Realized P&L (30d)
-$19
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
12.9%
Resolved (30d)
7
Trades (30d)
0
80,799 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$0
$463.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$250
19 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-11 23:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 106 days
Categories
Crypto
98% 46% +$1,442
Other
2% 56% -$606
Politics
0% 47% +$152
Sports
0% 89% -$34
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$307
Tech
0% 33% -$5
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-11).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No -30 -$30 100¢ $-30 $0 07-22 07:31
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No -25 -$20 96¢ $-24 -$4 07-22 07:31
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No -19 -$19 100¢ $-19 $0 08-03 02:38
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? No -18 -$18 97¢ $-18 +$0 07-22 07:33
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -18 -$16 96¢ $-17 -$1 08-03 02:40
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? No -17 -$16 98¢ $-17 $0 07-22 07:34
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -24 -$14 69¢ $-17 -$2 07-22 07:31
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -17 -$16 96¢ $-16 $0 07-22 07:34
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No -14 -$12 99¢ $-14 -$2 07-22 07:34
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No -14 -$14 98¢ $-14 $0 07-22 07:34
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? No -14 -$12 94¢ $-13 -$2 07-22 07:34
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No -13 -$13 100¢ $-13 $0 07-22 07:35
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? No -11 -$9 96¢ $-11 -$2 07-22 07:36
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? No -10 -$8 91¢ $-9 -$1 07-22 07:36
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No -9 -$8 96¢ $-8 +$0 07-22 07:36
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -15 -$8 52¢ $-8 +$1 07-22 07:34
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -28 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$2 07-22 07:31
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -20 -$2 3¢ $-1 +$1 07-22 07:32
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes -12 -$4 3¢ $-0 +$3 07-22 07:35