Realized P&L (30d)
-$95
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
86.1%
Resolved (30d)
11
Trades (30d)
47
48 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.42K
$1.99K lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$145
13 positions
First seen
2026-05-23
last 10-23 20:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Politics
92% 50% -$116
Tech
4% — —
Other
4% 80% +$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +31 $20 72¢ $22 +$2 10-18 21:14
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +26 $20 76¢ $20 $0 10-20 22:09
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +24 $20 82¢ $19 -$1 10-20 22:12
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +25 $20 78¢ $19 -$1 10-20 22:10
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +12 $10 93¢ $11 +$1 10-20 22:21
Ukraine election called by December 31, 2026? No +11 $10 97¢ $11 +$1 10-20 22:18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +11 $10 92¢ $10 $0 10-20 22:17
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +13 $10 72¢ $9 -$1 10-20 22:25
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? No +6 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-20 22:16
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 10-23 12:06
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +5 $5 90¢ $5 $0 10-20 22:15
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +5 $5 94¢ $5 $0 10-20 22:14
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +6 $5 70¢ $4 -$1 10-23 12:04