Elementary-Wind — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$131

Unrealized P&L

-$64

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

Trades

532

lifetime

Volume

$4.56K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$127

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-08 21:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Sports

67% 67% +$121

Other

24% 40% +$11

Crypto

8% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 65 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No		-197	$-63	64¢	$-127	$-64	06-04 12:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	102	$831	2,492	1,819	+673	open	—	03-14 21:52
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	14	$518	0	1,750	-1,750	open	—	02-21 22:01
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	18	$298	500	1,973	-1,473	open	—	04-15 10:47
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	16	$285	7,500	7,500	+0	open	—	03-14 16:02
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	9	$200	0	2,500	-2,500	open	—	03-02 07:32
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	39	$150	2,500	2,500	+0	No	+$45	04-04 11:30
f1 japanese grand prix driver podium russell 2026 03 29	11	$148	100	100	+0	open	—	03-28 07:46
will ethereum reach 3200 in february 2026	7	$148	2,550	2,550	+0	open	—	02-18 23:20
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$135	250	250	+0	No	+$50	04-28 01:59
Will Bayern Munich Win the Treble?	7	$131	279	250	+29	No	+$19	05-06 19:21
ufc rei1 cai2 2026 03 07	10	$72	150	75	+75	open	—	03-07 12:29
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	64	$63	0	197	-197	open	—	06-04 12:49
will ethereum reach 3400 in january 2026	1	$55	100	0	+100	open	—	01-03 23:29
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	5	$52	70	44	+26	open	—	04-14 20:40
Who will finish higher: Norris or Hamilton?	2	$50	30	30	+0	open	—	05-03 17:21
will ethereum reach 4000 in january 2026	2	$45	500	0	+500	open	—	01-03 04:47
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$40	250	0	+250	open	—	03-31 20:53
will bitcoin reach 90k in february 2026	12	$39	500	500	+0	open	—	02-19 23:14
lal rea mad 2026 03 22 rea	3	$32	30	27	+3	open	—	03-22 21:21
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)	3	$31	30	29	+1	open	—	04-27 20:39
epl che mac 2026 04 12 spread away 1pt5	3	$31	25	24	+1	open	—	04-12 17:08
fif hai isl 2026 03 31 isl	2	$30	30	30	+0	open	—	03-31 18:02
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 rma1	2	$30	41	41	+0	open	—	03-11 20:24
epl che mac 2026 04 12 mac	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	04-12 17:02
fif nld nor 2026 03 27 nld	2	$26	30	30	+0	open	—	03-27 20:11
fif ksa egy 2026 03 26 egy	2	$26	63	0	+63	open	—	03-26 00:29
epl che mun 2026 04 18 mun	4	$25	30	29	+1	open	—	04-18 19:49
will ethereum reach 4200 in january 2026	13	$22	500	0	+500	open	—	01-03 07:16
f1 australian grand prix constructor scores 1st mclaren 2026 03 07	5	$21	150	0	+150	open	—	03-07 05:03
Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	05-10 19:35

