Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$962
$8,484 in 24h
Trades
34
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$2,460
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-09 12:00
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $733 | $733 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 24 | $0 | $205 | $205 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $848 | $848 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| Median | 7 | — | $50 | $50 |
| Below median | 2 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $36 | $36 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parched-Color 0x0d2e…f1a2 | No | +674 | $673 | $673 | 1 | 05-09 06:44 |
| Fearful-Reliability 0xa637…3494 | No | +112 | $111 | $118 | 3 | 05-09 12:00 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 2 | 05-09 02:55 |
| Dangerous-Pitcher 0xb88c…7d3f | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 2 | 05-07 22:25 |
| Tidy-Enthusiasm 0xbfec…4dc7 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 2 | 05-07 21:55 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +6 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 05:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x9bf3…e6a3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x001a…6831 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 15:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 03:16 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 03:43 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 12:00:46 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x878c47… |
| 05-09 12:00:21 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7598ac… |
| 05-09 12:00:14 | Fearful-Reliability 0xa637…3494 | No | SELL | 4 | 100¢ | $4 | 0x8f87c3… |
| 05-09 06:44:48 | Parched-Color 0x0d2e…f1a2 | No | BUY | 674 | 100¢ | $673 | 0x63d219… |
| 05-09 05:34:50 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x9ec8dc… |
| 05-09 03:43:42 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd2e3d9… |
| 05-09 03:05:40 | Fussy-Technologist 0x6b1b…3f6d | No | SELL | 15 | 100¢ | $15 | 0xdf8766… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x060f42… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x41b503… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x24df84… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xaa2094… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf900ed… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xfa8d6b… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x41704d… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x92a486… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2cdf11… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x327181… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd6a5dc… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa6edd8… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd4d36c… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xeb2d85… |
| 05-09 02:55:17 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x13dfa2… |
| 05-09 02:45:13 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xd816a2… |
| 05-08 21:21:27 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x44e8c4… |
| 05-08 15:27:31 | (anonymous) 0x001a…6831 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x874d3e… |
| 05-08 15:27:31 | (anonymous) 0x9bf3…e6a3 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x6847e1… |
| 05-08 10:10:57 | Rough-Nose 0x2ea4…b419 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa8bc5c… |
| 05-08 05:13:55 | Fearful-Reliability 0xa637…3494 | No | BUY | 106 | 99¢ | $105 | 0x88b49c… |
| 05-08 05:13:48 | Fearful-Reliability 0xa637…3494 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x1b1e8f… |
| 05-08 03:16:27 | (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x0c912f… |
| 05-07 22:25:07 | Dangerous-Pitcher 0xb88c…7d3f | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xd4efd4… |
| 05-07 22:05:08 | Dangerous-Pitcher 0xb88c…7d3f | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xf3c00c… |
| 05-07 21:55:08 | Tidy-Enthusiasm 0xbfec…4dc7 | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xbdad03… |
| 05-07 20:35:07 | Tidy-Enthusiasm 0xbfec…4dc7 | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x160638… |