Natural-Antennae — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$980

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.5%

Resolved

Trades

139

lifetime

Volume

$30.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$223

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 11-01 00:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Other

50% 25% +$981

Politics

37% 0% $0

Sports

12% 0% -$1

Crypto

1% 67% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	3	$2.5K	1,250	1,250	+0	No	-$1	06-11 03:49
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	6	$2.5K	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	10-23 02:14
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	3	$2.4K	1,225	1,225	+0	open	—	06-10 06:13
Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	4	$2.4K	1,227	1,227	+0	No	-$1	06-10 06:52
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	3	$2.4K	1,206	1,206	+0	No	-$1	06-11 03:23
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	3	$2.4K	1,204	1,204	+0	No	-$1	06-12 00:33
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	3	$2.3K	1,179	1,179	+0	open	—	06-11 23:58
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	6	$1.8K	885	885	+0	No	-$1	06-14 16:48
Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$1.7K	851	851	+0	open	—	05-16 08:34
Will the New Orleans Saints win the 2027 NFL league championship?	3	$1.7K	851	851	+0	open	—	05-16 09:39
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	4	$1.6K	807	807	+0	No	-$1	05-14 06:18
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	3	$1.6K	807	807	+0	No	-$1	05-15 09:28
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$1.6K	798	798	+0	open	—	11-01 00:03
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-09-07?	2	$838	1,396	103	+1,294	Yes	+$568	09-07 05:14
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?	2	$454	874	35	+839	No	+$419	08-17 08:43
Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	3	$209	104	104	+0	open	—	10-26 05:28
Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$209	104	104	+0	open	—	10-28 07:29
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	4	$201	101	101	+0	open	—	11-01 00:18
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$143	73	73	+0	No	$0	05-20 08:26
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$138	69	69	+0	open	—	06-11 04:34
Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	4	$136	68	68	+0	No	$0	06-10 06:46
will max greyserman win the 2026 masters tournament	3	$125	62	62	+0	No	$0	04-07 23:54
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	4	$114	57	57	+0	open	—	05-14 14:08
Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$114	58	58	+0	open	—	10-23 02:30
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$112	56	56	+0	No	$0	05-16 09:46
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	3	$97	49	49	+0	open	—	05-15 11:22
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?	3	$95	47	47	+0	open	—	10-26 05:08
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	3	$92	46	46	+0	No	$0	04-02 17:38
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	3	$82	41	41	+0	No	$0	05-20 07:57
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	3	$82	41	41	+0	No	$0	10-19 13:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 00:18:07	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	101	100¢	$100	0xacbf32…
11-01 00:09:22	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	73	100¢	$73	0x215235…
11-01 00:03:07	Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$20	0xd40d9a…
10-31 23:56:33	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xa3da98…
10-31 23:49:18	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc1e6c8…
10-31 23:41:07	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x7abdc8…
10-31 23:35:42	Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x3240ee…
10-31 23:28:15	Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x74715e…
10-31 23:21:19	Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xf06902…
10-28 07:29:23	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0x30339e…
10-28 07:23:46	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	74	100¢	$74	0x3e4ce8…
10-28 07:17:49	Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x0d184c…
10-28 07:07:47	Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x3bfdf1…
10-28 06:59:58	Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x886c6d…
10-28 06:50:56	Will Stephen A. Smith win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x0ec2a7…
10-28 06:43:07	Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x2eef6a…
10-28 06:27:44	Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x15255c…
10-28 06:20:52	Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x1e3cf1…
10-26 05:28:27	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	SELL	104	100¢	$104	0xaef071…
10-26 05:18:08	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	92	100¢	$91	0xd91b92…
10-26 05:08:29	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?	No	SELL	47	100¢	$47	0x115088…
10-26 05:02:26	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x12d701…
10-26 04:56:44	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbfc480…
10-26 04:47:24	Will Frank Donovan be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xfd38de…
10-26 04:39:11	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x8f0920…
10-26 04:29:06	Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x94c984…
10-26 04:22:42	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan before 2027?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x724bda…
10-23 02:30:30	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	58	99¢	$57	0xeed476…
10-23 02:21:18	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x742ab2…
10-23 02:14:39	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x03dac0…
10-23 02:07:11	Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	58	99¢	$57	0x963889…
