Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C or higher on May 8?
open
Total volume
$119
$1,020 in 24h
Trades
32
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,616
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 15:11
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $19 | $19 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $4 | $86 | $82 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | — | $77 | $77 |
| Median | 5 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| Below median | 3 | $2 | $17 | $15 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vital-Parka 0x5d61…e67c | Yes | +167 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 00:13 |
| Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | +167 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 04:59 |
| Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | +90 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 16:17 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +27 | $27 | $27 | 2 | 05-08 07:25 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 3 | 05-08 07:44 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-08 06:14 |
| Buzzing-Access 0xb060…9572 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-07 14:14 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-08 11:54 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 09:00 |
| Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 09:01 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 11:54 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 11:59 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-08 11:49 |
| Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 14:49 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 15:11:30 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xbe7472… |
| 05-08 13:15:04 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x424f49… |
| 05-08 11:59:37 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xfe5bf7… |
| 05-08 11:54:36 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf6fbc7… |
| 05-08 11:54:34 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x43cc73… |
| 05-08 11:49:44 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 3 | 100¢ | $3 | 0x0b502f… |
| 05-08 11:49:19 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xa910f8… |
| 05-08 11:49:19 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xab2f79… |
| 05-08 09:01:12 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x726c5f… |
| 05-08 09:00:41 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x21ff1e… |
| 05-08 08:55:40 | Euphoric-Snake 0xc9f9…487c | Yes | SELL | 31 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x829e37… |
| 05-08 07:44:54 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $6 | 0x1a7e1e… |
| 05-08 07:44:46 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x663759… |
| 05-08 07:25:01 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 7 | 100¢ | $7 | 0x3ed917… |
| 05-08 07:19:18 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf31627… |
| 05-08 07:19:18 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdce0ba… |
| 05-08 07:19:14 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa2fbf6… |
| 05-08 06:55:19 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xcf5f39… |
| 05-08 06:14:45 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 17 | 100¢ | $17 | 0xc970d8… |
| 05-08 06:00:15 | (anonymous) 0x4405…b88f | Yes | SELL | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x16271f… |
| 05-08 05:22:57 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0x9e7e7b… |
| 05-08 05:20:25 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x04adab… |
| 05-08 05:20:25 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd6cbbd… |
| 05-08 04:59:39 | Vigilant-Homeland 0x1442…33af | Yes | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc2105c… |
| 05-08 00:13:10 | Vital-Parka 0x5d61…e67c | Yes | BUY | 167 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x50b1c0… |
| 05-07 16:17:14 | (anonymous) 0x4405…b88f | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x7e22b1… |
| 05-07 16:17:12 | Positive-Horseradish 0x60d8…f2a6 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe3c9be… |
| 05-07 16:17:10 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4de06a… |
| 05-07 16:17:10 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9dbe87… |
| 05-07 16:17:10 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7cec9e… |
| 05-07 14:49:44 | Lovable-Permafrost 0x7e4b…ac6b | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x8ba89b… |
| 05-07 14:14:07 | Buzzing-Access 0xb060…9572 | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x07d9f6… |