Agitated-Passage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.88K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.4%

Resolved

1,105

Trades

3,361

lifetime

Volume

$16.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 09-25 17:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 143 days

Categories

Other

38% 31% -$564

Sports

31% 30% -$2,105

Crypto

26% 40% -$20

Politics

3% 27% -$126

Tech

1% 4% -$64

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	25	$742	1,316	3,425	-2,109	Yes	-$1,774	05-27 03:05
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	11	$572	1,095	1,095	+0	No	+$98	07-04 12:11
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	10	$529	1,576	1,576	+0	No	+$19	07-19 19:49
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	27	$481	7,230	7,230	+0	No	-$88	05-24 02:24
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	19	$416	7,554	6,518	+1,036	No	-$132	05-16 16:03
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$344	1,400	1,200	+200	No	-$47	07-15 03:46
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$338	1,325	1,325	+0	Yes	-$31	07-03 17:20
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	5	$215	296	296	+0	No	-$14	03-15 05:32
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	7	$195	842	842	+0	No	-$3	04-10 12:44
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$192	256	256	+0	No	-$64	03-09 21:00
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	8	$182	464	464	+0	No	-$55	03-27 23:11
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	49	$168	10,404	10,404	+0	No	-$19	05-10 01:08
will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	3	$157	627	627	+0	open	—	08-15 13:14
Ethereum Up or Down on May 15?	7	$138	262	139	+124	Down	-$40	05-15 02:31
Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 101.50 in September?	3	$137	296	296	+0	Yes	+$37	09-25 17:25
spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	7	$132	150	150	+0	Yes	+$19	08-04 20:59
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$125	88	88	+0	No	+$4	03-08 09:00
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$111	1,348	1,348	+0	No	-$18	06-29 22:27
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$108	347	347	+0	Yes	+$3	06-02 12:35
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 15th	11	$101	605	605	+0	No	-$20	03-12 11:25
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$100	702	702	+0	No	-$15	06-28 16:45
will the sp 500 index lose at least 3 on any day in q1	4	$99	141	141	+0	No	-$27	03-09 14:41
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$98	886	886	+0	No	+$3	06-28 16:09
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2PM ET	6	$97	72	72	+0	Up	+$38	05-14 18:57
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	6	$93	1,496	1,496	+0	No	-$16	04-04 00:16
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$91	682	682	+0	No	-$9	06-03 01:27
Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$84	300	300	+0	No	-$6	06-02 16:06
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$77	535	535	+0	No	-$3	06-03 01:27
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	6	$77	158	158	+0	No	-$4	03-13 11:54
will the dhs shutdown last 60 days or more 988 872 151 791 415 422	3	$73	75	75	+0	Yes	+$49	04-01 22:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-25 17:25:20	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 101.50 in September?	Yes	SELL	148	41¢	$60	0x475e9d…
09-21 23:22:09	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in September?	Yes	SELL	485	5¢	$25	0xc46803…
09-21 23:16:39	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 101.50 in September?	Yes	SELL	148	18¢	$27	0x6b2315…
09-21 13:12:32	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in September?	Yes	SELL	2	14¢	$0	0xf7033b…
09-21 03:09:01	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in September?	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x9d480d…
09-21 03:05:55	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in September?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x2919df…
09-20 20:00:01	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in September?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x6426a4…
09-19 10:08:32	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in September?	Yes	SELL	0	14¢	$0	0x559192…
09-16 18:36:27	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 102.50 in September?	Yes	BUY	536	6¢	$34	0xc8196b…
09-16 18:26:45	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 101.50 in September?	Yes	BUY	296	17¢	$50	0x4fddec…
09-14 22:49:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	64	13¢	$8	0x9ea91c…
09-14 22:34:07	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x7ca609…
09-14 22:33:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	215	13¢	$28	0x2c8c95…
09-10 22:46:16	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x108e9a…
09-03 10:17:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 5?	No	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x4913e8…
09-02 14:00:54	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September?	Yes	BUY	24	28¢	$7	0x288cb4…
09-02 14:00:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 5?	No	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0xdae303…
09-02 12:18:04	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in September?	Yes	BUY	56	14¢	$8	0x4edae7…
09-01 13:41:55	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 5?	Yes	SELL	38	23¢	$9	0x6ebe61…
09-01 13:41:24	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in September?	Yes	BUY	62	25¢	$16	0xa693d9…
09-01 13:40:52	Will Chainlink reach $22 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	136	11¢	$14	0xda44aa…
08-31 23:02:28	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 5?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xcb67be…
08-31 23:02:28	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on September 5?	Yes	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x30df86…
08-31 22:52:27	Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	168	8¢	$14	0x878fd0…
08-31 11:10:05	will spy dip to 720 in september 2026	Yes	BUY	130	21¢	$27	0xad49bf…
08-31 06:04:19	Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	23¢	$1	0xc82c54…
08-30 23:21:28	bitcoin above 76k on september 5 2026	No	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0xe9b85b…
08-30 21:56:15	ethereum above 2700 on september 5 2026	Yes	BUY	89	9¢	$8	0xbfc06b…
08-30 21:56:00	ethereum above 2300 on september 5 2026	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x8fbcb1…
08-30 15:35:01	will ethereum reach 2500 in august 2026 from august 28	No	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x94f9e3…
08-30 14:44:09	Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	23¢	$4	0xa87739…
08-30 14:44:09	Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x25d239…
