Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on October 20?
No won
Total volume
$788
Trades
33
Unique wallets
18
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-10-20
First seen
2026-10-18
last 10-21 03:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-0.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $200
vs crowd: 0% YES on $567)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $0 | $262 | $262 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | — | $247 | $247 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $0 | $50 | $49 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $0 | $7 | $7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $0 | $200 | $200 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $0 | $248 | $248 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | $7 | $7 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $50 | $50 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $12 | $12 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $0 | $50 | $50 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x2836…c0b1 | Yes | +150 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 10-20 04:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x4cb1…4897 | No | +127 | $127 | $127 | 2 | 10-20 08:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x17e3…6320 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-19 09:54 |
| International-Plea 0xdeee…7c09 | No | +100 | $99 | $99 | 1 | 10-21 02:57 |
| Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-19 09:54 |
| (anonymous) 0xa22e…b43a | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 2 | 10-21 02:58 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 10-21 03:30 |
| Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | +23 | $23 | $23 | 1 | 10-21 03:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-21 02:57 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | +20 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-21 02:57 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-19 09:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x681f…3d92 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 10-21 02:57 |
| (anonymous) 0xcff4…cab0 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-18 12:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x4290…c8c0 | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-18 12:51 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 10-19 09:54 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 03:36:23 | Horrible-Pusher 0x47e9…732c | No | BUY | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x412f41… |
| 10-21 03:36:23 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | SELL | 23 | 99¢ | $23 | 0x412f41… |
| 10-21 03:30:24 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x66be5d… |
| 10-21 03:30:24 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | SELL | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x66be5d… |
| 10-21 02:58:15 | (anonymous) 0xa22e…b43a | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x000605… |
| 10-21 02:58:15 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…51a2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1b8ed0… |
| 10-21 02:58:15 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x1b8ed0… |
| 10-21 02:58:15 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x000605… |
| 10-21 02:57:59 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | SELL | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xd6a3f5… |
| 10-21 02:57:59 | International-Plea 0xdeee…7c09 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0xd6a3f5… |
| 10-21 02:57:45 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | SELL | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x45fa13… |
| 10-21 02:57:45 | (anonymous) 0x681f…3d92 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x45fa13… |
| 10-21 02:57:39 | (anonymous) 0xa22e…b43a | No | BUY | 40 | 100¢ | $40 | 0xc01e34… |
| 10-21 02:57:39 | (anonymous) 0x6891…6bb9 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc01e34… |
| 10-21 02:57:39 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc01e34… |
| 10-21 02:57:38 | (anonymous) 0x8a51…51a2 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4eb52b… |
| 10-21 02:57:38 | Arctic-Performance 0x5647…de1d | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x4eb52b… |
| 10-21 02:57:35 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1e959f… |
| 10-21 02:57:35 | Arctic-Performance 0x5647…de1d | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1e959f… |
| 10-20 08:37:40 | Capital-Sty 0xc94a…3975 | No | SELL | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xca4de3… |
| 10-20 08:37:40 | (anonymous) 0x4cb1…4897 | No | BUY | 12 | 100¢ | $12 | 0xca4de3… |
| 10-20 04:51:57 | (anonymous) 0x4cb1…4897 | No | BUY | 115 | 100¢ | $115 | 0xeab479… |
| 10-20 04:51:57 | (anonymous) 0x2836…c0b1 | Yes | BUY | 115 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeab479… |
| 10-19 09:54:54 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0xe76eda… |
| 10-19 09:54:54 | (anonymous) 0x2836…c0b1 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe76eda… |
| 10-19 09:54:54 | Nonstop-Knitting 0x9a94…d5f9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe76eda… |
| 10-19 09:54:54 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe76eda… |
| 10-19 09:54:54 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe76eda… |
| 10-19 09:54:54 | (anonymous) 0x17e3…6320 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe76eda… |
| 10-18 12:55:17 | (anonymous) 0xcff4…cab0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x12a780… |
| 10-18 12:55:17 | Capital-Sty 0xc94a…3975 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $6 | 0x12a780… |
| 10-18 12:51:08 | Capital-Sty 0xc94a…3975 | No | BUY | 6 | 97¢ | $6 | 0x983ad1… |
| 10-18 12:51:08 | (anonymous) 0x4290…c8c0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x983ad1… |