Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$281

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.9%

Resolved

Trades

125

lifetime

Volume

$11.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$91

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 04-29 19:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

88% — —

Other

10% 50% $-281

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	4	$6.7K	3,851	3,851	+0	open	—	04-05 21:38
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	9	$1.1K	3,765	0	+3,765	open	—	03-26 03:15
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$681	435	435	+0	open	—	04-05 21:37
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	10	$309	1,120	0	+1,120	No	$-309	04-07 16:05
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$258	250	250	+0	open	—	04-08 00:45
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	3	$246	252	252	+0	open	—	03-26 03:15
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$234	143	143	+0	open	—	03-21 19:12
Trump out as President by April 30?	4	$230	6,709	6,709	+0	open	—	04-07 03:28
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	2	$176	106	106	+0	open	—	03-15 14:04
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	2	$128	100	100	+0	open	—	04-09 02:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$126	730	0	+730	open	—	04-18 23:16
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	3	$116	400	0	+400	open	—	04-05 22:59
btc updown 5m 1773006000	2	$115	117	0	+117	open	—	03-08 21:44
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$113	134	0	+134	open	—	03-12 14:56
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	6	$110	1,165	0	+1,165	open	—	03-13 16:50
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	2	$78	100	100	+0	open	—	04-08 03:51
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	1	$72	100	0	+100	Yes	+$28	04-07 00:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	2	$70	60	60	+0	open	—	04-08 00:46
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	2	$53	100	0	+100	open	—	04-07 00:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$50	91	0	+91	open	—	03-12 00:52
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$43	50	0	+50	open	—	04-07 00:08
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$38	100	0	+100	open	—	04-07 03:30
netanyahu out by march 31 854	2	$30	534	0	+534	open	—	03-15 14:06
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	03-25 02:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	1	$23	30	0	+30	open	—	04-07 00:10
will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	1	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	03-08 22:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	1	$20	111	0	+111	open	—	04-18 23:16
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	03-09 04:11
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	04-07 13:48
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	1	$17	40	0	+40	open	—	04-07 00:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-29 19:54:36	Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x39a55e…
04-29 19:54:34	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x82aab5…
04-29 01:45:04	Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xdeb751…
04-29 01:44:40	Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0986b6…
04-29 01:44:30	Will Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xd6061e…
04-29 01:44:10	Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x05edd9…
04-29 01:43:40	Will Powell say "Successor" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x89329f…
04-29 01:43:34	Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x02ebc2…
04-18 23:17:58	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	40	0¢	$0	0x1f9f35…
04-18 23:16:58	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x87713e…
04-18 23:16:38	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0xdf7122…
04-13 13:11:41	will trump praise allah again by april 15 423	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x5593c6…
04-09 02:12:03	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xbfdbba…
04-08 03:51:13	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	SELL	100	68¢	$68	0xb3845a…
04-08 00:46:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x6e0cb9…
04-08 00:45:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	250	99¢	$248	0x08c252…
04-07 16:05:29	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	205	34¢	$70	0x3b98d5…
04-07 15:56:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xd8185d…
04-07 15:55:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x01c069…
04-07 15:43:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	292	34¢	$99	0x5651bb…
04-07 13:50:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x058523…
04-07 13:50:05	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xd8495d…
04-07 13:49:33	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xa7f3b9…
04-07 13:48:43	Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x2c8216…
04-07 12:16:35	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x4b7368…
04-07 12:16:19	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0xfdece1…
04-07 12:16:19	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	1¢	$0	0x260a2d…
04-07 10:14:13	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	1¢	$0	0x552b61…
04-07 10:14:13	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	356	1¢	$3	0x1b29f0…
04-07 10:14:13	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	53	1¢	$0	0x0fec59…
04-07 10:14:13	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x0237dd…
04-07 08:29:49	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$1	0xec47a0…
04-07 08:29:49	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	1¢	$0	0xaac252…
04-07 08:29:49	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	1¢	$0	0x1ea8f7…
04-07 08:29:47	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x1b0932…
04-07 08:23:23	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	134	1¢	$1	0x74ad24…
04-07 08:23:23	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x560626…
