Attentive-Birdcage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$24

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.9%

Resolved

187

Trades

244

lifetime

Volume

$21.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 10-30 14:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 126 days

Categories

Crypto

37% 87% -$5

Sports

28% 18% -$15

Other

22% 63% -$3

Politics

13% 33% $0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$440	221	221	+0	No	$0	02-03 08:34
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	3	$321	105	217	-111	No	$0	02-13 06:03
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$261	131	131	+0	No	$0	03-29 03:44
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$261	131	131	+0	No	$0	03-29 04:44
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$260	131	131	+0	No	$0	03-27 05:54
will corey conners win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$253	127	127	+0	No	$0	03-20 09:53
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$232	117	117	+0	No	$0	04-05 05:14
Will Portugal be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	2	$227	114	114	+0	No	$0	04-21 07:05
Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$224	112	112	+0	No	$0	01-16 04:15
Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	2	$224	112	112	+0	No	$0	01-19 06:26
Will Wolves win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$224	112	112	+0	No	$0	01-19 06:55
Will Bournemouth win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$223	112	112	+0	No	$0	01-19 07:09
Will Brighton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$223	112	112	+0	No	$0	01-19 07:31
Will Crystal Palace win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$223	112	112	+0	No	$0	01-24 06:45
Will West Ham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$223	112	112	+0	No	$0	01-24 08:00
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$222	111	111	+0	No	$0	01-26 09:48
Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$222	111	111	+0	No	$0	01-24 08:43
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$222	111	111	+0	No	$0	01-26 10:03
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$222	111	111	+0	No	$0	01-26 10:51
Will Norway win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$220	111	111	+0	No	$0	04-23 08:43
Will Azerbaijan win the televote for Eurovision 2026?	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	$0	04-23 09:14
Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	$0	05-06 11:11
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	$0	05-09 05:06
Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	2	$220	110	110	+0	No	$0	05-06 11:29
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$220	111	111	+0	No	$0	05-09 05:25
Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?	2	$220	111	111	+0	open	—	05-07 05:45
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$216	108	108	+0	No	$0	05-26 06:06
Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	2	$216	108	108	+0	No	$0	05-07 06:05
Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	2	$216	108	108	+0	No	$0	05-26 05:23
Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	2	$216	108	108	+0	No	$0	05-24 04:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 14:43:15	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in October?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x74155c…
09-25 12:23:17	will wti reach 150 in september 2026	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x7d6797…
09-25 12:20:26	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at >$245 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x892ff0…
08-11 07:52:54	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 12?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x1a6d4f…
07-17 08:17:27	will spy dip to 720 by july 13 2026	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xc30474…
07-17 08:16:49	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0x048a25…
06-30 07:48:23	will abnb dip to 108 in june 2026	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x71a808…
06-05 13:09:07	will nflx reach 100 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xb657df…
06-05 13:08:39	will nflx reach 102 50 by june 1 2026	No	BUY	76	100¢	$76	0x72b242…
06-01 06:59:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	94	100¢	$94	0x939020…
06-01 06:51:40	Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes	Hurricanes	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x74e6d1…
05-31 07:30:21	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0x318bc6…
05-31 07:26:18	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x5327b2…
05-30 11:23:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x15e4a2…
05-30 11:21:17	Will Marin Čilić be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0xfe2ee9…
05-30 11:04:41	Will Marin Čilić be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x1b72f4…
05-30 11:02:37	Will Gabriel Diallo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	73	100¢	$73	0x2dc484…
05-30 10:43:10	Will Gabriel Diallo be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x70827f…
05-30 10:38:07	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Raphael Collignon	Matteo Arnaldi	BUY	11	35¢	$4	0x255ae2…
05-30 10:35:33	Will Elena Lasconi be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x964c17…
05-29 04:51:34	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at <$370 on the final day of trading of the week of May 25 – May 29?	No	BUY	77	100¢	$77	0xeb844b…
05-29 04:45:49	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xafa4d8…
05-28 12:11:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 28?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x2ce662…
05-28 12:07:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on May 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xb6070f…
05-27 06:14:19	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa7b900…
05-27 06:11:13	Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs GenOne (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Closed Qualifier Group A	HEROIC Academy	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0xc84117…
05-27 06:05:25	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x00f270…
05-27 04:13:30	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xfacd76…
05-27 04:11:50	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0xebf6a1…
05-27 03:51:18	Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xd2ce7d…
05-26 06:14:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xe4ecb9…
05-26 06:10:07	KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giants	Lotte Giants	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xbde0e9…
