Bruised-Venison — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$585

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.8%

Resolved

191

Trades

80,759

lifetime

Volume

$462.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-10 11:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 50% $-578

Other

2% 75% $-8

Politics

0% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	3	$5.0K	2,500	2,490	+10	open	—	01-03 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	11	$3.6K	3,944	0	+3,944	Up	+$39	05-12 04:19
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	2	$3.0K	2,550	500	+2,050	open	—	01-04 02:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	6	$2.5K	2,524	0	+2,524	Down	+$13	05-12 01:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	12	$1.7K	1,770	0	+1,770	Up	+$22	05-12 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	41	$1.4K	1,772	0	+1,772	Up	+$17	05-09 04:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	42	$1.3K	3,260	0	+3,260	Down	$-14	05-11 06:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	25	$1.2K	2,100	0	+2,100	Up	$-175	05-12 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	56	$1.1K	1,130	0	+1,130	Down	+$11	05-11 16:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	6	$1.1K	1,222	0	+1,222	Down	+$12	05-09 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	10	$1.1K	2,046	0	+2,046	Up	+$8	05-11 09:49
btc updown 15m 1776399300	42	$927	593	644	-51	open	—	04-17 04:29
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 8pm et	31	$912	669	500	+169	open	—	04-17 00:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	17	$888	1,025	0	+1,025	Down	+$12	05-12 06:34
bitcoin up or down april 16 2026 9pm et	71	$814	1,055	728	+326	open	—	04-17 01:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	16	$785	798	0	+798	Down	+$12	05-09 06:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	19	$747	996	0	+996	Down	+$3	05-11 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$738	745	0	+745	Down	+$7	05-12 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	10	$723	1,581	0	+1,581	Down	$-1	05-09 03:44
btc updown 5m 1775915400	37	$715	991	0	+991	open	—	04-11 13:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	47	$708	568	557	+11	open	—	04-25 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	18	$653	655	0	+655	Down	+$2	05-11 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	5	$647	656	0	+656	Up	+$9	05-11 08:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	66	$644	921	160	+761	open	—	04-30 23:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	47	$639	897	0	+897	Up	$-191	05-09 12:49
btc updown 5m 1775913000	29	$630	816	0	+816	open	—	04-11 13:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	31	$629	1,007	0	+1,007	Down	$-185	05-09 04:39
btc updown 5m 1775953200	17	$627	714	0	+714	open	—	04-12 00:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	58	$610	966	0	+966	Down	$-104	05-11 04:29
eth updown 15m 1776411900	21	$609	329	329	+1	open	—	04-17 07:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 11:55:15	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0xa469eb…
08-04 08:02:24	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x0531b1…
08-03 02:40:24	Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	18	92¢	$16	0x3ebf28…
08-03 02:39:59	Will Trump meet with iShowSpeed in 2026?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0x7e442d…
07-22 07:36:28	Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?	No	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0xb98d89…
07-22 07:36:28	Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	9	97¢	$8	0x465288…
07-22 07:35:36	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0xc92251…
07-22 07:34:46	Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$14	0xd404f3…
07-22 07:34:45	Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0x9dbfed…
07-22 07:34:45	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0x90396d…
07-22 07:34:43	Perena FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	14	11¢	$2	0xd319dd…
07-22 07:34:27	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	No	SELL	15	49¢	$7	0xc304db…
07-22 07:34:25	Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	15	56¢	$8	0x9dd7d3…
07-22 07:34:07	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0x531b27…
07-22 07:34:07	Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	No	SELL	17	94¢	$16	0x07abc0…
07-22 07:33:34	Blue tsunami in 2026?	No	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x0e5af7…
07-22 07:32:27	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0xc5e23b…
07-22 07:31:52	US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?	No	SELL	25	81¢	$20	0x9ccb92…
07-22 07:31:51	Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?	No	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0xe62461…
07-22 07:31:34	Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	9¢	$2	0xcacb1c…
05-15 10:45:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x4dd26f…
05-15 10:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xeb87cf…
05-15 10:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xad1e80…
05-15 10:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9ccf27…
05-15 10:45:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	41	27¢	$11	0x4ed0cb…
05-15 10:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0xc4ddce…
05-15 10:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	27	87¢	$24	0x779fac…
05-15 10:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x26c801…
05-15 10:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x541b8a…
05-15 07:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xb98f00…
05-15 01:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xdac419…
05-15 01:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xd84b22…
05-15 01:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xd1d905…
05-15 01:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0xa4eebe…
05-15 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	22	32¢	$7	0xef3245…
05-15 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xe5a714…
05-15 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd89744…
05-15 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0xb138ee…
05-15 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0x9286f6…
05-15 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	27	28¢	$8	0x7fe922…
05-15 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	57	37¢	$21	0x6f9b65…
05-15 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x61609b…
05-15 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0x60f70f…
05-15 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$1	0x5b78a3…
05-15 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0x4198a3…
05-15 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x08f853…
05-15 01:15:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x0616aa…
05-14 22:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	57	17¢	$10	0xf209ea…
05-14 22:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	16¢	$0	0xbeb7d8…
05-14 22:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb2875a…
05-14 22:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x83131d…
05-14 22:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x297591…
05-14 22:04:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xf68ce4…
05-14 22:04:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	35¢	$0	0xd7abe2…
05-14 21:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0xb4ecae…
05-14 21:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	174	18¢	$31	0x4c8859…
05-14 21:00:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x4514ed…
05-14 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	18	19¢	$3	0xf3559d…
05-14 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0xe7ac0f…
05-14 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	69	13¢	$9	0xd5042b…
05-14 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0xc1e0cd…
05-14 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	21¢	$2	0xbc2309…
05-14 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xb705eb…
05-14 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0xb10561…
05-14 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x47d24d…
05-14 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x319185…
05-14 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	56	20¢	$11	0x214237…
05-14 20:59:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x1ca895…
05-14 19:44:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xe429f5…
05-14 19:44:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0xcf2b47…
05-14 19:44:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x9234dd…
05-14 19:44:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	16¢	$2	0x3fe9b6…
05-14 19:44:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0x084d33…
05-14 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xfa9564…
05-14 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xf5cb4d…
05-14 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	34¢	$4	0xed943a…
05-14 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	36¢	$7	0xc1fc53…
05-14 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	34¢	$7	0x766cd1…
05-14 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	36¢	$8	0x69d551…
05-14 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0x607c1f…
05-14 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0x105d5c…
05-14 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x0662d0…
05-14 05:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0xd1048e…
05-14 05:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	32¢	$7	0xbb3625…
05-14 05:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x9af394…
05-14 05:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	30¢	$0	0x799aa8…
05-14 05:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x767d7f…
05-14 05:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x3194bb…
05-14 04:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xef24e5…
05-14 04:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xe942d0…
05-14 04:35:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xc92370…
05-14 04:35:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xab1413…
05-14 04:35:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x7cf5d9…
05-14 04:35:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0x21f484…
05-14 04:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xd581dc…
05-14 04:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	30¢	$4	0x48fa82…
05-14 04:35:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	27	30¢	$8	0x093500…
05-13 02:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc7dc3f…
05-13 02:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	147	2¢	$3	0xcc5914…
05-13 02:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x0b253f…