XRP Up or Down - October 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$875

Trades

189

Unique wallets

85

Liquidity

$0

Latest YES mid

44¢

Latest NO mid

56¢

End date

2026-10-01

First seen

2026-10-01

last 10-01 08:40

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +108 Lively-Authenticity +78 Periodic-Scrap +61 Well-Made-Feature +60 (anon) +39 (anon) +37 (anon) +30 (anon) +27

NO holders

Lively-Authenticity +110 (anon) +102 Periodic-Scrap +45 (anon) +38 (anon) +37 (anon) +32 (anon) +26 (anon) +25

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -7.5¢ (top1%: 51% YES on $584 vs crowd: 59% YES on $798)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	30	$296	$290	+$6
🐬 Dolphin	15	$81	$21	+$60
🐟 Fish	21	$65	$12	+$52
🦐 Shrimp	19	$26	$7	+$19

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	29	$298	$286	+$13
🏆 Top 5%	10	$9	$17	$7
✅ Top 10%	5	$5	$10	$5
Median	4	$19	—	+$19
Below median	17	$92	$9	+$83
⚠️ Bottom 10%	8	$22	$1	+$21
🔻 Bottom 5%	11	$14	$9	+$5
💀 Bottom 1%	1	$9	—	+$9

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Down	+110	$98	$98	5	10-01 08:35
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	Up	+108	$107	$107	2	10-01 08:40
(anonymous) 0xc9c8…612b	Down	+102	$1	$1	1	10-01 08:39
Lively-Authenticity 0xb55f…64d4	Up	+78	$37	$37	6	10-01 08:37
Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b	Up	+61	$37	$37	3	10-01 08:38
Well-Made-Feature 0x7e19…7562	Up	+60	$59	$59	1	10-01 08:39
Periodic-Scrap 0x3c58…776b	Down	+45	$24	$24	4	10-01 08:39
(anonymous) 0x2a54…f4ae	Up	+39	$4	$4	3	10-01 08:35
(anonymous) 0x4233…6aae	Down	+38	$19	$19	5	10-01 08:38
(anonymous) 0x7cf8…04ae	Up	+37	$16	$16	4	10-01 08:34
(anonymous) 0xdc3f…4fa0	Down	+37	$22	$22	4	10-01 08:34
(anonymous) 0xa0e7…9461	Down	+32	$23	$23	2	10-01 08:38
(anonymous) 0xd8f1…74a9	Up	+30	$6	$16	4	10-01 08:37
(anonymous) 0x9eb0…631c	Up	+27	$3	$3	1	10-01 08:35
(anonymous) 0x6205…4c1e	Down	+26	$0	$0	1	10-01 08:39
(anonymous) 0x0ae4…fb39	Down	+25	-$4	$70	18	10-01 08:38
(anonymous) 0x7492…abbf	Up	+23	$3	$3	2	10-01 08:35
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	Down	+20	$11	$11	1	10-01 08:36
Next-Maggot 0x84d0…035a	Down	+20	$12	$12	1	10-01 08:37
(anonymous) 0xb913…9418	Down	+20	$0	$0	3	10-01 08:39
(anonymous) 0x336a…a414	Up	+19	$19	$19	1	10-01 08:39
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	Up	+17	$16	$16	3	10-01 08:39
(anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e	Down	+17	$15	$15	2	10-01 08:35
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	Up	+16	$15	$15	2	10-01 08:39
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…e06b	Down	+16	$1	$1	2	10-01 08:38
(anonymous) 0x5d54…fb5e	Up	+13	$6	$6	1	10-01 08:36
(anonymous) 0x5538…e703	Down	+13	$7	$7	1	10-01 08:36
Dutiful-Psychologist 0x5f6d…976f	Up	+11	$11	$11	1	10-01 08:39
(anonymous) 0x2ebc…b12c	Up	+11	$10	$10	1	10-01 08:38
(anonymous) 0x2fb7…34b0	Up	+11	$10	$10	1	10-01 08:38
Known-Silkworm 0x6209…e82f	Up	+10	$9	$9	1	10-01 08:38
Fixed-Pit 0x605b…5d60	Down	+10	$1	$1	1	10-01 08:38
(anonymous) 0xbe6b…41aa	Up	+10	$9	$9	1	10-01 08:38
(anonymous) 0x5097…d328	Down	+10	$1	$1	1	10-01 08:38
Flashy-Prune 0xf542…26e8	Up	+10	$1	$1	2	10-01 08:35
(anonymous) 0xf8af…54c6	Down	+10	$5	$5	1	10-01 08:38
Moral-Roof 0x576b…0cab	Down	+10	$0	$0	3	10-01 08:39
(anonymous) 0xf0d6…e94c	Up	+10	$1	$1	3	10-01 08:35
(anonymous) 0x2eea…355e	Down	+10	$0	$0	4	10-01 08:39
(anonymous) 0xbca0…4d5e	Down	+10	$6	$6	2	10-01 08:38
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	Down	+9	$8	$8	1	10-01 08:35
(anonymous) 0x5e2b…9101	Down	+8	$7	$7	1	10-01 08:35
Black-Park 0x337b…7e26	Down	+8	$7	$7	1	10-01 08:35
(anonymous) 0xc07e…16c3	Up	+8	$4	$4	1	10-01 08:38
(anonymous) 0xc07e…16c3	Down	+8	$0	$0	1	10-01 08:39
(anonymous) 0x11a5…5868	Up	+6	$1	$1	1	10-01 08:35
(anonymous) 0xf75d…9991	Up	+6	$2	$2	1	10-01 08:36
Teeming-Friction 0x3750…3e29	Down	+6	$3	$3	2	10-01 08:36
(anonymous) 0x4119…92ee	Down	+5	$3	$3	3	10-01 08:38
(anonymous) 0x42ce…68ff	Up	+5	$5	$5	1	10-01 08:38
(anonymous) 0xb2dd…159b	Up	+5	$2	$2	1	10-01 08:35
(anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe	Down	+5	$3	$3	1	10-01 08:35
Married-Peony 0x8846…b4bf	Up	+5	$1	$1	1	10-01 08:35
(anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb	Up	+5	$1	$1	1	10-01 08:35
(anonymous) 0x8da6…541d	Down	+5	$4	$4	1	10-01 08:35
(anonymous) 0x92d1…02fe	Up	+5	$1	$1	1	10-01 08:35
(anonymous) 0x9122…04e8	Down	+5	$4	$4	1	10-01 08:35
(anonymous) 0xb9ff…5e00	Up	+5	$5	$5	1	10-01 08:38
Warm-Tabletop 0x12e5…e3cd	Up	+5	$4	$4	1	10-01 08:38
(anonymous) 0xeca6…20eb	Down	+5	$0	$0	1	10-01 08:38