Sticky-Nonbeliever — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

145

lifetime

Volume

$12.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$89

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 07-24 17:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

52% 0% $-1

Sports

32% 0% $-3

Crypto

11% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$668	349	349	+0	open	—	04-27 02:29
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	4	$601	311	311	+0	No	$-2	03-27 22:15
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	8	$594	314	314	+0	Yes	$-0	03-15 20:55
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$416	214	214	+0	open	—	03-30 23:55
will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	5	$367	188	188	+0	open	—	04-12 01:57
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	3	$337	144	207	-62	open	—	03-31 22:30
will bitcoin dip to 45k in march 2026	2	$315	162	162	+0	open	—	03-11 08:54
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$311	159	159	+0	No	$-0	03-13 09:33
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$302	154	154	+0	open	—	03-13 22:36
will ludvig aberg win the 2026 masters tournament	4	$299	158	158	+0	open	—	03-11 13:42
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$298	154	154	+0	open	—	03-16 03:24
will iowa state win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$297	157	157	+0	open	—	03-19 03:38
will cameron young win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$293	150	150	+0	open	—	03-20 10:26
will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	2	$291	152	152	+0	open	—	03-25 14:56
will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$290	149	149	+0	open	—	03-22 23:36
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?	2	$289	154	154	+0	open	—	03-20 20:03
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	3	$286	152	152	-0	open	—	03-14 18:36
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$286	147	147	+0	open	—	04-25 06:51
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	2	$286	146	146	+0	open	—	03-18 16:12
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$283	145	145	+0	No	$-0	03-17 09:44
will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	2	$279	143	143	+0	open	—	03-26 10:30
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	2	$279	146	146	+0	open	—	03-24 17:31
will patrick reed win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$277	141	141	+0	open	—	03-17 14:32
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	2	$274	141	141	+0	open	—	03-17 21:51
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	3	$271	140	140	+0	open	—	03-28 14:07
will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$270	138	138	+0	open	—	03-29 07:10
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	2	$268	137	137	+0	open	—	03-21 20:27
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$268	137	137	+0	No	$-0	03-23 10:03
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$268	139	139	+0	open	—	03-27 06:01
will robert macintyre win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$266	136	136	+0	open	—	03-25 00:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 17:10:31	mlb col mil 2026 07 24 extra innings	No	BUY	8	94¢	$8	0xe1f7cf…
06-21 19:16:11	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by end of june	No	BUY	55	96¢	$52	0xa0b262…
06-21 06:24:59	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0xbdd379…
06-21 02:17:35	Will Uruguay reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	57	98¢	$55	0xb670e3…
06-21 01:42:23	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0xc316c4…
06-20 17:34:31	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0x1b7ba4…
06-16 10:03:57	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	SELL	57	97¢	$55	0x32a933…
06-16 04:00:10	will bitcoin dip to 52pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0xd60819…
06-15 22:47:52	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	48	77¢	$37	0xc46947…
06-15 16:47:16	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0xddc8ee…
06-15 16:46:46	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x9c2148…
06-15 16:42:48	will bitcoin reach 67500 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	33	94¢	$31	0xc35da2…
06-13 08:09:57	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0xc726b8…
06-12 22:52:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	SELL	28	95¢	$27	0x4a8f4f…
06-12 16:05:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	18	93¢	$16	0x6031ad…
06-12 15:51:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x326684…
06-12 10:35:01	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	53	89¢	$47	0xbe8d37…
06-12 06:32:54	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	53	92¢	$49	0x7abacc…
06-12 05:55:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	66	96¢	$64	0x88df00…
06-12 00:54:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	66	96¢	$64	0xf0a645…
06-10 00:03:21	will paraguay reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149723	No	BUY	53	97¢	$52	0x029893…
06-09 23:33:06	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	93¢	$49	0x4430d6…
06-09 18:32:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$49	0x7585eb…
06-07 11:25:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	SELL	59	93¢	$55	0xbba36b…
06-07 05:19:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	59	94¢	$55	0x03115b…
06-06 17:29:06	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	64	92¢	$59	0x0a9f50…
06-06 09:25:52	Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	64	93¢	$60	0x06a352…
06-06 08:48:13	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0xe88a2a…
06-06 02:41:46	will ecuador reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149726	No	BUY	13	94¢	$12	0x71035d…
06-06 02:04:10	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x92cc73…
06-05 18:59:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xa4272a…
06-05 18:28:21	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	SELL	52	92¢	$48	0x3fc412…
06-05 13:28:13	Will Belgium reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	52	93¢	$48	0x89eb8a…
