XRP Up or Down - November 13, 10PM ET
Down won
Total volume
$561
$721 in 24h
Trades
76
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$0
Latest YES mid
20¢
Latest NO mid
80¢
End date
2026-11-14
First seen
2026-11-13
last 11-14 03:52
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+2.2¢
(top1%: 22% YES on $276
vs crowd: 20% YES on $407)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 7 | $60 | $171 | $111 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | — | $112 | $112 |
| 🐟 Fish | 10 | $16 | $36 | $20 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 6 | $4 | $8 | $4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 8 | $60 | $215 | $155 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 9 | $10 | $93 | $83 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| Median | 3 | $2 | $6 | $5 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | +132 | $2 | $2 | 8 | 11-14 03:45 |
| Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | +132 | $84 | $84 | 5 | 11-14 03:36 |
| (anonymous) 0xbcc0…2883 | Up | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-14 03:43 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Down | +73 | $72 | $72 | 3 | 11-14 03:45 |
| (anonymous) 0x96df…baed | Down | +60 | $55 | $55 | 2 | 11-14 03:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x8dc8…1975 | Down | +57 | $57 | $57 | 1 | 11-14 03:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xaea2…0334 | Up | +54 | $4 | $4 | 4 | 11-14 03:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | +42 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-14 03:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | +22 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 11-14 03:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x8c3f…5a4f | Down | +18 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 11-14 03:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e4f…1ab0 | Up | +17 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 11-14 03:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x7e4f…1ab0 | Down | +12 | $10 | $10 | 4 | 11-14 03:35 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Up | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-14 03:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x9209…a393 | Up | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-14 03:43 |
| Well-Worn-Headquarters 0x44f5…ea4b | Up | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 11-14 03:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | +10 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 11-14 02:59 |
| (anonymous) 0x53e3…e5af | Down | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 11-14 03:36 |
| (anonymous) 0x0a85…3f44 | Up | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-14 03:06 |
| Well-Informed-Witness 0xc249…8a61 | Up | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-13 23:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x741a…2c2f | Down | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-13 23:48 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Up | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 11-14 03:52 |
| (anonymous) 0xc73c…42ff | Up | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 11-14 02:59 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…0619 | Down | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-14 02:59 |
| Winged-Heart 0x59e9…8226 | Down | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 11-14 03:31 |
| (anonymous) 0xadb2…4d17 | Up | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-14 03:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Up | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 11-14 03:05 |
| Great-Prosecution 0x700d…d345 | Down | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 11-14 03:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | +1 | $53 | $57 | 9 | 11-14 03:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-14 03:52:55 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Up | BUY | 42 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa4be52… |
| 11-14 03:52:55 | (anonymous) 0x8dc8…1975 | Down | BUY | 57 | 100¢ | $57 | 0xa4be52… |
| 11-14 03:52:55 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Up | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa4be52… |
| 11-14 03:52:55 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Up | BUY | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa4be52… |
| 11-14 03:45:02 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Down | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $59 | 0x0adb32… |
| 11-14 03:45:02 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 60 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x0adb32… |
| 11-14 03:44:10 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd59b71… |
| 11-14 03:44:10 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Down | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0xd59b71… |
| 11-14 03:43:53 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Down | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x65d219… |
| 11-14 03:43:53 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5d0ece… |
| 11-14 03:43:53 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5d0ece… |
| 11-14 03:43:53 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | SELL | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xea0f99… |
| 11-14 03:43:53 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | SELL | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4faa4d… |
| 11-14 03:43:53 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x65d219… |
| 11-14 03:43:53 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 40 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x4faa4d… |
| 11-14 03:43:53 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xea0f99… |
| 11-14 03:43:47 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | SELL | 110 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x25aa38… |
| 11-14 03:43:47 | (anonymous) 0xbcc0…2883 | Up | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x25aa38… |
| 11-14 03:43:47 | (anonymous) 0x9209…a393 | Up | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x25aa38… |
| 11-14 03:36:47 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…5665 | Up | SELL | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa27889… |