05-26 06:06:14	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x4f7ff3…
05-26 05:24:47	Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x67f058…
05-26 05:23:37	Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x5b2b0a…
05-26 04:36:40	Will Civic Platform (GP) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xd33999…
05-24 04:46:59	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x08c648…
05-24 04:41:25	Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x89437e…
05-24 04:17:54	Will Matteo Berrettini be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x08e16b…
05-24 03:50:43	Roland Garros ATP: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Novak Djokovic	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xc23924…
05-23 07:11:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?	No	BUY	87	100¢	$86	0xc3de5e…
05-23 07:05:50	Seattle Mariners vs. Kansas City Royals	Seattle Mariners	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe0abda…
05-23 07:00:36	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0xc6bc88…
05-23 06:40:27	Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x02656b…
05-23 06:38:49	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	92	99¢	$91	0xdb96bc…
05-23 05:50:24	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0xa4b9a6…
05-22 10:05:34	Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of May 18 above $450?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$92	0xf1a77b…
05-20 11:51:51	spy closes above 715 on may 20 2026	Yes	BUY	92	100¢	$91	0x1a9d3d…
05-19 04:12:03	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on May 19?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x3b48cf…
05-19 04:08:17	Will Lorenzo Sonego be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	91	100¢	$91	0x6635ad…
05-19 03:48:29	Will Lorenzo Sonego be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0x74924b…
05-19 03:44:36	KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles	Hanwha Eagles	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1193c5…
05-18 06:46:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	97	100¢	$97	0x039004…
05-18 06:44:15	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x55df9a…
05-18 06:28:30	Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x0c2b46…
05-18 06:26:31	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	96	100¢	$96	0x7f87ca…
05-18 06:08:31	Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x76e44b…
05-18 06:05:50	LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	KT Rolster	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0xd5f5cf…
05-17 08:57:02	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 17?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x578cb9…
05-16 11:08:40	Will Moldova be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x0e9774…
05-15 04:08:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x5a7012…
05-14 10:47:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x823825…
05-14 10:39:25	Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates	Colorado Rockies	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0xa88b38…
05-14 10:36:44	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0x1d8575…
05-14 09:55:31	Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x932320…
05-14 09:53:42	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0xd4b6bc…
05-14 09:35:04	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x38f359…
05-13 09:36:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 13?	Yes	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0x564d23…
05-12 05:45:07	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x421bfa…
05-11 06:04:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 11?	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xb1d8ba…
05-11 06:01:56	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0xccad66…
05-11 05:42:04	Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x31557a…
05-11 05:40:40	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0x6764b0…
05-11 05:21:20	Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	108	99¢	$107	0x177634…
05-10 12:02:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x7346b2…
05-10 11:12:02	Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangers	Chicago Cubs	BUY	10	47¢	$4	0xa7f9a7…
05-09 05:35:00	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x761714…
05-09 05:30:17	Wuxi: Yunchaokete Bu vs Jie Cui	Yunchaokete Bu	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xe36118…
05-09 05:25:51	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x17aafe…
05-09 05:07:58	Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x434117…
05-09 05:06:57	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x0c5591…
05-09 04:22:40	Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x42e660…
05-08 07:18:25	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $670 Week of May 4 2026?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x307860…
05-08 07:14:52	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs	PARIVISION	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x39c674…
05-07 06:05:45	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on May 7?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x959510…
05-07 06:05:00	Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0xfa4de7…
05-07 05:47:28	Will Kang Hoon-sik win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x1e481c…
05-07 05:45:36	Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x8c40f1…
05-07 05:28:44	Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x4a0ee7…
05-06 11:29:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x189567…
05-06 11:29:04	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x76a706…
05-06 11:12:56	Will Racing Bulls be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xe1b3f6…
05-06 11:11:02	Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x3fec10…
05-06 10:53:06	Will Haas be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xc197e1…
05-05 15:39:08	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xb996dc…
05-04 07:23:38	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0xd8e7c5…
05-03 07:05:38	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x3221fc…
05-01 05:23:10	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of April 27 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x33fe9c…
04-30 06:27:24	Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in April?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x609962…
04-29 06:08:14	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0x883ecd…