Realized P&L
+$2.94K
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
53.3%
Resolved
2,455
Trades
10,864
lifetime
Volume
$222.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$118
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-29 09:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 150 days
Categories
Crypto
82% 50% +$4,444
Politics
8% 3% -$198
Other
8% 24% -$1,399
Tech
1% 33% +$6
Sports
0% 67% +$84
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 1105 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +13 $8 66¢ $8 +$1 10-28 00:11
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 83¢ $8 +$0 10-29 10:01
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$0 10-28 19:59
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +10 $7 68¢ $7 +$0 10-28 14:40
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? No +10 $6 64¢ $6 +$0 10-28 14:38
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? Yes +10 $6 62¢ $6 +$0 10-28 20:12
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +10 $8 62¢ $6 -$1 10-28 21:32
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +9 $6 55¢ $5 -$1 10-27 14:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $5 16¢ $5 $0 10-28 20:18
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +13 $5 34¢ $4 -$1 10-27 21:54
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? Yes +5 $4 80¢ $4 $0 10-26 16:00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +26 $5 15¢ $4 -$1 10-29 09:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +10 $5 38¢ $4 -$1 10-29 01:42
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? No +10 $4 38¢ $4 $0 10-28 21:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? Yes +10 $4 36¢ $4 +$0 10-28 20:15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? No +6 $4 60¢ $3 $0 10-28 21:24
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +10 $3 32¢ $3 +$0 10-28 20:56
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +13 $3 25¢ $3 $0 10-28 07:35
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? No +15 $3 20¢ $3 $0 10-28 08:54
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4 $3 60¢ $3 +$0 10-29 01:48
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? No +4 $3 72¢ $3 -$1 10-28 21:46
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $2 45¢ $2 +$1 10-27 13:19
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3 $2 77¢ $2 $0 10-27 06:51
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? Yes +5 $2 41¢ $2 $0 10-27 16:20
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +3 $2 66¢ $2 +$0 10-28 00:31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $1 40¢ $2 +$1 10-28 21:20
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? Yes +6 $0 29¢ $2 +$2 10-28 22:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +10 $2 18¢ $2 +$0 10-28 20:53
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $2 17¢ $2 +$0 10-28 11:03
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? Yes +4 $3 33¢ $1 -$2 10-28 23:26