Will the Kansas City Royals win more than 81.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
open
Total volume
$159
Trades
39
Unique wallets
15
Liquidity
$715
End date
2026-10-05
First seen
2026-05-30
last 07-09 08:45
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $2 | $106 | $104 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $16 | $16 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 7 | $18 | $1 | +$17 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $82 | $82 |
| Median | 1 | — | $30 | $30 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $10 | $9 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 6 | $18 | $1 | +$17 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strict-Blind 0xffaf…b675 | U 81.5 | +66 | $54 | $54 | 3 | 06-29 00:11 |
| Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | O 81.5 | +65 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-19 03:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x2e24…8e62 | O 81.5 | +31 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-09 08:45 |
| JonnyA 0x38d5…063c | U 81.5 | +31 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 07-09 08:45 |
| Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | O 81.5 | +11 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 07-02 13:00 |
| Villainous-Puffin 0xa245…bf9e | U 81.5 | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-11 06:38 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | O 81.5 | +8 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-09 03:10 |
| (anonymous) 0xd851…5c42 | U 81.5 | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-30 02:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 08:45:11 | (anonymous) 0x2e24…8e62 | O 81.5 | BUY | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xa51a7d… |
| 07-09 08:45:11 | JonnyA 0x38d5…063c | U 81.5 | BUY | 11 | 95¢ | $10 | 0xa51a7d… |
| 07-09 03:10:58 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | O 81.5 | SELL | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x62f8fe… |
| 07-09 03:10:58 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | O 81.5 | BUY | 8 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x62f8fe… |
| 07-09 03:10:58 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | U 81.5 | SELL | 0 | 99¢ | $0 | 0x62f8fe… |
| 07-09 03:10:53 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | O 81.5 | SELL | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x101639… |
| 07-09 03:10:53 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | U 81.5 | SELL | 9 | 99¢ | $9 | 0x101639… |
| 07-09 03:10:41 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | O 81.5 | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe65bd8… |
| 07-09 03:10:41 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 81.5 | SELL | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe65bd8… |
| 07-08 13:09:19 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 81.5 | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x24d711… |
| 07-08 13:09:19 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | O 81.5 | SELL | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x24d711… |
| 07-08 13:09:17 | (anonymous) 0xd6f6…1eac | O 81.5 | SELL | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x28f68f… |
| 07-08 13:09:17 | (anonymous) 0xc3fc…484a | O 81.5 | BUY | 2 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x28f68f… |
| 07-08 13:09:17 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | U 81.5 | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x28f68f… |
| 07-08 13:09:17 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 81.5 | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x28f68f… |
| 07-02 13:00:43 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | O 81.5 | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb4ca74… |
| 07-02 13:00:43 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 81.5 | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xb4ca74… |
| 07-01 18:33:04 | Grim-Garage 0xa815…9cbe | O 81.5 | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x057afe… |
| 07-01 18:33:04 | Concerned-Nylon 0xc8ca…0097 | O 81.5 | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x057afe… |
| 06-29 21:13:26 | (anonymous) 0xd6f6…1eac | O 81.5 | SELL | 15 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd8acaf… |
| 06-29 21:13:26 | Concerned-Nylon 0xc8ca…0097 | O 81.5 | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd8acaf… |
| 06-29 21:13:26 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 81.5 | BUY | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd8acaf… |
| 06-29 00:11:13 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | O 81.5 | SELL | 24 | 8¢ | $2 | 0x75525f… |
| 06-29 00:11:13 | (anonymous) 0xd6f6…1eac | O 81.5 | BUY | 35 | 8¢ | $3 | 0x75525f… |
| 06-29 00:11:13 | Strict-Blind 0xffaf…b675 | U 81.5 | BUY | 2 | 85¢ | $2 | 0x75525f… |
| 06-29 00:11:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 81.5 | SELL | 9 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x75525f… |
| 06-19 20:35:13 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 81.5 | BUY | 5 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x0d84d5… |
| 06-19 20:35:13 | Strict-Blind 0xffaf…b675 | U 81.5 | BUY | 20 | 84¢ | $17 | 0x0d84d5… |
| 06-19 20:35:13 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | U 81.5 | SELL | 15 | 84¢ | $13 | 0x0d84d5… |
| 06-19 03:00:02 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | U 81.5 | BUY | 15 | 82¢ | $12 | 0x568d63… |
| 06-19 03:00:02 | Tangible-Ingrate 0x9cbb…dab4 | O 81.5 | BUY | 65 | 19¢ | $12 | 0x568d63… |
| 06-19 03:00:02 | Strict-Blind 0xffaf…b675 | U 81.5 | BUY | 44 | 81¢ | $35 | 0x568d63… |
| 06-19 03:00:02 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 81.5 | SELL | 6 | 17¢ | $1 | 0x568d63… |
| 06-11 06:38:24 | (anonymous) 0x5146…ac5e | O 81.5 | BUY | 11 | 8¢ | $1 | 0xb31a27… |
| 06-11 06:38:24 | Villainous-Puffin 0xa245…bf9e | U 81.5 | BUY | 11 | 92¢ | $10 | 0xb31a27… |
| 06-04 06:59:48 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | O 81.5 | BUY | 17 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x59bfd8… |
| 06-04 06:59:48 | Flaky-Shadow 0xd1ee…a8ae | U 81.5 | BUY | 17 | 92¢ | $16 | 0x59bfd8… |
| 05-30 02:58:41 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | O 81.5 | BUY | 1 | 8¢ | $0 | 0xa5b977… |
| 05-30 02:58:41 | (anonymous) 0xd851…5c42 | U 81.5 | BUY | 1 | 92¢ | $1 | 0xa5b977… |