Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on May 13?
No won
Total volume
$464
$3,160 in 24h
Trades
37
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 20:02
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 28 | $29 | $187 | $158 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $2 | $104 | $102 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $5 | $35 | $30 |
| Median | 6 | $7 | $6 | +$1 |
| Below median | 6 | $10 | $35 | $25 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $4 | $8 | $4 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daring-Camera 0xf913…9e87 | No | +131 | $98 | $98 | 1 | 05-13 11:43 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +40 | $35 | $35 | 4 | 05-12 04:45 |
| Sweaty-Keep 0xb54e…b2a7 | No | +38 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-13 15:38 |
| Extra-Large-Principal 0x6adf…b216 | Yes | +29 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:08 |
| Twin-Expectation-Pay 0x39eb…c75f | Yes | +21 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 18:22 |
| Loose-Fiction 0x2974…e9d8 | Yes | +20 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 20:40 |
| Reckless-Breeze 0xaafc…ec67 | Yes | +20 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 15:58 |
| Exhausted-Tie 0x635a…cccb | Yes | +10 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 03:19 |
| Ordinary-Breakthrough 0xfda3…659b | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 02:59 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +9 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 03:02 |
| Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 14:43 |
| Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 17:56 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 18:22 |
| Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-12 22:01 |
| Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 08:54 |
| Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 17:57 |
| Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 11:18 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 03:42 |
| Impeccable-Setting 0xc138…9baa | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 20:20 |
| Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 04:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 18:22 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 20:02:38 | Lazy-Many 0xacd4…5ad6 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x87ba74… |
| 05-13 16:57:38 | Nifty-Shelf 0xce05…ff90 | No | SELL | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x1ac221… |
| 05-13 16:57:38 | Doting-Shingle 0xe004…a97e | No | SELL | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x3bca2a… |
| 05-13 15:58:36 | Reckless-Breeze 0xaafc…ec67 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xbef239… |
| 05-13 15:38:32 | Sweaty-Keep 0xb54e…b2a7 | No | BUY | 38 | 74¢ | $28 | 0x839722… |
| 05-13 15:03:39 | Fluid-Theater 0x7a97…0dc8 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 22¢ | $0 | 0xc749c1… |
| 05-13 14:43:33 | Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x4ce9aa… |
| 05-13 14:23:18 | Flawless-Policeman 0x9ad9…7e66 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x5b0170… |
| 05-13 12:18:28 | Trusting-Minorleague 0x161c…75fa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x26d252… |
| 05-13 11:43:27 | Daring-Camera 0xf913…9e87 | No | BUY | 131 | 74¢ | $98 | 0x854515… |
| 05-13 11:18:25 | Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e | No | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0xcf49f8… |
| 05-13 08:54:01 | Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x3675fc… |
| 05-13 06:09:33 | Putrid-Filing 0xa7f4…1b2f | No | SELL | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x6dfeda… |
| 05-13 03:42:27 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 5 | 64¢ | $3 | 0x85cab6… |
| 05-13 03:19:11 | Exhausted-Tie 0x635a…cccb | Yes | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x85c267… |
| 05-13 03:02:51 | Teeming-Precedence 0xfd8e…aea4 | No | SELL | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0x0eb877… |
| 05-13 03:02:00 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 9 | 69¢ | $6 | 0xcf7b8a… |
| 05-13 02:59:02 | Ordinary-Breakthrough 0xfda3…659b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x5de77a… |
| 05-12 23:36:28 | Roasted-Eurocentrism 0x0020…16b9 | No | SELL | 25 | 65¢ | $16 | 0xd94a4a… |
| 05-12 22:01:49 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 2 | 72¢ | $1 | 0xe7cbb0… |
| 05-12 20:40:46 | Loose-Fiction 0x2974…e9d8 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 20¢ | $4 | 0xceca6e… |
| 05-12 20:20:40 | Impeccable-Setting 0xc138…9baa | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x13e6f8… |
| 05-12 19:52:30 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x687266… |
| 05-12 19:52:28 | Near-Science 0x2706…c6be | No | BUY | 4 | 73¢ | $3 | 0xb94882… |
| 05-12 18:22:15 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | BUY | 2 | 78¢ | $2 | 0x88d6ae… |
| 05-12 18:22:13 | Twin-Expectation-Pay 0x39eb…c75f | Yes | BUY | 21 | 24¢ | $5 | 0xb31d71… |
| 05-12 18:22:13 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0xd28c06… |
| 05-12 17:57:28 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0xe96384… |
| 05-12 17:56:28 | Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xeeca37… |
| 05-12 17:56:28 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xda40b9… |
| 05-12 04:46:00 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x2f4629… |
| 05-12 04:45:54 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x52229d… |
| 05-12 04:41:04 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x27be28… |
| 05-12 04:40:53 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x0d906e… |
| 05-12 04:35:54 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0x1c3192… |
| 05-12 04:30:55 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 87¢ | $9 | 0xc2e82a… |
| 05-12 00:08:32 | Extra-Large-Principal 0x6adf…b216 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 16¢ | $5 | 0x8f5a91… |