Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$216,467

Trades

14,560

Unique wallets

1,911

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-02-03

First seen

2026-02-02

last 02-03 09:47

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

Smart-Compassion +26,463 (anon) +7,467 Crooked-Tabernacle +6,515 (anon) +5,908 (anon) +4,908 (anon) +3,648 (anon) +3,274 Sturdy-Chinchilla +2,498

NO holders

(anon) +29,998 (anon) +7,028 (anon) +3,538 Smart-Compassion +3,000 Unwritten-Tandem +3,000 Blind-Suburb +2,750 (anon) +2,500 Intelligent-Scheme +2,500

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +2.4¢ (top1%: 89% YES on $85.6K vs crowd: 87% YES on $178.5K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	167	$92.4K	$11.0K	+$81.4K
🐬 Dolphin	413	$39.9K	$7.4K	+$32.5K
🐟 Fish	741	$18.7K	$3.0K	+$15.7K
🦐 Shrimp	590	$3.9K	$2.0K	+$1.9K

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	144	$76.4K	$9.2K	+$67.2K
🏆 Top 5%	234	$11.5K	$1.3K	+$10.2K
✅ Top 10%	143	$6.0K	$371	+$5.7K
Median	185	$1.7K	$172	+$1.5K
Below median	616	$6.4K	$1.4K	+$4.9K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	235	$6.1K	$1.7K	+$4.4K
🔻 Bottom 5%	243	$18.7K	$1.9K	+$16.8K
💀 Bottom 1%	111	$28.2K	$7.4K	+$20.8K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x183d…1270	Down	+29,998	$1,797	$1,797	705	02-03 09:40
Smart-Compassion 0xd189…06f4	Up	+26,463	$26,232	$26,232	65	02-03 09:47
(anonymous) 0xe594…7052	Up	+7,467	$6,443	$6,443	157	02-03 09:38
(anonymous) 0xe594…7052	Down	+7,028	$2,020	$2,020	142	02-03 09:34
Crooked-Tabernacle 0x45bc…978b	Up	+6,515	$6,375	$6,375	79	02-03 09:43
(anonymous) 0x0ea5…17e4	Up	+5,908	$4,824	$4,824	176	02-03 09:39
(anonymous) 0xcc5a…e3e4	Up	+4,908	$4,829	$4,829	2	02-03 09:41
(anonymous) 0x9871…36eb	Up	+3,648	$2,000	$2,000	1	02-03 09:26
(anonymous) 0x99d5…cb2b	Down	+3,538	$36	$36	7	02-03 09:44
(anonymous) 0xc4c7…9c96	Up	+3,274	$3,076	$3,076	1	02-03 09:38
Smart-Compassion 0xd189…06f4	Down	+3,000	$90	$90	9	02-03 09:40
Unwritten-Tandem 0xb17b…f094	Down	+3,000	$302	$302	170	02-03 09:37
Blind-Suburb 0x69d2…22fb	Down	+2,750	$200	$200	1	02-03 09:38
(anonymous) 0x1205…5952	Down	+2,500	$1,125	$1,125	1	02-03 09:26
Intelligent-Scheme 0xd19f…c21f	Down	+2,500	$2	$2	56	02-03 09:43
Sturdy-Chinchilla 0xd1dc…cc46	Up	+2,498	$2,283	$2,283	9	02-03 09:39
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Up	+2,132	$1,670	$1,670	163	02-03 09:41
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	Up	+1,901	$1,640	$1,640	33	02-03 09:38
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Down	+1,900	$370	$370	150	02-03 09:41
