Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on May 20?
open
Total volume
$4,806
Trades
31
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$10,472
Latest YES mid
100¢
Latest NO mid
0¢
End date
2026-05-20
First seen
2026-05-15
last 05-20 09:37
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+0.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $204
vs crowd: 100% YES on $4.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $4.4K | $0 | +$4.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $172 | $0 | +$172 |
| 🐟 Fish | 9 | $100 | $3 | +$96 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $5 | $6 | $1 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $204 | — | +$204 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $16 | $0 | +$15 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | $1.6K | $0 | +$1.6K |
| Median | 3 | $2.7K | $2 | +$2.7K |
| Below median | 4 | $5 | $0 | +$5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $0 | $0 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $0 | $0 |
| unranked | 5 | $105 | $6 | +$98 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Questionable-Cornmeal 0xb934…d989 | Yes | +2,567 | $2,564 | $2,564 | 1 | 05-18 23:32 |
| Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | No | +2,000 | $2 | $3 | 3 | 05-18 23:32 |
| Selfish-Hydrocarbon 0xdc56…e898 | Yes | +1,000 | $999 | $999 | 1 | 05-20 09:37 |
| Insubstantial-Meadow 0xaded…ad8e | No | +1,000 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-20 09:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xf742…baf6 | No | +815 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-18 16:27 |
| Admired-Lute 0x05f1…538a | Yes | +500 | $500 | $500 | 1 | 05-17 10:56 |
| Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | +207 | $204 | $204 | 1 | 05-18 16:27 |
| Virtual-Roommate 0x84a1…2842 | No | +200 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-18 23:32 |
| Overjoyed-Provision 0x128d…bea4 | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-18 12:18 |
| French-Violence 0x46af…cd69 | Yes | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-17 09:22 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-17 09:22 |
| Capital-Aardvark 0x32d1…e5c8 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-18 12:18 |
| Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2 | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-18 23:32 |
| Dirty-Porpoise-Commission 0xb42c…c27b | No | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-18 23:32 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-17 10:56 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-18 23:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x05a3…dc43 | Yes | +16 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-15 16:23 |
| Tense-Anesthesiology 0x71af…c057 | Yes | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-18 19:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xea6a…8d83 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-19 15:39 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 16:23 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-15 16:23 |
| Sour-Pinafore 0xd562…6912 | No | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-19 15:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 09:37:13 | Selfish-Hydrocarbon 0xdc56…e898 | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 100¢ | $999 | 0xee28f2… |
| 05-20 09:37:13 | Insubstantial-Meadow 0xaded…ad8e | No | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xee28f2… |
| 05-19 15:39:56 | (anonymous) 0xea6a…8d83 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x0e37e8… |
| 05-19 15:39:56 | Sour-Pinafore 0xd562…6912 | No | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0e37e8… |
| 05-18 23:32:57 | Virtual-Roommate 0x84a1…2842 | No | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x224ca8… |
| 05-18 23:32:57 | Blushing-Cotton 0xa33c…0ff2 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x224ca8… |
| 05-18 23:32:57 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | No | BUY | 2,000 | 0¢ | $2 | 0x224ca8… |
| 05-18 23:32:57 | Steel-Spirit 0xf7cd…698b | Yes | SELL | 66 | 100¢ | $66 | 0x224ca8… |
| 05-18 23:32:57 | Dangerous-Payment 0x5060…fa69 | Yes | SELL | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0x224ca8… |
| 05-18 23:32:57 | Questionable-Cornmeal 0xb934…d989 | Yes | BUY | 2,567 | 100¢ | $2,564 | 0x224ca8… |
| 05-18 23:32:57 | Dirty-Porpoise-Commission 0xb42c…c27b | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x224ca8… |
| 05-18 23:32:57 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x224ca8… |
| 05-18 19:06:46 | Tense-Anesthesiology 0x71af…c057 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd6d511… |
| 05-18 19:06:46 | Dangerous-Payment 0x5060…fa69 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd6d511… |
| 05-18 16:27:31 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | No | SELL | 450 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb26b45… |
| 05-18 16:27:31 | Intelligent-Length 0xdb5a…3965 | Yes | BUY | 207 | 99¢ | $204 | 0xb26b45… |
| 05-18 16:27:31 | Far-Off-Entirety 0xf3f7…8c35 | No | SELL | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb26b45… |
| 05-18 16:27:31 | (anonymous) 0xf742…baf6 | No | BUY | 815 | 1¢ | $5 | 0xb26b45… |
| 05-18 16:27:31 | Dangerous-Payment 0x5060…fa69 | Yes | BUY | 86 | 99¢ | $85 | 0xb26b45… |
| 05-18 16:27:31 | Steel-Spirit 0xf7cd…698b | Yes | BUY | 66 | 99¢ | $65 | 0xb26b45… |
| 05-18 12:18:40 | Overjoyed-Provision 0x128d…bea4 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x974c45… |
| 05-18 12:18:40 | Capital-Aardvark 0x32d1…e5c8 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x974c45… |
| 05-17 10:56:05 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | No | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0967ec… |
| 05-17 10:56:05 | Admired-Lute 0x05f1…538a | Yes | BUY | 500 | 100¢ | $500 | 0x0967ec… |
| 05-17 10:56:05 | Tender-Nationality 0x5084…fb85 | No | BUY | 450 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0967ec… |
| 05-17 09:22:24 | French-Violence 0x46af…cd69 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x6d5293… |
| 05-17 09:22:24 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | No | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6d5293… |
| 05-15 16:23:44 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfbf9ce… |
| 05-15 16:23:44 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | No | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xfbf9ce… |
| 05-15 16:23:44 | (anonymous) 0x05a3…dc43 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 99¢ | $16 | 0xfbf9ce… |
| 05-15 16:23:44 | Far-Off-Entirety 0xf3f7…8c35 | No | BUY | 6 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfbf9ce… |