Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
Up won
Total volume
$103
Trades
32
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
57¢
Latest NO mid
43¢
End date
2026-09-29
First seen
2026-09-29
last 09-29 16:14
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-21.9¢
(top1%: 25% YES on $45
vs crowd: 47% YES on $102)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 6 | $28 | $33 | $6 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $12 | $2 | +$10 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $8 | $3 | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $11 | $34 | $23 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 1 | — | $3 | $3 |
| Below median | 4 | $8 | — | +$8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 5 | $22 | $2 | +$20 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +40 | $23 | $23 | 3 | 09-29 16:11 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +25 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 09-29 16:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +20 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 09-29 16:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x03a5…ed7f | Down | +20 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 09-29 16:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | +19 | $9 | $9 | 3 | 09-29 16:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x6c2e…23a5 | Up | +12 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 09-29 16:09 |
| Vicious-Iridescence-Inhabitant 0xac4f…d862 | Down | +8 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 09-29 16:14 |
| Drab-Willow-Neck 0xd5cf…c7a9 | Up | +7 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 09-29 16:11 |
| Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Up | +7 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 09-29 16:12 |
| Fine-Straw 0xd6bf…ba87 | Up | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 09-29 16:14 |
| Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Down | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-29 16:13 |
| Vicious-Iridescence-Inhabitant 0xac4f…d862 | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-29 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bad…62fd | Down | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-29 16:14 |
| Near-Failure 0x629d…756c | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-29 16:01 |
| Comfortable-Sow-Mix 0xd8a4…33ac | Up | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 09-29 16:11 |
| Physical-Enjoyment 0xddb6…b9b3 | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 09-29 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xa220…c993 | Up | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 09-29 16:14 |
| Drab-Willow-Neck 0xd5cf…c7a9 | Down | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-29 16:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x035f…a1bc | Up | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 09-29 16:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 09-29 16:13 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 16:14:12 | (anonymous) 0x4bad…62fd | Down | BUY | 5 | 67¢ | $3 | 0x0bb66e… |
| 09-29 16:14:12 | Vicious-Iridescence-Inhabitant 0xac4f…d862 | Up | BUY | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x0bb66e… |
| 09-29 16:14:09 | Fine-Straw 0xd6bf…ba87 | Up | BUY | 6 | 77¢ | $5 | 0x925ad6… |
| 09-29 16:14:09 | Vicious-Iridescence-Inhabitant 0xac4f…d862 | Down | BUY | 6 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x925ad6… |
| 09-29 16:14:05 | Vicious-Iridescence-Inhabitant 0xac4f…d862 | Down | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x5c36c3… |
| 09-29 16:14:05 | (anonymous) 0xa220…c993 | Up | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x5c36c3… |
| 09-29 16:13:20 | (anonymous) 0xa220…c993 | Up | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x581d0f… |
| 09-29 16:13:20 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 1 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x581d0f… |
| 09-29 16:13:09 | (anonymous) 0x035f…a1bc | Up | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x937f0b… |
| 09-29 16:13:09 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 1 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x937f0b… |
| 09-29 16:13:08 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 6 | 82¢ | $5 | 0xe00bab… |
| 09-29 16:13:08 | Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Down | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xe00bab… |
| 09-29 16:12:02 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 6 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x8c3ae8… |
| 09-29 16:12:02 | Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Up | BUY | 6 | 87¢ | $5 | 0x8c3ae8… |
| 09-29 16:11:18 | Drab-Willow-Neck 0xd5cf…c7a9 | Up | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x1735d5… |
| 09-29 16:11:18 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 10 | 56¢ | $6 | 0x1735d5… |
| 09-29 16:11:18 | Comfortable-Sow-Mix 0xd8a4…33ac | Up | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x1735d5… |
| 09-29 16:10:39 | Treasured-Litmus 0x5aaa…2a7b | Up | SELL | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x79a0a3… |
| 09-29 16:10:39 | Drab-Willow-Neck 0xd5cf…c7a9 | Up | BUY | 2 | 66¢ | $1 | 0x79a0a3… |
| 09-29 16:09:45 | (anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461 | Down | BUY | 12 | 70¢ | $8 | 0xd66d55… |
| 09-29 16:09:45 | (anonymous) 0x6c2e…23a5 | Up | BUY | 12 | 30¢ | $4 | 0xd66d55… |
| 09-29 16:09:44 | (anonymous) 0x03a5…ed7f | Down | BUY | 19 | 75¢ | $14 | 0xf46088… |
| 09-29 16:09:44 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 19 | 25¢ | $5 | 0xf46088… |
| 09-29 16:09:44 | Victorious-Recess 0x5e60…e468 | Up | BUY | 1 | 25¢ | $0 | 0x57db73… |
| 09-29 16:09:44 | (anonymous) 0x03a5…ed7f | Down | BUY | 1 | 75¢ | $1 | 0x57db73… |
| 09-29 16:08:36 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 20 | 29¢ | $6 | 0x0072ee… |
| 09-29 16:08:36 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 71¢ | $14 | 0x0072ee… |
| 09-29 16:01:45 | Drab-Willow-Neck 0xd5cf…c7a9 | Down | BUY | 2 | 36¢ | $1 | 0x37fead… |
| 09-29 16:01:45 | Treasured-Litmus 0x5aaa…2a7b | Up | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0x37fead… |
| 09-29 16:01:24 | Near-Failure 0x629d…756c | Up | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x568270… |
| 09-29 16:01:24 | Physical-Enjoyment 0xddb6…b9b3 | Up | BUY | 5 | 69¢ | $3 | 0x568270… |
| 09-29 16:01:24 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 10 | 31¢ | $3 | 0x568270… |