Small-Soundness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.08K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

750

Trades

965

lifetime

Volume

$137.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$142

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-04 09:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 98 days

Categories

Other

90% 85% +$3,416

Politics

7% 54% +$60

Tech

2% 67% +$99

Crypto

1% 64% -$499

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Marciele Albuquerque be in the top 3 of Big Brother Brasil 26?	2	$2.6K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$600	03-26 17:26
gc up or down on march 19 2026	2	$2.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$200	03-18 14:31
ukx up or down on march 23 2026	2	$2.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$120	03-22 09:06
nya up or down on march 20 2026	2	$2.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$120	03-19 14:52
si up or down on march 20 2026	2	$2.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$100	03-19 14:22
pltr up or down on march 23 2026	2	$2.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	+$80	03-20 14:10
Will SpaceX have exactly 16 launches in April?	2	$2.1K	1,979	1,979	+0	No	+$99	03-26 17:15
ukx up or down on march 26 2026	2	$2.1K	1,993	1,993	+0	Down	+$80	03-26 06:47
Will President Trump sign 4 pieces of legislation into law in April?	2	$2.1K	1,991	1,991	+0	No	+$80	03-27 11:00
coin up or down on march 20 2026	2	$2.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$60	03-19 14:05
dax up or down on march 23 2026	2	$2.1K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	+$60	03-22 08:37
nvda up or down on march 23 2026	2	$2.0K	1,988	1,988	+0	Up	+$60	03-22 20:40
nvda up or down on march 20 2026	2	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$40	03-19 13:50
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 8, 2026?	2	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Yes	+$40	03-27 13:48
tsla up or down on march 23 2026	2	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	+$40	03-20 13:12
hood up or down on march 23 2026	2	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	+$40	03-22 08:08
amzn up or down on march 23 2026	2	$2.0K	1,998	1,998	+0	Up	+$40	03-22 20:31
djia up or down on march 26 2026	2	$2.0K	1,997	1,997	+0	Down	+$40	03-26 06:30
si up or down on march 23 2026	2	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$20	03-20 12:57
will the median home value in miami be between 1200000 and 1220000 by april 1	2	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$20	03-24 17:17
hsi up or down on march 27 2026	2	$2.0K	1,998	1,998	+0	Up	+$20	03-26 16:10
will less than 8000 us flights be delayed on march 25	2	$2.0K	1,998	1,998	+0	Yes	+$20	03-25 08:33
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 7, 2026?	2	$2.0K	1,998	1,998	+0	No	+$20	03-27 13:27
googl up or down on march 23 2026	2	$2.0K	1,990	1,990	+0	Up	+$20	03-22 20:20
rut up or down on march 26 2026	2	$2.0K	1,990	1,990	+0	Down	+$20	03-26 06:20
rut up or down on march 19 2026	2	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	+$0	03-18 14:08
msft up or down on march 19 2026	2	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$0	03-18 13:54
nya up or down on march 23 2026	2	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Up	+$0	03-22 07:53
ukx up or down on march 18 2026	2	$2.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	Down	+$0	03-18 10:02
will the median home value in the us be between 425000 and 427500 on april 1	2	$2.0K	1,980	1,980	+0	No	+$20	03-24 18:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-04 09:07:35	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6dca2e…
09-03 09:39:06	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x08e4f5…
08-27 16:05:34	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd6e88c…
08-27 16:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on August 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1f52c5…
08-27 16:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 27?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x64d25b…
08-27 16:04:54	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb961e0…
08-27 16:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on August 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe6feec…
08-27 16:03:48	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 27?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc473f9…
08-27 16:03:40	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xefc1b2…
08-27 16:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 29°C on August 27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x155eec…
08-27 16:03:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xf3b0e7…
08-27 16:03:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xc9dbdf…
08-27 16:02:49	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on August 27?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3385ed…
08-27 16:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on August 27?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd37965…
08-27 16:01:13	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x565078…
07-26 17:14:34	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x65ecd6…
07-26 17:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 96-97°F on July 26?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8a41ec…
07-26 17:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 26?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0d750d…
07-26 17:13:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 26?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x77eb69…
07-26 17:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb51f96…
07-26 17:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on July 26?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa77cbc…
07-26 17:12:43	Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on July 26?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xec59db…
07-26 17:12:37	Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 26?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xcfbb18…
07-26 17:12:33	Will the lowest temperature in London be 15°C or below on July 26?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x891f22…
07-26 17:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 96-97°F on July 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb7a428…
07-26 17:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 26?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x63fe7b…
07-26 17:09:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 26?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe32e32…
07-26 17:09:16	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on July 26?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x16d471…
07-26 17:09:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on July 26?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfdce70…
07-26 17:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on July 26?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x9328c9…
07-26 17:08:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 26?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb8c1ff…
07-26 17:08:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on July 26?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1e0cf1…
07-26 17:08:31	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 26?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb75f2c…
07-26 17:08:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x4772e2…
07-26 17:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfb352b…
07-26 17:07:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on July 26?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xcb9750…