06-05 05:56:04	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	54	90¢	$49	0x323f7a…
06-05 00:55:49	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	54	91¢	$49	0x724353…
06-03 17:17:24	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	SELL	58	94¢	$54	0xb80e3e…
06-03 13:13:03	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	No	BUY	58	95¢	$55	0x3ed5e6…
05-23 13:25:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	61	95¢	$58	0xfeb690…
05-23 08:14:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	BUY	61	96¢	$58	0x5246e5…
05-22 03:29:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0xfde66b…
05-19 22:21:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xf5a485…
05-19 15:14:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$42	0x2d8ede…
05-15 07:51:12	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xa2939d…
05-12 10:17:00	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?	No	BUY	56	98¢	$55	0x337044…
04-27 02:29:52	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	137	98¢	$134	0x03bccd…
04-25 07:12:04	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	137	97¢	$133	0x5babdf…
04-25 06:51:02	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	147	97¢	$143	0x4f87c0…
04-25 00:42:32	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	147	97¢	$143	0xa3c6c2…
04-22 15:34:14	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	63	95¢	$59	0x9c7b01…
04-22 10:15:00	Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	63	95¢	$59	0xfd07f6…
04-21 15:02:02	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0x12f9e3…
04-21 09:57:28	Will the Philadelphia Flyers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x7d6a66…
04-18 02:45:40	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x4f514d…
04-17 18:23:26	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x26ac4f…
04-15 20:57:22	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x4fb1b4…
04-15 15:41:22	Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$43	0x2e138d…
04-12 10:44:31	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	42	94¢	$40	0x2a41b0…
04-12 02:27:49	will justin rose win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0x84b5e2…
04-12 01:57:21	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x3af6e0…
04-11 20:03:57	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xa875b5…
04-11 19:44:43	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	42	98¢	$41	0xccdddc…
04-11 11:53:39	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	63	93¢	$59	0x1c20c7…
04-11 06:30:35	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	63	93¢	$59	0x640fb1…
04-10 18:55:25	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0x7daba8…
04-10 11:09:07	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	59	96¢	$57	0x5be16b…
04-09 15:53:21	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	56	94¢	$53	0x660f47…
04-09 07:52:57	Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	56	94¢	$53	0xaf63e7…
03-31 22:30:05	Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	62	96¢	$60	0x142528…
03-31 07:17:21	will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	49	98¢	$48	0x9e3f9b…
03-31 00:36:05	will akshay bhatia win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x80a4eb…
03-30 23:55:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	66	97¢	$65	0x3f6c49…
03-30 19:38:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	66	97¢	$65	0x53e172…
03-30 18:47:37	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	69	97¢	$67	0x0a12f8…
03-30 12:51:48	Will the Anaheim Ducks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0xb190a5…
03-29 17:03:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	148	97¢	$143	0xa9390c…
03-29 08:39:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	148	97¢	$143	0xace3f4…
03-29 07:10:00	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	138	98¢	$135	0x89455a…
03-28 23:55:26	will collin morikawa win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	138	98¢	$135	0x2f69fa…
03-28 14:07:13	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	SELL	140	97¢	$136	0xf02935…
03-28 07:27:27	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	75	96¢	$72	0x5c7ae0…
03-28 07:27:19	will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0xd27332…
03-27 22:15:09	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	149	97¢	$144	0xe694f8…
03-27 15:10:29	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	149	97¢	$144	0x83756b…
03-27 06:01:23	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	139	97¢	$135	0x9f04e1…
03-26 21:06:45	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	139	95¢	$132	0x5769b1…
03-26 20:23:11	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	141	97¢	$136	0x6f7f4b…
03-26 11:19:15	will tommy fleetwood win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	141	97¢	$136	0x3909b6…
03-26 10:30:23	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	143	98¢	$140	0xccf1a0…
03-26 05:44:37	will st johns win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	143	98¢	$140	0x1753cf…
03-25 14:56:23	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	SELL	152	96¢	$145	0xfd0f46…
03-25 10:44:37	will crude oil cl hit low 70 by end of march 122 549 218 531 991 459	No	BUY	152	96¢	$146	0xffdb10…
03-25 00:58:15	will robert macintyre win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	136	98¢	$133	0x86fb4f…
03-24 20:52:51	will robert macintyre win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	136	98¢	$133	0x7a32e0…
03-24 17:31:45	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	146	96¢	$139	0x32c04a…
03-24 15:22:03	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	146	96¢	$140	0x323a57…
03-23 10:03:15	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	137	98¢	$134	0xb6dfd0…
03-23 00:33:59	Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	137	98¢	$134	0xbe0c86…
03-22 23:36:35	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	149	97¢	$145	0x0af01c…
03-22 16:35:13	will hideki matsuyama win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	149	98¢	$145	0x060e7c…
03-21 20:27:49	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	No	SELL	137	98¢	$134	0xa1f78a…