Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on May 11?
open
Total volume
$423
$2,694 in 24h
Trades
54
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$406
Latest YES mid
30¢
Latest NO mid
70¢
End date
2026-05-11
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-11 04:38
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 43 | $47 | $369 | $322 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $127 | $127 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $6 | $121 | $114 |
| Median | 11 | $4 | $32 | $28 |
| Below median | 8 | $9 | $54 | $46 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 7 | $19 | $30 | $11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $3 | $4 | $2 |
| unranked | 4 | $6 | — | +$6 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daring-Camera 0xf913…9e87 | No | +145 | $110 | $110 | 1 | 05-11 04:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | +65 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-11 03:09 |
| Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | +61 | $49 | $49 | 3 | 05-10 19:04 |
| Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | +48 | $29 | $29 | 2 | 05-10 09:02 |
| Easy-Unemployment 0xb8c9…b92f | Yes | +37 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 23:38 |
| Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | +35 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-10 19:44 |
| Educated-Anarchist-Gravel 0xbf25…4f10 | Yes | +32 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-10 19:04 |
| Tattered-Healthcare 0x3edb…aa1e | No | +26 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-11 03:00 |
| Advanced-Need 0x0eb2…ad6f | Yes | +22 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 12:46 |
| (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | +22 | $19 | $19 | 4 | 05-11 00:15 |
| Hasty-Saxophone 0xc43f…6c05 | Yes | +21 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 00:04 |
| Sad-Canal-Lemur 0x1e48…22ec | Yes | +20 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 23:57 |
| Kooky-Barn 0xf075…3f43 | No | +19 | $16 | $16 | 2 | 05-10 18:58 |
| Extra-Small-Prevention 0xb144…2c8c | Yes | +16 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 19:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x8edc…80d8 | No | +12 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-10 08:33 |
| Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 18:58 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 19:03 |
| Mindless-Flexibility 0xbb27…cc9d | Yes | +11 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 02:15 |
| Spiteful-Cleaner 0x80e7…d585 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 01:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 05:51 |
| Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 03:07 |
| Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 18:58 |
| Plump-Encirclement 0xb76d…636b | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 08:13 |
| Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:03 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 04:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x88c7…febc | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 18:46 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-10 18:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x3e6e…913f | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 05:58 |
| Mealy-Situation 0x711d…6f53 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 04:41 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 23:57 |
| Corny-Sculpting 0x3822…68be | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 10:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-10 23:57 |
| Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:14 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-10 20:02 |
| Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 13:41 |
| Pitiful-Cilantro 0xbe99…9ca7 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-11 03:07 |
| Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 06:51 |
| Interesting-Lay 0x46bd…e810 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 23:57 |
| Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 18:54 |
| Tired-Loading 0xe1d8…4caa | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 23:57 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 04:38:10 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x757321… |
| 05-11 04:28:36 | Daring-Camera 0xf913…9e87 | No | BUY | 145 | 76¢ | $110 | 0xeb125e… |
| 05-11 03:09:37 | (anonymous) 0x4179…ccee | No | BUY | 65 | 75¢ | $49 | 0x540702… |
| 05-11 03:07:11 | Enchanted-Production 0xb903…a41b | Yes | BUY | 6 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x725a96… |
| 05-11 03:07:10 | Pitiful-Cilantro 0xbe99…9ca7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xbc69d1… |
| 05-11 03:00:38 | Tattered-Healthcare 0x3edb…aa1e | No | BUY | 26 | 79¢ | $20 | 0x9fe001… |