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 21:01:12	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Netherlands	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x3c270b…
06-08 18:16:09	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Netherlands	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0xd8afdb…
06-08 16:37:19	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 spread home 1pt5	Netherlands	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x28a2cc…
06-08 14:07:27	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x258ffc…
06-08 06:37:52	fifwc hai sco 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Scotland	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x319aa3…
06-07 16:59:04	will antoine semenyo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xc0c3d9…
06-07 15:56:28	fifwc usa par 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	United States	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x447136…
06-07 12:57:28	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x3d5ad7…
06-07 12:54:31	Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x2782f0…
06-07 09:19:57	world cup goals h2h dembele vspt olise 20260604014137377	Dembele	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x3c79e5…
06-06 22:06:43	will antoine semenyo score a goal at the 2026 fifa world cup	Yes	BUY	6	43¢	$3	0x1d46c0…
06-06 18:13:28	Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Germany	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x9266bf…
06-06 18:09:21	Spread: Germany (-2.5)	Germany	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0xced4f5…
06-06 13:53:58	Spread: Germany (-1.5)	Germany	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x20dfff…
06-04 12:49:48	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	0	27¢	$0	0x613f1e…
06-03 19:45:00	Spread: Italy (-2.5)	Italy	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x6cae69…
06-03 19:07:18	Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)	Netherlands	SELL	20	24¢	$5	0x6a93b0…
06-03 18:52:10	Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)	Netherlands	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xfd4610…
06-03 18:46:30	Spread: Italy (-1.5)	Italy	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0x89748b…
06-03 18:44:52	Spread: Italy (-2.5)	Italy	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0x59fb7a…
06-02 21:13:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xc4f815…
06-02 19:36:38	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$9	0x47c85e…
06-02 06:15:21	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x9e8f12…
06-02 06:15:21	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x8e75c4…
06-02 06:15:21	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x7b7cd1…
06-02 06:15:21	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x466534…
06-02 06:15:21	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x234153…
06-02 06:15:21	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x0a2e04…
06-02 06:15:19	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xe496e4…
06-02 06:15:19	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xdc12c3…
06-02 06:15:19	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xdb0516…
06-02 06:15:19	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xad5070…
06-02 06:15:19	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xac62d6…
06-02 06:15:19	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x92249c…
06-02 06:15:19	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x707202…
06-02 06:15:17	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xfd0c91…
06-02 06:15:17	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xf568e7…
06-02 06:15:17	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xb2a008…
06-02 06:15:17	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x63eb68…
06-02 06:15:17	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x1f1bd5…
06-02 06:15:17	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x06722f…
06-02 06:15:15	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xf47a2c…
06-02 06:15:15	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xde6a68…
06-02 06:15:15	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x94b61b…
06-02 06:15:15	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x55a87e…
06-02 06:15:15	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x5364b7…
06-02 06:15:14	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x6e2fb2…
06-02 06:15:14	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x5a4461…
06-02 06:15:14	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x3dd48e…
06-02 06:05:31	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xf05a4d…
06-02 06:05:31	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xbe138f…
06-02 06:05:31	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x9cd549…
06-02 06:05:31	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x88b984…
06-02 06:05:31	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x7d3109…
06-02 06:05:29	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x622659…
06-02 06:05:29	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x4443b3…
06-02 06:05:27	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xf4d44e…
06-02 06:05:27	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x775bda…
06-02 06:05:27	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x70e144…
06-02 06:05:26	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xb204cf…
06-02 06:05:26	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x58a3b9…
06-02 06:05:24	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x03d7cd…
06-02 06:05:22	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xa3ce36…
06-02 06:05:22	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x51acdd…
06-02 06:05:22	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x488eda…
06-02 06:05:22	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x08e626…
06-02 06:05:20	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xf3052f…
06-02 06:05:20	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xd5ab2b…
06-02 06:05:20	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xaac0ba…
06-02 06:05:20	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x2b301d…
06-02 06:05:20	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x09055a…
06-02 06:05:19	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xc106ad…
06-02 06:05:19	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x87e060…
06-02 06:05:19	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x190a12…
06-02 06:05:19	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x181d88…
06-02 06:05:19	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x0eb016…
06-02 06:05:19	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x0957ac…
06-02 06:05:17	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xc35d1d…
06-02 06:05:17	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0xb27993…
06-02 06:05:17	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x83ed49…
06-02 06:05:17	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x675b8b…
06-02 06:05:17	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x5112f8…
06-02 06:05:17	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x486a4b…
06-02 06:05:17	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x199e5c…
06-02 06:05:15	Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	32¢	$1	0x949131…
06-01 16:57:15	Spread: Norway (-2.5)	Norway	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xc208ea…
06-01 16:54:45	Spread: Norway (-1.5)	Norway	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x679eb7…
05-29 21:47:04	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x9fd818…
05-29 21:25:03	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0x1dead3…
05-29 21:03:28	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x44d877…
05-29 21:02:47	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xbed130…
05-27 13:44:05	Spread: Crystal Palace FC (-1.5)	Crystal Palace FC	BUY	50	22¢	$11	0xc1d733…
05-23 19:28:54	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x345b27…
05-23 19:17:49	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x9b57c1…
05-19 17:46:58	Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)	Manchester City FC	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xe4189b…
05-11 18:58:47	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x73c969…
05-11 18:57:02	Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x00f6b2…
05-10 19:35:24	Romanian PM Bolojan out by May 31?	No	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0x4c6163…
05-09 19:25:12	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	25	19¢	$5	0xa5bf00…
05-09 19:24:37	UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)	Jeremy Stephens	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0xd13bbe…