Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on May 13?
No won
Total volume
$763
$327 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-13 19:47
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+98.0¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $2
vs crowd: 2% YES on $655)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 6 | $10 | $155 | $145 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $1 | $284 | $283 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $0 | $203 | $203 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 5 | $0 | $24 | $24 |
| Below median | 5 | $1 | $301 | $300 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $10 | $267 | $257 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $40 | $40 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hideous-Woodshed 0x3750…15c3 | No | +278 | $267 | $267 | 1 | 05-12 17:48 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +250 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-12 17:48 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | +117 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-12 19:25 |
| Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 05-13 19:42 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-13 19:47 |
| Mammoth-Belly 0xe39e…b6f8 | No | +90 | $91 | $288 | 4 | 05-13 19:47 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +55 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-13 19:47 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-13 19:42 |
| Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | +42 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 05-13 10:38 |
| Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 17:48 |
| Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-13 16:53 |
| Willing-Mirror 0x8fe6…d158 | No | +11 | $11 | $11 | 2 | 05-13 13:41 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 16:53 |
| Rotten-Venti 0xa027…350b | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 16:53 |
| Tall-Sonar 0x62ec…a307 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 19:45 |
| Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 19:30 |
| Evil-Platter 0x72db…2aa2 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 11:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 19:47:21 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa6de81… |
| 05-13 19:47:21 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa6de81… |
| 05-13 19:47:21 | Mammoth-Belly 0xe39e…b6f8 | No | BUY | 90 | 100¢ | $90 | 0xa6de81… |
| 05-13 19:45:03 | Tall-Sonar 0x62ec…a307 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xdce098… |
| 05-13 19:45:03 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdce098… |
| 05-13 19:42:11 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5a438… |
| 05-13 19:42:11 | Vivacious-Hospice 0xef53…0d14 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0xf5a438… |
| 05-13 19:42:11 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 55 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf5a438… |
| 05-13 19:30:03 | Sturdy-Series 0xfaf3…f1bc | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x12b0d0… |
| 05-13 19:30:03 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x12b0d0… |
| 05-13 16:53:59 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb7c27a… |
| 05-13 16:53:59 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb7c27a… |
| 05-13 16:53:59 | Ugly-Ease 0xb6dc…0fb8 | No | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xb7c27a… |
| 05-13 16:53:59 | Rotten-Venti 0xa027…350b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb7c27a… |
| 05-13 13:41:41 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x15d4c7… |
| 05-13 13:41:41 | Willing-Mirror 0x8fe6…d158 | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x15d4c7… |
| 05-13 13:41:41 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x15d4c7… |
| 05-13 13:41:36 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x56588d… |
| 05-13 13:41:36 | Willing-Mirror 0x8fe6…d158 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x56588d… |
| 05-13 11:48:28 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x034afb… |
| 05-13 11:48:28 | Evil-Platter 0x72db…2aa2 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x034afb… |
| 05-13 10:38:33 | Mammoth-Belly 0xe39e…b6f8 | No | SELL | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x10bf9c… |
| 05-13 10:38:33 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 17 | 96¢ | $16 | 0x10bf9c… |
| 05-13 10:38:33 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x10bf9c… |
| 05-13 10:35:47 | Snarling-Pantology 0x982a…6851 | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0xf40ff5… |
| 05-13 10:35:47 | Mammoth-Belly 0xe39e…b6f8 | No | SELL | 50 | 96¢ | $48 | 0xf40ff5… |
| 05-12 19:25:59 | Mammoth-Belly 0xe39e…b6f8 | No | BUY | 102 | 98¢ | $100 | 0xccf583… |
| 05-12 19:25:59 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 102 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xccf583… |
| 05-12 17:48:09 | Hideous-Woodshed 0x3750…15c3 | No | BUY | 278 | 96¢ | $267 | 0x17fa22… |
| 05-12 17:48:09 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 250 | 4¢ | $10 | 0x17fa22… |
| 05-12 17:48:09 | Afraid-Rim 0xe795…6879 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x17fa22… |
| 05-12 17:48:09 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x17fa22… |