Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$1,014
$2,395 in 24h
Trades
46
Unique wallets
34
Liquidity
$523
Latest YES mid
98¢
Latest NO mid
2¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 06:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 34 | $891 | $1 | +$891 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $600 | — | +$600 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | $83 | — | +$83 |
| Median | 12 | $110 | — | +$110 |
| Below median | 7 | $20 | $1 | +$19 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $34 | — | +$34 |
| unranked | 4 | $46 | — | +$46 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | +607 | $600 | $600 | 2 | 05-10 05:37 |
| Pointless-Consignment 0x8bed…e6d2 | Yes | +85 | $83 | $83 | 1 | 05-10 02:23 |
| Ironclad-Solicitor 0x0ba8…e4e4 | No | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:08 |
| Fumbling-Affect 0xec25…dec6 | Yes | +34 | $34 | $34 | 1 | 05-10 05:22 |
| Ripe-Name 0x16b0…68e3 | Yes | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 02:57 |
| Monstrous-Credenza 0x4870…1aa7 | Yes | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 02:57 |
| Lined-Broad 0x74c9…7874 | Yes | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-10 02:57 |
| Worrisome-Teaching 0x22df…be63 | Yes | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 02:57 |
| Trusting-Warfare 0xd9f8…f53d | Yes | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 02:57 |
| Rough-Thrift 0x9a01…ce12 | Yes | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 02:57 |
| Unacceptable-Designation 0x698d…6aac | Yes | +14 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-10 02:57 |
| Wet-Simvastatin 0x0db0…61c8 | Yes | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-10 02:57 |
| Submissive-Overheard 0xd943…2f1d | Yes | +11 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-10 02:57 |
| Even-Bottling 0x4f56…dfda | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 02:57 |
| Fixed-Jail 0xe946…ce56 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 02:57 |
| Crowded-Teenager 0xd299…8d12 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 02:57 |
| Glamorous-Chicken 0xb526…83c6 | Yes | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 02:57 |
| Exalted-Sense 0x3fd6…1733 | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 22:50 |
| Shocking-Steeple 0x84ed…7b9c | Yes | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 04:58 |
| Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | Yes | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 03:51 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 06:08:23 | Ironclad-Solicitor 0x0ba8…e4e4 | No | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x015407… |
| 05-10 05:37:00 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | BUY | 303 | 99¢ | $300 | 0xa3a497… |
| 05-10 05:22:02 | Fumbling-Affect 0xec25…dec6 | Yes | BUY | 34 | 99¢ | $34 | 0x3ac19d… |
| 05-10 04:58:55 | Shocking-Steeple 0x84ed…7b9c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf41dc9… |
| 05-10 04:16:34 | Glum-Editor 0x7596…02a9 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 98¢ | $14 | 0x53941a… |
| 05-10 04:10:30 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x0e6d40… |
| 05-10 04:10:30 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x667077… |
| 05-10 04:10:30 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x1c4f83… |
| 05-10 04:10:30 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xaea962… |
| 05-10 03:51:55 | Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | Yes | BUY | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0xcc63dd… |
| 05-10 03:47:46 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x9888ae… |
| 05-10 03:47:46 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa7f3a7… |
| 05-10 03:47:46 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7a306b… |
| 05-10 03:47:46 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xa5c777… |
| 05-10 03:47:46 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x886837… |
| 05-10 03:47:46 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x05c651… |
| 05-10 03:47:46 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x72c856… |
| 05-10 03:47:46 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x7b2cb1… |
| 05-10 02:57:19 | Trusting-Warfare 0xd9f8…f53d | Yes | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x466fa3… |
| 05-10 02:57:19 | Unacceptable-Designation 0x698d…6aac | Yes | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xd51e17… |
| 05-10 02:57:19 | Monstrous-Credenza 0x4870…1aa7 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xca37c6… |
| 05-10 02:57:17 | Crowded-Teenager 0xd299…8d12 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x6209c6… |
| 05-10 02:57:17 | Submissive-Overheard 0xd943…2f1d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 99¢ | $11 | 0xd3cf0c… |
| 05-10 02:57:17 | Wet-Simvastatin 0x0db0…61c8 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 99¢ | $12 | 0xbc7708… |
| 05-10 02:57:17 | Rough-Thrift 0x9a01…ce12 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0xb43aa3… |
| 05-10 02:57:17 | Worrisome-Teaching 0x22df…be63 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 99¢ | $14 | 0x10955a… |
| 05-10 02:57:17 | Fixed-Jail 0xe946…ce56 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xc1c5b0… |
| 05-10 02:57:17 | Lined-Broad 0x74c9…7874 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0xd27ddd… |
| 05-10 02:57:17 | Glamorous-Chicken 0xb526…83c6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x363883… |
| 05-10 02:57:17 | Ripe-Name 0x16b0…68e3 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x7a893b… |
| 05-10 02:57:17 | Even-Bottling 0x4f56…dfda | Yes | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x86a009… |
| 05-10 02:41:30 | Jolly-Particle 0x65f9…4425 | Yes | BUY | 304 | 99¢ | $300 | 0x8bdb84… |
| 05-10 02:36:10 | Leafy-Psychoanalyst 0x6083…163d | Yes | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x9b685a… |
| 05-10 02:23:43 | Pointless-Consignment 0x8bed…e6d2 | Yes | BUY | 85 | 97¢ | $83 | 0x385587… |
| 05-10 01:14:44 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x49f813… |
| 05-10 01:14:44 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xa6476d… |
| 05-10 01:14:44 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xf95fa9… |
| 05-10 01:14:44 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xafe830… |
| 05-10 01:14:44 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0xfef9ef… |
| 05-10 01:14:44 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3306ea… |
| 05-10 01:14:44 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x04a895… |
| 05-10 01:14:44 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x874f39… |
| 05-09 22:50:44 | Exalted-Sense 0x3fd6…1733 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x33d95b… |
| 05-09 16:34:49 | Decisive-Nanoparticle 0x9623…1cfe | No | SELL | 2 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x880c9f… |
| 05-08 04:57:49 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 27¢ | $1 | 0x37c0dd… |
| 05-08 04:44:43 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | No | SELL | 12 | 59¢ | $7 | 0x1436d1… |