(anonymous) 0x6acb…1850	Up	+1,893	$1,789	$1,789	2	02-03 09:41
(anonymous) 0xebca…170e	Up	+1,884	$1,608	$1,608	129	02-03 09:40
(anonymous) 0x113d…3ce8	Down	+1,724	$244	$244	41	02-03 09:40
(anonymous) 0x7e27…178d	Down	+1,705	$261	$261	237	02-03 09:44
(anonymous) 0xebca…170e	Down	+1,688	$329	$329	121	02-03 09:40
(anonymous) 0x7e27…178d	Up	+1,651	$1,373	$1,373	228	02-03 09:41
Stiff-Pocketwatch 0x931b…7485	Up	+1,616	$1,600	$1,600	2	02-03 09:41
(anonymous) 0x5d33…256e	Down	+1,557	$386	$386	89	02-03 09:43
(anonymous) 0x5d33…256e	Up	+1,529	$1,157	$1,157	97	02-03 09:38
(anonymous) 0x42a2…2e5f	Down	+1,510	$300	$300	1	02-03 09:33
(anonymous) 0xfa87…8b4b	Down	+1,500	$15	$15	7	02-03 09:41
(anonymous) 0xcecd…1ac5	Up	+1,500	$1,395	$1,395	36	02-03 09:38
(anonymous) 0xb70c…ed0e	Down	+1,441	$15	$17	4	02-03 09:42
Open-Punctuation 0x7163…a9e5	Down	+1,400	$14	$14	14	02-03 09:41
(anonymous) 0xf49a…f9ba	Down	+1,400	$18	$18	25	02-03 09:41
(anonymous) 0x9ef1…a807	Down	+1,390	$628	$628	23	02-03 09:29
(anonymous) 0x32e9…da21	Up	+1,375	$1,356	$1,356	2	02-03 09:41
(anonymous) 0x03c3…3a1d	Up	+1,242	$1,019	$1,019	124	02-03 09:41
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	Up	+1,217	$1,002	$1,002	38	02-03 09:41
(anonymous) 0x7164…9db6	Down	+1,213	$217	$217	51	02-03 09:41
Fond-Struggle 0x82a9…c9a1	Up	+1,197	$930	$930	77	02-03 09:35
(anonymous) 0x5adf…e38a	Down	+1,193	$249	$249	2	02-03 09:33
(anonymous) 0xbff9…f0e6	Down	+1,184	$307	$307	119	02-03 09:40
(anonymous) 0x218b…174d	Down	+1,134	$142	$142	216	02-03 09:44
(anonymous) 0x218b…174d	Up	+1,108	$921	$921	183	02-03 09:40
Empty-Journalism 0x17c6…d5c4	Up	+1,064	$1,000	$1,000	1	02-03 09:38
(anonymous) 0xf8af…d658	Down	+1,046	$5	$5	4	02-03 09:44
(anonymous) 0xcec2…879d	Down	+1,014	$2	$2	2	02-03 09:44
(anonymous) 0xba26…23c9	Up	+1,000	$990	$990	1	02-03 09:41
(anonymous) 0x72ec…b74b	Down	+1,000	$1	$1	1	02-03 09:43
(anonymous) 0x42a2…6f00	Down	+1,000	$10	$10	1	02-03 09:41
(anonymous) 0x85df…fb48	Down	+1,000	$460	$460	14	02-03 09:26
Jittery-Ballet 0xfc01…603b	Down	+1,000	$70	$70	34	02-03 09:37
(anonymous) 0xbc78…3149	Up	+955	$779	$779	75	02-03 09:40
(anonymous) 0x0ea5…17e4	Down	+955	$372	$372	60	02-03 09:31
(anonymous) 0x821a…9bfb	Up	+951	$867	$867	2	02-03 09:36
(anonymous) 0xf183…4af7	Up	+950	$922	$922	1	02-03 09:40
(anonymous) 0x4543…72d1	Up	+940	$798	$798	28	02-03 09:41
(anonymous) 0x7b79…b838	Up	+859	$850	$850	34	02-03 09:43
(anonymous) 0xdee0…aff9	Up	+807	$799	$799	1	02-03 09:41
(anonymous) 0x04bf…24b2	Up	+794	$771	$771	1	02-03 09:40