Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on May 8?
open
Total volume
$216
$656 in 24h
Trades
26
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$2,182
Latest YES mid
1¢
Latest NO mid
99¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 00:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $38 | $38 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $7 | $70 | $63 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $0 | $61 | $61 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $2 | $4 | $1 |
| Median | 4 | $1 | $6 | $5 |
| Below median | 5 | $1 | $37 | $36 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | $1 | +$1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feline-Commuter 0x8b8f…6887 | Yes | +91 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 06:04 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a35…bc44 | Yes | +85 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 00:20 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +42 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 20:46 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | +40 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-06 13:22 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-07 15:11 |
| Sweltering-Hiking 0x51c2…d4e2 | Yes | +28 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 08:28 |
| Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-07 10:10 |
| Agile-Anybody 0xbd01…d8cd | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-07 14:26 |
| Fresh-Cylinder 0xa3f2…34d0 | Yes | +17 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 13:34 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | +15 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 20:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x6924…b011 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 07:36 |
| Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-07 21:01 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 12:30 |
| (anonymous) 0xecc6…55bf | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-08 00:34 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 05:13 |
| Fond-Warmth 0xef98…b586 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 21:01 |
| Willing-Begonia 0x64d1…89a1 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 18:21 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 03:03 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-07 08:44 |
| Fair-Utensil 0x3b73…9b26 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 07:36 |
| Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 00:34 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 00:34 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 00:34:12 | (anonymous) 0xecc6…55bf | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x03d0a4… |
| 05-08 00:34:12 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x9334cb… |
| 05-08 00:34:07 | Husky-Minor 0x1799…3ca9 | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0x29a955… |
| 05-08 00:20:19 | (anonymous) 0x3a35…bc44 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x3a87ac… |
| 05-07 21:01:31 | Unruly-Ruling 0xc3ee…31ae | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xb47206… |
| 05-07 21:01:31 | Fond-Warmth 0xef98…b586 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7a22ac… |
| 05-07 20:46:19 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 42 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x749ff3… |
| 05-07 20:46:19 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | BUY | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xbee125… |
| 05-07 20:11:40 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x70e2d9… |
| 05-07 18:21:06 | Willing-Begonia 0x64d1…89a1 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7e61e0… |
| 05-07 15:11:43 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 98¢ | $29 | 0x852dd5… |
| 05-07 15:11:43 | Awkward-Patriot 0xe372…eb38 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x1fa935… |
| 05-07 14:26:24 | Agile-Anybody 0xbd01…d8cd | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xfc1490… |
| 05-07 13:34:18 | Fresh-Cylinder 0xa3f2…34d0 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xfbb2f0… |
| 05-07 12:30:50 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x6fc75d… |
| 05-07 10:10:01 | Focused-Net 0x6469…b890 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x9eed34… |
| 05-07 08:44:06 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x516fee… |
| 05-07 08:28:12 | Sweltering-Hiking 0x51c2…d4e2 | Yes | BUY | 28 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x8303e2… |
| 05-07 05:39:06 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | SELL | 103 | 97¢ | $100 | 0x645920… |
| 05-07 05:13:20 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x88b26c… |
| 05-07 03:03:42 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 4 | 98¢ | $4 | 0xd3ce87… |
| 05-06 13:22:22 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xee2271… |
| 05-06 13:22:22 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x45e912… |
| 05-06 07:36:08 | Fair-Utensil 0x3b73…9b26 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xae4b6f… |
| 05-06 07:36:08 | (anonymous) 0x6924…b011 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x14ee08… |
| 05-06 06:04:22 | Feline-Commuter 0x8b8f…6887 | Yes | BUY | 91 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x78824f… |