Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$362
$1,400 in 24h
Trades
48
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$2,361
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 00:01
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+87.8¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $1
vs crowd: 12% YES on $358)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $1 | $69 | $68 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 30 | $43 | $245 | $202 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $16 | $125 | $109 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $3 | $10 | $7 |
| Median | 8 | $10 | $24 | $14 |
| Below median | 7 | $2 | $48 | $46 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $10 | $102 | $93 |
| unranked | 2 | $2 | $4 | $3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | +117 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-12 00:04 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +82 | $75 | $75 | 2 | 05-11 22:32 |
| Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | +66 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 12:39 |
| Corrupt-Employee 0x1b78…e589 | No | +64 | $59 | $59 | 2 | 05-12 20:10 |
| Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | +54 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 05:09 |
| Elaborate-Vivo 0x10e0…92e4 | No | +47 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-12 21:11 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-12 21:52 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-12 22:21 |
| Trusting-Bifocals 0x6c8f…1181 | Yes | +25 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 23:57 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +21 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 12:07 |
| Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 05-12 23:11 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +13 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-12 20:21 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 23:57 |
| Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 23:36 |
| Descriptive-Tentacle 0x96fc…721b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 22:22 |
| Lasting-Placement 0xcaad…8a4c | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 21:01 |
| Solid-Clamp 0x0a32…4a41 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 00:32 |
| Unconscious-Heavy 0x5d6f…0e20 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-12 20:15 |
| Hairy-Geranium-Disconnection 0x27d7…12c7 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 03:45 |
| Annual-Selfesteem 0x44a7…c2e4 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 20:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xecd5…ebdc | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 01:02 |
| Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-12 01:02 |
| Awful-Skylight 0xfb19…08fe | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 19:26 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 01:02 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 00:01:40 | Reflecting-Man-Charlatan 0x07f1…73e8 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x4e6000… |
| 05-12 23:57:26 | Trusting-Bifocals 0x6c8f…1181 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x3db822… |
| 05-12 23:57:26 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x9247b8… |
| 05-12 23:36:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5a2d63… |
| 05-12 23:36:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6b75aa… |
| 05-12 23:36:02 | Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x6e44e4… |
| 05-12 23:11:53 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0xddc4b7… |
| 05-12 23:11:07 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xfaa5f0… |
| 05-12 23:11:07 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x71c862… |
| 05-12 23:11:07 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x6bae31… |
| 05-12 22:22:44 | Descriptive-Tentacle 0x96fc…721b | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x429c71… |
| 05-12 22:21:50 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xa7a26b… |
| 05-12 22:21:48 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xcb060d… |
| 05-12 22:21:48 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x344f9d… |
| 05-12 22:21:48 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x929dca… |
| 05-12 22:21:48 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x03857f… |
| 05-12 22:21:48 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x8c9b2d… |
| 05-12 22:21:48 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 97¢ | $29 | 0x3b9c7b… |
| 05-12 22:21:48 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x268f3a… |
| 05-12 21:52:38 | Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x8cafb4… |
| 05-12 21:52:01 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 2 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x25edc4… |
| 05-12 21:52:01 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0xd7994e… |
| 05-12 21:28:03 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xa21d91… |
| 05-12 21:11:25 | Elaborate-Vivo 0x10e0…92e4 | No | BUY | 47 | 91¢ | $43 | 0x614747… |
| 05-12 21:01:09 | Lasting-Placement 0xcaad…8a4c | Yes | BUY | 8 | 13¢ | $1 | 0xcb1ca6… |
| 05-12 20:40:46 | Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | No | BUY | 1 | 95¢ | $1 | 0x7cf1f6… |
| 05-12 20:25:41 | Annual-Selfesteem 0x44a7…c2e4 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0xfc6dd2… |
| 05-12 20:21:01 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 13 | 90¢ | $12 | 0xc222c3… |
| 05-12 20:15:36 | Unconscious-Heavy 0x5d6f…0e20 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $6 | 0xbc9fdb… |
| 05-12 20:11:25 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8e26da… |
| 05-12 20:10:33 | Corrupt-Employee 0x1b78…e589 | No | BUY | 32 | 90¢ | $29 | 0x197091… |
| 05-12 19:26:18 | Awful-Skylight 0xfb19…08fe | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x72980a… |
| 05-12 17:41:43 | Corrupt-Employee 0x1b78…e589 | No | BUY | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x626be1… |
| 05-12 12:07:42 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 13¢ | $3 | 0x905c4e… |
| 05-12 05:09:18 | Frigid-Left 0x9a26…c335 | Yes | BUY | 54 | 18¢ | $10 | 0xecd6e2… |
| 05-12 03:45:48 | Hairy-Geranium-Disconnection 0x27d7…12c7 | No | BUY | 5 | 86¢ | $4 | 0x2bfad1… |
| 05-12 01:02:59 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x4085ae… |
| 05-12 01:02:57 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x94c376… |
| 05-12 01:02:56 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xcfdbb6… |
| 05-12 01:02:56 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0x3ef5b9… |
| 05-12 01:02:54 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 85¢ | $1 | 0xc9ecfc… |
| 05-12 01:02:52 | (anonymous) 0xecd5…ebdc | No | BUY | 5 | 85¢ | $4 | 0x34022c… |
| 05-12 00:32:48 | Solid-Clamp 0x0a32…4a41 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0x10f126… |
| 05-12 00:04:09 | Secret-Guava 0xaff9…64ff | Yes | BUY | 117 | 14¢ | $16 | 0x92a549… |
| 05-11 22:41:21 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xf3a05b… |
| 05-11 22:32:05 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 55 | 92¢ | $50 | 0xf9a82a… |
| 05-11 22:31:45 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 27 | 92¢ | $25 | 0x16c6c0… |
| 05-11 12:39:35 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 66 | 15¢ | $10 | 0x513d22… |