Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be between $1,172,000 and $1,190,000 on April 30?
closed
Total volume
$448
Trades
28
Unique wallets
13
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-04-30
First seen
2026-04-01
last 04-14 15:34
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-29.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $8
vs crowd: 29% YES on $265)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 2 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | $4 | $25 | $21 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $71 | $23 | +$49 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 4 | $3 | $125 | $121 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $10 | $9 |
| Below median | 1 | — | $1 | $1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $4 | $21 | $18 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $4 | $4 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| unranked | 4 | $73 | $137 | $63 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x0130…fb49 | No | +30 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 04-02 23:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 04-13 17:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | +18 | $25 | $115 | 5 | 04-13 17:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | +14 | $13 | $13 | 2 | 04-14 15:34 |
| Neighboring-Cucumber 0x16fe…1ddc | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 04-02 23:50 |
| Pungent-Meter 0x9e09…c25d | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-14 15:07 |
| (anonymous) 0x67ff…89d6 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-14 15:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 2 | 04-02 23:50 |
| Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 04-02 23:23 |
| Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-02 23:23 |
| Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 04-02 23:52 |
| Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-13 17:32 |
| (anonymous) 0x75b0…4e36 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 04-01 16:58 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-14 15:34:53 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0xb541f6… |
| 04-14 15:34:53 | (anonymous) 0x67ff…89d6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xb541f6… |
| 04-14 15:07:11 | Pungent-Meter 0x9e09…c25d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8fd448… |
| 04-14 15:07:11 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x8fd448… |
| 04-14 15:07:11 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | No | BUY | 4 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x8fd448… |
| 04-13 17:32:35 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 15¢ | $4 | 0x84d60e… |
| 04-13 17:32:35 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x84d60e… |
| 04-13 17:32:35 | Worst-Meringue 0x4a1f…1a9f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x84d60e… |
| 04-13 17:32:35 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | SELL | 42 | 15¢ | $6 | 0x84d60e… |
| 04-02 23:52:11 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | SELL | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x8d2550… |
| 04-02 23:52:11 | Brown-Destination 0xc540…f00d | No | BUY | 5 | 73¢ | $4 | 0x8d2550… |
| 04-02 23:50:25 | Neighboring-Cucumber 0x16fe…1ddc | No | BUY | 6 | 72¢ | $5 | 0x0ca318… |
| 04-02 23:50:25 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | SELL | 11 | 72¢ | $8 | 0x0ca318… |
| 04-02 23:50:25 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x0ca318… |
| 04-02 23:47:21 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | SELL | 42 | 71¢ | $30 | 0x39af0a… |
| 04-02 23:47:21 | (anonymous) 0x0130…fb49 | No | BUY | 30 | 71¢ | $21 | 0x39af0a… |
| 04-02 23:47:21 | (anonymous) 0x5aec…904b | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x39af0a… |
| 04-02 23:47:21 | Neighboring-Cucumber 0x16fe…1ddc | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x39af0a… |
| 04-02 23:23:55 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x333b67… |
| 04-02 23:23:55 | Different-Ecclesia 0xb6fa…abcf | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x333b67… |
| 04-02 16:01:29 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | SELL | 135 | 71¢ | $96 | 0x8619ba… |
| 04-02 16:01:29 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | SELL | 135 | 29¢ | $39 | 0x8619ba… |
| 04-01 16:58:19 | (anonymous) 0x75b0…4e36 | No | BUY | 2 | 64¢ | $1 | 0xd4943e… |
| 04-01 16:58:19 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | BUY | 2 | 36¢ | $1 | 0xd4943e… |
| 04-01 16:54:39 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | BUY | 96 | 36¢ | $35 | 0x30d30f… |
| 04-01 16:54:39 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 96 | 64¢ | $62 | 0x30d30f… |
| 04-01 16:53:41 | (anonymous) 0xedaf…895d | Yes | BUY | 96 | 36¢ | $35 | 0xe39514… |
| 04-01 16:53:41 | Squiggly-Diaphragm 0x8172…0889 | No | BUY | 96 | 64¢ | $62 | 0xe39514… |