Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 31°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$235
$405 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
26
Liquidity
$150
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 15:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $105 | $105 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $18 | $91 | $73 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $7 | $61 | $54 |
| Median | 5 | — | $65 | $65 |
| Below median | 7 | $10 | $27 | $17 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $30 | $30 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | +68 | $61 | $61 | 1 | 05-07 18:16 |
| Orange-Carnation 0xe0ee…9836 | No | +45 | $41 | $41 | 3 | 05-08 14:29 |
| Extra-Large-Principal 0x6adf…b216 | Yes | +35 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 13:51 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-08 15:16 |
| Sophisticated-Continuity 0x3313…92ad | Yes | +29 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 15:12 |
| Vapid-Fava 0x9a04…1152 | Yes | +24 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 18:55 |
| Cheap-Blank 0x9977…7883 | No | +21 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-08 06:24 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +16 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-08 13:24 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b18…bd24 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 09:03 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-07 19:56 |
| Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 15:16 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 09:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 15:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x072f…86b1 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 13:40 |
| Belated-Nightgown 0x40d7…1218 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:04 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-08 15:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 15:17:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x624f54… |
| 05-08 15:16:50 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 7 | 98¢ | $7 | 0xc41087… |
| 05-08 15:16:47 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x5e7c17… |
| 05-08 15:16:47 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xda23d3… |
| 05-08 15:16:34 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6cc998… |
| 05-08 15:16:34 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x069f78… |
| 05-08 15:16:34 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x0c1ad7… |
| 05-08 15:16:34 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd0ec07… |
| 05-08 15:04:39 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x6819fe… |
| 05-08 15:04:39 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 25 | 91¢ | $23 | 0x5003c5… |
| 05-08 15:04:39 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x788cd5… |
| 05-08 14:29:46 | Orange-Carnation 0xe0ee…9836 | No | BUY | 9 | 89¢ | $8 | 0x6e9429… |
| 05-08 14:05:09 | Orange-Carnation 0xe0ee…9836 | No | BUY | 21 | 92¢ | $19 | 0x77561b… |
| 05-08 14:04:42 | Orange-Carnation 0xe0ee…9836 | No | BUY | 15 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x557dfd… |
| 05-08 13:40:11 | (anonymous) 0x072f…86b1 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xd7c58f… |
| 05-08 13:34:42 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x0b625d… |
| 05-08 13:34:42 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x5c0ce1… |
| 05-08 13:34:42 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x945d54… |
| 05-08 13:24:51 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xe60ee7… |
| 05-08 13:24:51 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xb33d7f… |
| 05-08 13:24:51 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x0c6a67… |
| 05-08 13:24:31 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 16 | 90¢ | $14 | 0x201391… |
| 05-08 13:14:43 | Dutiful-Tamale 0xefd7…2988 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x939de2… |
| 05-08 12:49:19 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x188885… |
| 05-08 12:49:19 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x59747a… |
| 05-08 12:49:19 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x237964… |
| 05-08 12:49:19 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x1fe0ab… |
| 05-08 12:49:19 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xabd943… |
| 05-08 11:34:37 | Yawning-Inheritance 0xfff7…60f4 | No | SELL | 22 | 64¢ | $14 | 0xd05aec… |
| 05-08 09:54:35 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x86c107… |
| 05-08 09:03:52 | (anonymous) 0x8b18…bd24 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xd33524… |
| 05-08 06:24:00 | Cheap-Blank 0x9977…7883 | No | BUY | 21 | 84¢ | $17 | 0xa8ac3d… |
| 05-08 04:04:37 | Belated-Nightgown 0x40d7…1218 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 22¢ | $1 | 0x0353ef… |
| 05-07 19:56:53 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x2508b1… |
| 05-07 19:55:57 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x404047… |
| 05-07 18:55:56 | Vapid-Fava 0x9a04…1152 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 17¢ | $4 | 0x34c19b… |
| 05-07 18:16:19 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | BUY | 68 | 90¢ | $61 | 0x2d9d0a… |
| 05-07 13:51:26 | Extra-Large-Principal 0x6adf…b216 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x3be7c6… |
| 05-07 00:52:48 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x8365a3… |
| 05-06 15:12:54 | (anonymous) 0xf908…6718 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0x812a1e… |
| 05-06 15:12:52 | Sophisticated-Continuity 0x3313…92ad | Yes | BUY | 29 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xfd5441… |