Realized P&L
+$3.58K
Unrealized P&L
+$3.14K
Hit rate
92.1%
Resolved
662
Trades
3,555
lifetime
Volume
$3.06M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$861
Open exposure
$305.0K
14 positions
First seen
2026-08-01
last 10-27 07:20
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 63 days
Categories
Politics
61% 96% -$4,277
Other
32% 96% +$3,567
Tech
4% 100% +$4,155
Crypto
1% 100% +$101
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$34
Sports
0% 100% +$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 262 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +150,603 $127,143 82¢ $122.7K -$4,402 10-23 12:30
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +50,469 $46,118 94¢ $47.4K +$1,322 10-27 07:20
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +43,877 $30,772 92¢ $40.6K +$9,814 10-19 18:27
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +50,000 $36,500 72¢ $36.2K -$250 10-27 06:27
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +20,683 $16,156 96¢ $19.9K +$3,700 10-08 00:40
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +17,000 $10,540 66¢ $11.3K +$765 10-14 07:29
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +17,000 $10,540 66¢ $11.3K +$765 10-12 19:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +3,774 $2,539 100¢ $3.8K +$1,235 10-21 18:49
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +3,974 $2,948 82¢ $3.2K +$291 09-23 19:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? Yes +5,089 $2,500 56¢ $2.8K +$324 10-19 18:06
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +32,679 $13,430 8¢ $2.5K -$10,980 10-19 17:27
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +1,878 $1,350 96¢ $1.8K +$462 10-19 18:22
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 8? Yes +1,950 $1,153 70¢ $1.4K +$202 10-19 18:06
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? No +1,083 $124 1¢ $16 -$109 10-03 03:08