| 11-14 03:36:47 | (anonymous) 0xaea2…0334 | Up | BUY | 9 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xa27889… |
| 11-14 03:36:43 | (anonymous) 0x53e3…e5af | Down | BUY | 7 | 85¢ | $6 | 0xe36d5d… |
| 11-14 03:36:43 | (anonymous) 0x7e4f…1ab0 | Up | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xe36d5d… |
| 11-14 03:36:25 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0xf392d7… |
| 11-14 03:36:25 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…5665 | Down | SELL | 40 | 87¢ | $35 | 0xf392d7… |
| 11-14 03:35:52 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…5665 | Up | SELL | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x28c367… |
| 11-14 03:35:52 | (anonymous) 0x7e4f…1ab0 | Down | BUY | 5 | 91¢ | $5 | 0x28c367… |
| 11-14 03:35:52 | (anonymous) 0xaea2…0334 | Up | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x28c367… |
| 11-14 03:35:44 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…5665 | Up | SELL | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xa17c23… |
| 11-14 03:35:44 | (anonymous) 0x7e4f…1ab0 | Down | BUY | 3 | 90¢ | $3 | 0xa17c23… |
| 11-14 03:35:44 | (anonymous) 0xaea2…0334 | Up | BUY | 14 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xa17c23… |
| 11-14 03:33:58 | (anonymous) 0xaea2…0334 | Up | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xabf4eb… |
| 11-14 03:33:58 | (anonymous) 0x7e4f…1ab0 | Down | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xabf4eb… |
| 11-14 03:33:58 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…5665 | Up | SELL | 19 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xabf4eb… |
| 11-14 03:31:52 | Winged-Heart 0x59e9…8226 | Down | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0xb45433… |
| 11-14 03:31:52 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 4 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xb45433… |
| 11-14 03:31:32 | (anonymous) 0x8c3f…5a4f | Down | BUY | 9 | 93¢ | $8 | 0x8f2a12… |
| 11-14 03:31:32 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Up | BUY | 4 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x8f2a12… |
| 11-14 03:31:32 | (anonymous) 0x7e4f…1ab0 | Up | BUY | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x8f2a12… |
| 11-14 03:31:32 | (anonymous) 0x96df…baed | Down | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x95f451… |
| 11-14 03:31:32 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…5665 | Down | SELL | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x95f451… |
| 11-14 03:31:14 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…5665 | Down | SELL | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xc02078… |
| 11-14 03:31:14 | (anonymous) 0x8c3f…5a4f | Down | BUY | 9 | 90¢ | $8 | 0xc02078… |
| 11-14 03:31:13 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…5665 | Up | SELL | 39 | 9¢ | $4 | 0xd78625… |
| 11-14 03:31:13 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | BUY | 69 | 9¢ | $6 | 0xd78625… |
| 11-14 03:31:13 | (anonymous) 0x96df…baed | Down | BUY | 30 | 91¢ | $27 | 0xd78625… |
| 11-14 03:11:34 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…5665 | Down | SELL | 12 | 62¢ | $7 | 0xb866e4… |
| 11-14 03:11:34 | (anonymous) 0x7e4f…1ab0 | Up | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xb866e4… |
| 11-14 03:11:34 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 17 | 61¢ | $10 | 0xb866e4… |
| 11-14 03:08:07 | (anonymous) 0xadb2…4d17 | Up | BUY | 3 | 34¢ | $1 | 0x109ccb… |
| 11-14 03:08:07 | (anonymous) 0x7e4f…1ab0 | Down | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x109ccb… |
| 11-14 03:06:28 | (anonymous) 0x0a85…3f44 | Up | BUY | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x79f7a2… |
| 11-14 03:06:28 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…5665 | Up | SELL | 6 | 30¢ | $2 | 0x79f7a2… |
| 11-14 03:05:37 | Great-Prosecution 0x700d…d345 | Down | BUY | 2 | 71¢ | $2 | 0xc10948… |
| 11-14 03:05:37 | (anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae | Up | BUY | 2 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xc10948… |
| 11-14 03:04:13 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 17 | 63¢ | $11 | 0xb9202c… |
| 11-14 03:04:13 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…5665 | Down | SELL | 17 | 63¢ | $11 | 0xb9202c… |
| 11-14 03:01:02 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…5665 | Down | SELL | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x270a3d… |
| 11-14 03:01:02 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0x270a3d… |
| 11-14 03:00:58 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | BUY | 67 | 53¢ | $35 | 0x5dd62f… |
| 11-14 03:00:58 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 20 | 48¢ | $10 | 0x5dd62f… |
| 11-14 03:00:58 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…5665 | Up | SELL | 47 | 53¢ | $25 | 0x5dd62f… |
| 11-14 03:00:38 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | BUY | 14 | 48¢ | $7 | 0xae5c85… |
| 11-14 03:00:38 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…5665 | Up | SELL | 14 | 48¢ | $7 | 0xae5c85… |
| 11-14 03:00:32 | Well-Worn-Headquarters 0x44f5…ea4b | Up | BUY | 10 | 51¢ | $5 | 0x96fcc8… |
| 11-14 03:00:32 | (anonymous) 0xe1e5…5665 | Down | SELL | 28 | 50¢ | $14 | 0x96fcc8… |
| 11-14 03:00:32 | Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4 | Down | BUY | 38 | 50¢ | $19 | 0x96fcc8… |
| 11-14 02:59:49 | (anonymous) 0xc73c…42ff | Up | BUY | 5 | 55¢ | $3 | 0xbde67a… |
| 11-14 02:59:49 | (anonymous) 0xb701…0619 | Down | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0xbde67a… |
| 11-14 02:59:46 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | BUY | 5 | 56¢ | $3 | 0x21cdb7… |
| 11-14 02:59:46 | (anonymous) 0x758d…5d9e | Down | BUY | 2 | 44¢ | $1 | 0xc62e51… |
| 11-14 02:59:46 | (anonymous) 0xe3ee…5176 | Up | BUY | 7 | 56¢ | $4 | 0xc62e51… |
| 11-14 02:59:46 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0xc62e51… |
| 11-14 02:59:46 | (anonymous) 0x5e8e…8212 | Down | BUY | 5 | 44¢ | $2 | 0x21cdb7… |
| 11-13 23:48:22 | Well-Informed-Witness 0xc249…8a61 | Up | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x496260… |
| 11-13 23:48:22 | (anonymous) 0x741a…2c2f | Down | BUY | 6 | 51¢ | $3 | 0x496260… |