10-23 01:58:59	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xfc0569…
10-23 01:51:29	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb658fc…
10-23 01:45:30	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xc69d0d…
10-23 01:39:12	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x70e5e2…
10-19 13:04:30	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	SELL	41	99¢	$41	0x237c76…
10-19 12:58:35	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x66e8bb…
10-19 12:45:44	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x61cc74…
10-19 12:38:29	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x82cbb3…
10-19 12:28:35	Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x63798e…
10-19 12:22:09	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x8d69dc…
10-19 12:12:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x604349…
09-07 05:14:03	Will Palermo FC win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	SELL	103	55¢	$56	0x3467eb…
09-07 04:21:58	Will Palermo FC win on 2026-09-07?	Yes	BUY	1,396	56¢	$782	0x2c44d7…
08-17 08:43:43	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?	No	SELL	35	49¢	$17	0x38088e…
08-17 07:47:13	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-23?	No	BUY	874	50¢	$437	0xb71de7…
06-14 16:48:24	Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	59	99¢	$59	0x0ed32c…
06-14 16:37:07	Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$35	0xa2237d…
06-14 16:29:31	Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	38	99¢	$38	0x49f7be…
06-14 16:19:33	Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x511d02…
06-14 16:09:13	Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$20	0xc9a980…
06-14 16:01:33	Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x09cc62…
06-14 15:52:48	Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x093d83…
06-14 15:44:10	Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x47aeee…
06-14 15:33:06	Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x3c679b…
06-12 00:33:07	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	1,204	100¢	$1,198	0x148500…
06-12 00:23:01	Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfc86fe…
06-12 00:13:24	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	1,182	100¢	$1,177	0x6cffa3…
06-12 00:06:31	Will Ali Asghar Hejazi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf2f053…
06-11 23:58:31	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	935	98¢	$918	0xa61994…
06-11 23:48:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd4d1e7…
06-11 23:37:28	will bitcoin reach 65k on june 11	No	BUY	65	99¢	$65	0x6ebede…
06-11 23:29:51	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	244	98¢	$240	0x8751d9…
06-11 23:22:31	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,179	98¢	$1,159	0xc3232a…
06-11 04:34:37	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	69	99¢	$69	0xbc59ea…
06-11 04:20:46	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xf89824…
06-11 04:10:57	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x3ac1a9…
06-11 03:56:10	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x1db0c1…
06-11 03:49:55	Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	SELL	1,250	100¢	$1,247	0x907ac5…
06-11 03:44:19	Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x8bcb5e…
06-11 03:36:13	Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	1,230	100¢	$1,228	0xe60529…
06-11 03:30:33	Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8fee18…
06-11 03:23:12	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	934	100¢	$931	0x700909…
06-11 03:16:00	Will Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd934bf…
06-11 03:07:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	272	100¢	$271	0x4a759c…
06-11 03:00:24	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,206	100¢	$1,204	0x3f30f9…
06-10 06:52:19	Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	SELL	1,227	100¢	$1,223	0x57a48c…
06-10 06:46:13	Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$68	0xe3e430…
06-10 06:38:22	Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x0b5cc0…
06-10 06:30:42	Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	1,188	100¢	$1,186	0xaf9cab…
06-10 06:23:03	Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x18b524…
06-10 06:13:28	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	SELL	1,225	100¢	$1,223	0xea4b51…
06-10 06:04:06	Will Jair Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x479580…
06-10 05:58:00	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	1,203	100¢	$1,202	0x0b4ba1…
06-10 05:47:58	Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1250fa…
06-10 05:41:22	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	851	99¢	$844	0xe58aec…
06-10 05:35:19	Will David Lammy be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a87c4…
06-10 05:28:48	Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xd1eb5b…
06-10 05:20:04	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	355	99¢	$352	0x4254e1…
06-10 05:13:49	Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,206	99¢	$1,197	0x2a7fa0…
05-20 08:26:20	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	73	98¢	$72	0xf7ac4a…
05-20 07:57:05	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	SELL	41	100¢	$41	0x8d8cec…
05-20 07:48:16	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x9d1b0f…
05-20 07:41:25	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0ba1a5…
05-20 07:33:27	Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	25	98¢	$25	0xa2a9fb…
05-20 07:22:59	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x427bbc…
05-20 07:17:16	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0xb6d248…
05-20 07:07:46	Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x57fc5d…
05-20 06:57:33	Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0xa37d40…
05-16 09:46:15	Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	56	99¢	$56	0xa33891…