| 05-11 02:15:30 | Mindless-Flexibility 0xbb27…cc9d | Yes | BUY | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x4c5ed3… |
| 05-11 01:19:48 | Spiteful-Cleaner 0x80e7…d585 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x288900… |
| 05-11 00:15:01 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x1a027c… |
| 05-11 00:14:59 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x296932… |
| 05-11 00:14:44 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xba6589… |
| 05-11 00:14:28 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 5 | 88¢ | $5 | 0x03e930… |
| 05-11 00:04:08 | Hasty-Saxophone 0xc43f…6c05 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 13¢ | $3 | 0xe638ec… |
| 05-10 23:57:56 | (anonymous) 0xf021…245e | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x079bd9… |
| 05-10 23:57:56 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x3c8e36… |
| 05-10 23:57:56 | Tired-Loading 0xe1d8…4caa | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x3f6624… |
| 05-10 23:57:54 | Sad-Canal-Lemur 0x1e48…22ec | Yes | BUY | 20 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xdaabf0… |
| 05-10 23:57:54 | Interesting-Lay 0x46bd…e810 | No | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x66ea0e… |
| 05-10 23:38:00 | Easy-Unemployment 0xb8c9…b92f | Yes | BUY | 37 | 13¢ | $5 | 0x3d760a… |
| 05-10 20:02:44 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xd44225… |
| 05-10 19:56:45 | Spotted-Boatyard 0x16c9…91d2 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 15¢ | $2 | 0x707178… |
| 05-10 19:44:19 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 35 | 82¢ | $29 | 0xc35064… |
| 05-10 19:18:59 | Spotted-Boatyard 0x16c9…91d2 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x7c6fa1… |
| 05-10 19:14:38 | Able-Outlet 0x77bd…e48f | Yes | BUY | 3 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x311904… |
| 05-10 19:14:05 | Extra-Small-Prevention 0xb144…2c8c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 19¢ | $3 | 0x249b44… |
| 05-10 19:04:32 | Educated-Anarchist-Gravel 0xbf25…4f10 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 18¢ | $4 | 0x4fe23d… |
| 05-10 19:04:15 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 13 | 82¢ | $11 | 0x8c044d… |
| 05-10 19:03:43 | Illustrious-Rocker 0x9075…cfe8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xada530… |
| 05-10 19:03:26 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x2a85c9… |
| 05-10 18:58:56 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0xac4188… |
| 05-10 18:58:53 | Kooky-Barn 0xf075…3f43 | No | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0x6dbc62… |
| 05-10 18:58:44 | Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5 | No | BUY | 6 | 81¢ | $4 | 0x57b73f… |
| 05-10 18:58:44 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 24 | 81¢ | $19 | 0xddb92f… |
| 05-10 18:58:44 | Spherical-Fringe 0x04b3…1b7e | No | BUY | 12 | 81¢ | $10 | 0x5ad8a7… |
| 05-10 18:54:44 | Kooky-Barn 0xf075…3f43 | No | BUY | 7 | 80¢ | $6 | 0xe4dae7… |
| 05-10 18:54:44 | Drab-Affect 0x695c…85dd | No | BUY | 1 | 81¢ | $1 | 0x417a94… |
| 05-10 18:54:34 | Vivacious-Manipulation 0x906f…371a | No | BUY | 24 | 80¢ | $19 | 0xb401ea… |
| 05-10 18:46:33 | (anonymous) 0x88c7…febc | No | BUY | 5 | 81¢ | $4 | 0xc49c2f… |
| 05-10 18:15:59 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 5 | 79¢ | $4 | 0xe7b7a0… |
| 05-10 13:47:33 | (anonymous) 0xa819…5062 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0xd7a2e4… |
| 05-10 13:41:24 | Icky-Bower 0x746d…2db5 | No | BUY | 2 | 70¢ | $1 | 0xbf0cf9… |
| 05-10 12:46:11 | Advanced-Need 0x0eb2…ad6f | Yes | BUY | 22 | 32¢ | $7 | 0xd4e4c5… |
| 05-10 10:53:19 | Corny-Sculpting 0x3822…68be | No | BUY | 3 | 66¢ | $2 | 0x7c30cd… |
| 05-10 09:02:53 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 20 | 62¢ | $12 | 0x6f6166… |
| 05-10 08:37:36 | Educated-Anarchist-Gravel 0xbf25…4f10 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 38¢ | $5 | 0xbabd59… |
| 05-10 08:33:33 | (anonymous) 0x8edc…80d8 | No | BUY | 12 | 61¢ | $8 | 0xe5b16b… |
| 05-10 08:13:53 | Plump-Encirclement 0xb76d…636b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0x1ac362… |
| 05-10 08:13:50 | Lovable-Hutch 0x044f…d1f1 | No | BUY | 28 | 60¢ | $17 | 0xf619f8… |
| 05-10 06:51:47 | Swift-Hygienic 0xc8a4…fc0b | No | BUY | 2 | 60¢ | $1 | 0xc1d5d2… |
| 05-10 05:58:00 | (anonymous) 0x3e6e…913f | No | BUY | 5 | 60¢ | $3 | 0x9b9a28… |
| 05-10 05:51:30 | (anonymous) 0x5470…0af7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 42¢ | $3 | 0x792747… |
| 05-10 04:41:11 | Mealy-Situation 0x711d…6f53 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0xd09c47… |
| 05-10 04:04:03 | Plump-Encirclement 0xb76d…636b | Yes | BUY | 0 | 42¢ | $0 | 0x0946c3… |
| 05-09 23:44:35 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | Yes | SELL | 10 | 40¢ | $4 | 0xc31951… |