07-14 17:51:46	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on July 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5fcd99…
07-14 17:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on July 14?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x325b03…
07-14 17:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd00e5c…
07-14 17:51:11	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 14?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe4d684…
07-14 17:51:02	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on July 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe5f876…
07-14 17:50:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 88-89°F on July 14?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x19784d…
07-14 17:50:47	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 90°F or higher on July 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd094d8…
07-14 17:50:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 14?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc6c4fc…
07-14 17:50:11	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 100-101°F on July 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd15771…
07-14 17:50:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 14?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4785fe…
07-14 17:49:56	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 14?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x40aed7…
07-05 17:58:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 5?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xbb6a2e…
07-05 17:58:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9a5dd5…
07-05 17:58:17	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 5?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x0e44a3…
07-05 17:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on July 5?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8a78c3…
07-05 17:58:02	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on July 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2571b5…
07-05 17:57:55	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on July 5?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x535ad6…
07-05 17:57:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 5?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xafd871…
07-05 17:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 100-101°F on July 5?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xfd1704…
07-05 17:56:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 104°F or higher on July 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x63fe68…
07-05 17:56:43	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x2035ff…
07-05 17:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on July 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd3f4b8…
07-05 17:55:55	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on July 5?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9d1bdd…
07-05 17:55:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 12°C on July 5?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x698cac…
07-05 17:55:10	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6cd005…
07-05 17:55:02	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x6f4b5d…
06-23 19:28:01	Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x49bffa…
06-22 18:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 22?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x693b28…
06-22 18:45:16	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x73064e…
06-22 18:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on June 22?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc83544…
06-22 18:44:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 22?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf93c95…
06-22 18:44:41	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 22?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x021c09…
06-21 16:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 21?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x40d9d7…
06-21 16:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 21?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xcbe1f9…
06-21 16:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on June 21?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x586c3d…
06-21 16:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on June 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x04cb4c…
06-21 16:14:05	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 21?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7d5622…
06-21 16:13:46	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 21?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x5e529c…
06-21 16:08:10	Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xef1103…
06-21 16:08:02	Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc7c088…
06-20 20:06:59	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfa3946…
06-20 20:06:35	Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc76eb3…
06-17 18:32:47	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 17?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdce300…
06-17 18:32:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on June 17?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x022922…
06-17 18:32:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on June 17?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0158ee…
06-17 18:31:46	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 17?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x82b8e5…
06-17 18:31:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on June 17?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1bc783…
06-17 18:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 17?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x98b954…
06-17 18:31:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 17?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x175d84…
06-17 18:31:07	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 65°F or below on June 17?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x07e306…
06-17 18:29:10	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x702e5c…
06-17 18:28:58	Netanyahu out by June 30?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xc8a623…
06-14 16:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x05873a…
06-14 16:22:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x341a9c…
06-14 16:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on June 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xa6f44d…
06-14 16:21:54	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 14?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2f2479…
06-14 16:21:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on June 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x93e8da…
06-14 16:21:36	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 96°F or higher on June 14?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x445b21…
06-14 16:21:31	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 14?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf68f18…
06-14 16:21:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on June 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb8df98…
06-14 16:21:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on June 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x76e66a…
06-14 16:20:37	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on June 14?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcadabc…
06-14 16:20:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8da9bf…
06-14 16:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on June 14?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xad0f4a…