08-30 14:42:33	Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	23¢	$9	0x5a8de4…
08-30 14:42:31	Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	24¢	$11	0xcfc72f…
08-30 08:08:19	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x8f173e…
08-28 16:15:09	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $800 in August?	Yes	BUY	192	3¢	$6	0x55c206…
08-28 16:14:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?	Yes	SELL	31	15¢	$5	0x3f132f…
08-28 14:40:39	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0x6d40a0…
08-28 14:40:31	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	SELL	30	65¢	$20	0x94c1e8…
08-28 12:56:54	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-28 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	60	37¢	$22	0x65976b…
08-28 11:58:01	will spy dip to 760 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x651d44…
08-28 09:35:24	will xagusd dip to 68 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	82	29¢	$24	0x6c1753…
08-28 09:28:31	will xagusd dip to 68 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	82	41¢	$34	0xa04d5d…
08-28 06:05:25	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x3d03ba…
08-28 05:55:42	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0xfcabef…
08-27 15:39:33	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in August?	Yes	BUY	407	1¢	$6	0x0f852f…
08-27 12:52:01	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August?	Yes	BUY	510	1¢	$5	0xe53a7f…
08-20 12:31:43	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	45	9¢	$4	0xd6ee00…
08-20 12:31:19	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0xaedb2f…
08-20 11:52:07	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	65	8¢	$5	0xe49eea…
08-20 10:48:30	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x691f12…
08-20 10:34:24	bitcoin above 74k on august 26 2026	Yes	SELL	89	27¢	$24	0xa73c03…
08-20 07:57:19	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	SELL	38	47¢	$18	0x7a1afb…
08-19 17:24:01	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in august 2026	Yes	BUY	38	25¢	$10	0x266f03…
08-19 17:22:58	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	71¢	$10	0x43e73e…
08-19 16:42:31	bitcoin above 74k on august 26 2026	Yes	BUY	89	9¢	$8	0x0f23c6…
08-19 16:40:55	will bitcoin reach 74k august 17 23 2026	Yes	SELL	102	5¢	$5	0x941d53…
08-19 16:40:24	will bitcoin reach 74k august 17 23 2026	Yes	BUY	102	6¢	$6	0xb7f8f9…
08-19 16:29:39	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 16:00 UTC	Down	SELL	15	31¢	$5	0xe422ee…
08-19 16:27:09	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x8b139f…
08-19 16:27:06	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x19d301…
08-18 18:07:01	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0x561922…
08-18 16:21:34	will xagusd dip to 60 by august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x72b88a…
08-18 14:53:07	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	4¢	$3	0x718fd3…
08-18 08:50:15	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	22	7¢	$2	0x912b40…
08-18 08:50:15	will spy dip to 730 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	257	7¢	$18	0x5ad61e…
08-18 08:46:03	will spy dip to 700 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	868	1¢	$9	0xfc90c2…
08-17 11:36:42	Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x212087…
08-16 11:08:28	Will XRP reach $2.60 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	6¢	$5	0x171bb6…
08-16 11:08:07	XRP all time high by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	152	3¢	$5	0x5aa254…
08-16 03:38:19	will xagusd dip to 52 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	150	2¢	$3	0x35802e…
08-16 03:38:00	will xagusd dip to 50 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	121	1¢	$1	0x5933de…
08-15 15:05:25	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	SELL	210	6¢	$13	0x4d58b3…
08-15 13:14:49	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	SELL	612	10¢	$61	0x894dc3…
08-15 13:09:31	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	SELL	15	11¢	$2	0x4b4973…
08-15 12:27:42	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt5t by december 31 797	No	BUY	627	15¢	$94	0x1546a9…
08-14 23:37:52	will xagusd dip to 48 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	128	0¢	$1	0x3af09f…
08-14 14:44:49	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	150	7¢	$11	0x403d44…
08-13 15:56:43	will xagusd dip to 50 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	121	2¢	$3	0x63d02a…
08-13 15:54:24	will xagusd dip to 48 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	128	1¢	$2	0xd25ad1…
08-10 16:56:51	will anthropics valuation hit low 800b by december 31 957 743	Yes	BUY	60	14¢	$8	0x8515fa…
08-10 16:53:25	Will Chainlink reach $24 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	6¢	$4	0xb1dbfa…
08-10 16:52:49	Will Chainlink reach $20 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	55	9¢	$5	0x66b366…
08-07 13:43:30	will spcx reach 145 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	19	20¢	$4	0x64ec1b…
08-05 13:59:00	will spcx reach 145 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x06c4db…
08-05 13:42:50	will spcx reach 145 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x1f17d4…
08-05 13:31:56	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $95-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	Yes	SELL	50	11¢	$6	0x7d3258…
08-05 13:31:02	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $95-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	Yes	SELL	150	11¢	$16	0x44f1a2…
08-05 11:33:24	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at $95-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 3 – Aug 7?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x5f2267…
08-05 10:19:59	Will Chainlink reach $26 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	13¢	$2	0x037eee…
08-04 20:59:30	spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	Yes	SELL	37	98¢	$37	0xaf64a3…
08-04 19:43:27	spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	Yes	SELL	37	48¢	$18	0xcc3e6e…
08-04 15:27:20	spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	Yes	SELL	75	28¢	$21	0x7e2ab3…
08-03 12:58:06	spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	Yes	BUY	12	34¢	$4	0xced44b…
08-03 12:02:08	spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	Yes	BUY	113	37¢	$42	0x8bad65…
08-03 12:00:54	spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x55e78d…
08-03 05:37:21	spcx quarterly earnings gaap eps 08 04 2026 neg0pt29	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0xdeeac5…
08-02 13:30:06	will spcx dip to 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xcfcedb…
08-02 13:29:15	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	33¢	$15	0xeba506…
08-02 13:28:24	will spcx dip to 100 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x5600a5…