Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

86.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$334

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-22

last 07-22 10:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

52% 100% +$1

Politics

39% 0% $-1

Sports

6% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes		-76	$-5	4¢	$-3	+$2	06-17 07:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	3	$28	38	15	+23	open	—	04-07 16:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$22	13	13	+0	open	—	04-29 14:03
wti up or down on april 23 2026	2	$22	14	14	+0	open	—	04-23 09:22
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	05-06 06:08
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	2	$21	12	12	+0	open	—	04-23 00:19
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	4	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	07-22 10:19
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	05-14 12:38
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	2	$15	11	11	+0	open	—	07-15 20:53
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	04-21 16:43
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	07-18 21:40
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$13	0	24	-24	open	—	06-12 11:22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	2	$13	11	10	+0	open	—	05-21 15:24
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	2	$13	25	25	+0	open	—	04-21 16:42
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 12:38
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$8	21	0	+21	open	—	07-19 20:50
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	2	$7	13	13	+0	open	—	04-30 18:40
btc updown 5m 1783838400	1	$5	24	0	+24	open	—	07-12 06:41
Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	1	$5	15	0	+15	open	—	05-13 19:02
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$5	71	0	+71	open	—	07-06 02:28
will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	07-06 02:30
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-22 12:33
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-12 11:35
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-11 09:29
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$5	0	76	-76	open	—	06-17 07:58
will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be 20 or more on april 19 2026	1	$4	72	0	+72	open	—	04-19 15:54
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	1	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	07-12 06:33
btc updown 5m 1783839300	2	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	07-12 06:50
Military action against Iran ends by April 22, 2026?	1	$4	288	0	+288	open	—	04-12 15:40
trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	2	$3	12	12	+0	open	—	04-28 10:42
btc updown 5m 1783838100	1	$3	100	0	+100	open	—	07-12 06:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 17:40:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969	Yes	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xb7d65c…
07-22 17:39:18	btc updown 5m 1784741700	Down	BUY	201	1¢	$2	0xc9b37f…
07-22 10:19:21	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	10	68¢	$6	0xe92d33…
07-19 22:10:46	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xc60108…
07-19 22:09:15	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x5d5caa…
07-19 20:50:51	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0x39e667…
07-18 21:40:46	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x274457…
07-18 21:14:10	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x5eb9d2…
07-18 21:13:27	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xd27ac7…
07-15 20:53:11	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0xd7a78a…
07-14 21:09:10	fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x823019…
07-14 10:09:04	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xfa6807…
07-12 06:50:38	btc updown 5m 1783839300	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1f48a6…
07-12 06:50:23	btc updown 5m 1783839300	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe1fe94…
07-12 06:41:19	btc updown 5m 1783838400	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xbf79c5…
07-12 06:38:17	btc updown 5m 1783838100	Down	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x8fb1fd…
07-12 06:33:46	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x6e6728…
07-07 06:01:17	Will Norway reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xc6a44b…
07-06 03:26:47	will belgium reach the quarterfinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145134491	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x83ab9c…
07-06 02:30:25	will norway reach the semifinals at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602145149743	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x759db2…
07-06 02:28:29	Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa0b84c…
06-17 08:03:38	Will Netherlands reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x8bf3de…
06-17 07:58:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	76	7¢	$5	0xc02309…
06-12 11:22:16	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	24	54¢	$13	0xdd41a6…
05-21 15:24:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x8f9ff5…
05-14 12:38:16	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	6	49¢	$3	0x9d3ada…
05-14 12:38:09	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	14	37¢	$5	0x7c0510…
05-13 19:02:31	Will China announce rare earth export relief by May 22?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x00184c…
05-12 11:35:23	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x589657…
05-11 09:29:16	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 11?	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd6b020…
05-07 20:33:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x909c05…
05-07 20:30:40	Will Trump say "President Xi" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x869f37…
05-06 06:16:48	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0xf21cc2…
05-06 06:08:24	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	SELL	12	89¢	$11	0xe70ca8…
04-30 18:40:56	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	13	19¢	$2	0xc2f353…
04-29 14:03:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x392605…
04-29 08:47:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	Yes	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x881546…
04-28 10:48:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x1de8dd…
04-28 10:45:08	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x278b92…
04-28 10:42:54	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	SELL	12	11¢	$1	0xcef351…
04-23 09:22:56	wti up or down on april 23 2026	Up	SELL	14	83¢	$12	0xe2b9ee…
04-23 08:58:24	wti up or down on april 23 2026	Up	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xce1501…
04-23 00:19:10	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	SELL	12	97¢	$12	0xa72ffe…
04-21 16:51:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in April?	Yes	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x0d449d…
04-21 16:43:20	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0xf21937…
04-21 16:42:48	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	25	31¢	$8	0x0798c9…
04-19 16:03:48	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x2512a2…
04-19 15:59:56	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x6ad08c…
04-19 15:54:12	will the 7 day moving average of strait of hormuz transits be 20 or more on april 19 2026	Yes	BUY	72	6¢	$4	0x7859a3…
04-19 15:51:10	trump declassifies new ufo files by april 30	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x029206…
04-19 15:48:18	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xa7cbd7…
04-12 15:40:45	Military action against Iran ends by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	288	1¢	$4	0x4a45b1…
04-07 16:35:03	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	23	39¢	$9	0x9ff297…
04-07 16:29:25	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	SELL	15	61¢	$9	0x3a4879…
03-22 12:40:05	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x9acc90…
03-22 12:33:13	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x516154…
03-22 12:26:31	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x018551…