Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$273
$750 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$2,541
Latest YES mid
8¢
Latest NO mid
92¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 19:22
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-12.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $25
vs crowd: 12% YES on $258)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $123 | $123 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $32 | $102 | $70 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $71 | $71 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $78 | $78 |
| Below median | 9 | $14 | $15 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $18 | — | +$18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | — | $32 | $32 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | +77 | $65 | $65 | 1 | 05-09 13:23 |
| Massive-Bookend 0x2c47…79f8 | Yes | +37 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-08 05:28 |
| Calm-Pike 0xd85e…de9e | No | +32 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-09 14:03 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-09 03:59 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 1 | 05-09 16:29 |
| Aged-University 0x6548…9108 | No | +30 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-09 07:54 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | +29 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-09 13:23 |
| Insubstantial-Toga 0x2656…a5b8 | Yes | +29 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 01:55 |
| Unripe-Hop 0x76e9…b7db | Yes | +28 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 13:08 |
| Unusual-Belfry 0xd979…4a18 | Yes | +15 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 13:19 |
| Measly-Chicory 0xb724…798b | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 19:22 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 04:15 |
| Forceful-Playroom 0x7e9c…f3a8 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-09 00:24 |
| Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-09 08:10 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +7 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 03:15 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 13:19 |
| Solid-Clamp 0x0a32…4a41 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 03:55 |
| Extraneous-Surprise 0x9ea2…665a | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 06:54 |
| Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 04:49 |
| Complete-Cough 0x4cfe…1bc6 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:14 |
| Legitimate-Clerk-Hops 0xf184…a1e6 | Yes | +3 | $-1 | $6 | 2 | 05-09 09:50 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 19:22:21 | Measly-Chicory 0xb724…798b | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0x53bbda… |
| 05-09 16:29:34 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 92¢ | $28 | 0x1c1ba4… |
| 05-09 14:03:19 | Calm-Pike 0xd85e…de9e | No | BUY | 32 | 90¢ | $28 | 0x85e60f… |
| 05-09 13:23:29 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | No | BUY | 29 | 85¢ | $25 | 0x8ff99f… |
| 05-09 13:23:27 | Jubilant-Phrase 0xec86…60e4 | No | BUY | 77 | 84¢ | $65 | 0xcd1991… |
| 05-09 13:08:06 | Unripe-Hop 0x76e9…b7db | Yes | BUY | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0xb18c59… |
| 05-09 12:00:05 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x55a016… |
| 05-09 12:00:05 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xa8f267… |
| 05-09 11:25:12 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xe815ec… |
| 05-09 09:50:18 | Legitimate-Clerk-Hops 0xf184…a1e6 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 20¢ | $3 | 0xf85e64… |
| 05-09 09:30:19 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x9be577… |
| 05-09 08:10:03 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | No | BUY | 9 | 81¢ | $7 | 0xebeade… |
| 05-09 07:54:51 | Aged-University 0x6548…9108 | No | BUY | 30 | 82¢ | $25 | 0x01f606… |
| 05-09 06:54:39 | Extraneous-Surprise 0x9ea2…665a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x900856… |
| 05-09 04:49:39 | Naughty-Conditioner 0x7047…31b3 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x0c922b… |
| 05-09 04:15:19 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | Yes | BUY | 10 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x65afea… |
| 05-09 04:15:19 | Legitimate-Clerk-Hops 0xf184…a1e6 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 13¢ | $2 | 0x6c57de… |
| 05-09 03:59:59 | (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | No | SELL | 1 | 83¢ | $1 | 0xde9c69… |
| 05-09 03:59:55 | (anonymous) 0x1885…521b | No | SELL | 3 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x35369a… |
| 05-09 03:59:50 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xd3deef… |
| 05-09 03:59:50 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 83¢ | $25 | 0x0039eb… |
| 05-09 03:55:19 | Solid-Clamp 0x0a32…4a41 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0xa2ca9c… |
| 05-09 03:15:44 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 7 | 83¢ | $6 | 0xcbbb95… |
| 05-09 01:55:16 | Insubstantial-Toga 0x2656…a5b8 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 23¢ | $7 | 0x10a275… |
| 05-09 00:24:14 | Forceful-Playroom 0x7e9c…f3a8 | No | BUY | 10 | 77¢ | $8 | 0xc4b110… |
| 05-08 13:19:36 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | BUY | 7 | 68¢ | $5 | 0x59ce62… |
| 05-08 13:19:34 | Unusual-Belfry 0xd979…4a18 | Yes | BUY | 15 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x789f0a… |
| 05-08 07:14:50 | Complete-Cough 0x4cfe…1bc6 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 35¢ | $1 | 0xb5d752… |
| 05-08 05:28:51 | Massive-Bookend 0x2c47…79f8 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 21¢ | $8 | 0xb5ab53… |