(anonymous) 0xfc1495…074fda Create alert
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Realized P&L (7d)
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (7d)
3
Trades (7d)
49
264 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$37
$504 lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$139
30 positions
First seen
2026-09-01
last 11-10 08:05
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 16 days
Categories
Other
77% 40% -$59
Politics
14% 36% +$1
Tech
8% 20% -$8
Crypto
1% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%? Yes +60 $22 36¢ $22 $0 11-05 22:24
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%? Yes +190 $9 6¢ $12 +$4 10-27 19:29
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +13 $10 90¢ $12 +$2 09-01 18:40
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +12 $10 92¢ $11 +$1 09-01 20:42
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 10-31 12:04
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.50T and $1.75T? Yes +15 $9 62¢ $9 +$0 11-06 06:23
Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%? Yes +10 $7 78¢ $8 +$1 11-03 13:35
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%? No +10 $5 59¢ $6 +$1 10-27 13:21
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Yes +10 $6 59¢ $6 +$0 11-04 21:57
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31? Yes +5 $1 88¢ $4 +$4 11-09 00:58
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $3 84¢ $4 +$1 10-29 14:36
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $2 64¢ $3 +$1 10-29 14:37
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%? No +5 $3 60¢ $3 +$0 10-31 14:32
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.0% and 0.2%? Yes +20 $5 14¢ $3 -$2 10-30 16:25
Will South African inflation be between 4.7% and 5.0% in 2026? Yes +10 $2 26¢ $3 +$1 11-04 12:57
Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%? Yes +15 $3 17¢ $3 -$1 11-06 09:26
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be less than -0.3%? No +5 $4 50¢ $2 -$1 10-30 09:37
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? Yes +10 $2 22¢ $2 +$1 11-04 16:51
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be less than $1.25T? Yes +75 $2 3¢ $2 +$0 11-10 08:05
Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%? Yes +59 $4 3¢ $2 -$2 10-30 16:21
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? Yes +151 $6 1¢ $2 -$4 09-04 11:04
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.1% and 0.5%? Yes +5 $1 30¢ $2 +$0 09-15 01:42
Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%? Yes +10 $3 14¢ $1 -$1 11-04 18:10
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 09-04 16:21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10 $1 10¢ $1 $0 11-05 16:45
Will China's annual inflation in 2026 be between 0.6% and 1.0%? Yes +2 $1 50¢ $1 +$0 09-01 22:10
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +10 $1 9¢ $1 +$0 11-05 08:23
Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? Yes +5 $0 18¢ $1 +$1 11-04 02:57
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +11 $1 8¢ $1 $0 11-05 09:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +10 $1 8¢ $1 $0 11-06 04:46