the top artist for 2026? Yes -1,114 -$50 3¢ $-31 +$20 06-17 23:53
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +31 $20 85¢ $27 +$7 10-20 10:21
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +250 $30 10¢ $24 -$6 11-01 17:24
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? Yes +35 $16 66¢ $23 +$7 09-07 09:52
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +190 $22 12¢ $22 $0 11-01 11:54
Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +175 $25 12¢ $22 -$3 10-24 10:01
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +27 $19 76¢ $21 +$1 11-01 00:48
will openais valuation hit low 800b by december 31 852 948 Yes +200 $94 8¢ $17 -$77 07-10 12:21
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +125 $14 14¢ $17 +$3 10-24 09:59
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +367 $12 5¢ $17 +$5 11-01 01:24
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +25 $17 66¢ $17 $0 11-03 07:13
Will Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +270 $32 6¢ $15 -$17 11-01 11:56
Will Anthropic IPO on November 20, 2026? Yes +70 $18 20¢ $14 -$3 11-01 01:11
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +50 $19 26¢ $13 -$6 10-25 00:20
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? Yes +25 $12 52¢ $13 +$2 10-08 10:03
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? Yes +100 $18 12¢ $12 -$6 10-05 23:54