04-07 08:23:23	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	27	1¢	$0	0x207612…
04-07 05:54:37	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x787d07…
04-07 05:43:49	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x20960a…
04-07 04:48:23	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	90	1¢	$1	0xcd902e…
04-07 04:33:27	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xbd6bfc…
04-07 03:30:37	Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x57002a…
04-07 03:30:23	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x5cd549…
04-07 03:29:57	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	104	1¢	$1	0xcbae98…
04-07 03:29:53	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x8705cc…
04-07 03:28:11	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6,709	1¢	$97	0x4353ab…
04-07 00:11:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	40	34¢	$14	0x27a3aa…
04-07 00:10:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdd75fb…
04-07 00:10:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	Yes	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x957749…
04-07 00:10:25	will connecticut win the 2026 ncaa tournament	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x1b3ae4…
04-07 00:09:49	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$3	0x007ff3…
04-07 00:09:17	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x07426a…
04-07 00:08:41	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x8300e9…
04-07 00:08:31	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x97c998…
04-07 00:07:51	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x1ee9a7…
04-07 00:07:43	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x06f058…
04-07 00:07:27	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x641569…
04-05 22:59:59	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	342	29¢	$99	0x376e51…
04-05 22:33:05	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x81328a…
04-05 22:04:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	111	22¢	$24	0xc320e0…
04-05 21:58:09	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	254	22¢	$56	0x970394…
04-05 21:49:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	25	22¢	$6	0x7200c3…
04-05 21:49:01	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	200	22¢	$44	0xf76524…
04-05 21:48:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xccc84d…
04-05 21:46:05	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x481766…
04-05 21:43:47	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	Yes	BUY	600	16¢	$96	0xf6caab…
04-05 21:40:53	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	48	29¢	$14	0xf13f84…
04-05 21:38:03	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	3,672	100¢	$3,665	0x3861c8…
04-05 21:37:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	435	100¢	$433	0xedd1cf…
04-05 01:16:31	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	4,750	2¢	$95	0x3e0a32…
04-05 01:13:53	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1,732	2¢	$33	0x3e69d7…
04-05 01:02:17	Trump out as President by April 30?	Yes	BUY	227	2¢	$4	0xcfcf84…
04-05 01:01:57	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0xf84260…
03-29 19:47:12	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,672	77¢	$2,827	0x350dbd…
03-26 03:15:49	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	315	20¢	$63	0xa4e17f…
03-26 03:15:31	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	SELL	252	18¢	$46	0x73644f…
03-25 02:01:23	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	Yes	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xa7ce7d…
03-21 19:13:19	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	435	57¢	$248	0xbddee0…
03-21 19:12:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	143	94¢	$134	0xd0ff5e…
03-15 14:06:35	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	357	6¢	$20	0xfad981…
03-15 14:05:09	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	177	6¢	$10	0x74ddf4…
03-15 14:04:39	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	Yes	SELL	106	71¢	$76	0xc23fca…
03-13 22:37:29	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	308	36¢	$111	0x90a2e0…
03-13 22:37:09	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	SELL	179	62¢	$111	0x5c3e2a…
03-13 16:50:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	1,167	36¢	$420	0xc108c4…
03-13 16:50:09	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	204	5¢	$10	0x15f614…
03-12 14:56:47	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	135	74¢	$100	0x01c1ae…
03-12 14:56:39	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xca652f…
03-12 14:55:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	371	27¢	$100	0x90a613…
03-12 14:13:29	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x85ab2e…
03-12 02:48:37	btc updown 5m 1773283500	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x369bf8…
03-12 02:48:17	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x5eb3be…
03-12 02:48:13	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0xef355b…
03-12 00:52:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0xb9b36c…
03-11 05:13:35	btc updown 5m 1773205800	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x640532…
03-11 05:13:13	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xde2011…
03-11 05:12:55	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0xdf034f…
03-11 05:12:21	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xf06cf3…
03-11 05:10:39	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xd4bbd3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	48	$256.8K	20,250	05-31 16:30
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	45	$15.0M	18,029	06-02 17:53
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	45	$44.7K	9,233	05-06 22:04
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	43	$493.9K	32,039	05-25 23:51
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	41	$703.8K	11,971	05-30 17:33
Terrible-Ordinary 0x0a6d…1d0a	39	$522.6K	5,510	05-24 11:27
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	39	$150.3K	928	05-30 20:33
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	39	$94.9K	7,520	04-28 07:17