Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 21°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$548
$1,228 in 24h
Trades
49
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$332
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-12
last 05-14 15:08
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $35 | $35 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $1 | $306 | $305 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 19 | $15 | $190 | $175 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $6 | $198 | $193 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $93 | $93 |
| Median | 2 | — | $13 | $13 |
| Below median | 6 | $1 | $152 | $151 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $5 | $51 | $46 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 5 | $4 | $14 | $10 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Whirlwind-Milk 0xe022…12c5 | No | +137 | $137 | $137 | 1 | 05-14 13:38 |
| Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | +135 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-14 03:59 |
| Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | Yes | +90 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 06:34 |
| Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | +79 | $78 | $78 | 9 | 05-13 23:27 |
| Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-14 14:51 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +49 | $49 | $49 | 2 | 05-14 14:28 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +36 | $35 | $35 | 5 | 05-14 15:08 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | +35 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 11:00 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 09:53 |
| Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | +30 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 07:39 |
| Polished-Lumberman 0x492e…c50b | No | +29 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 05-13 23:25 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +24 | $24 | $24 | 2 | 05-13 08:39 |
| Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | +22 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-13 06:04 |
| Odd-Canoe 0x6e2a…967b | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 20:37 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2b2…4def | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 08:49 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +12 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-14 13:07 |
| Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-13 05:16 |
| Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | +12 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-13 06:04 |
| Monumental-Meme 0xb733…cdcd | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 03:16 |
| Knowledgeable-Card 0x608a…966b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 13:05 |
| (anonymous) 0xf787…7b27 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 10:08 |
| Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 13:19 |
| Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 10:23 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 13:19 |
| Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 23:46 |
| Courageous-Fahrenheit 0x87bf…99db | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 06:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 15:08:30 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 8 | 100¢ | $8 | 0xbe4a4b… |
| 05-14 15:08:28 | Daring-Endpoint 0x010f…6a79 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc9d2c0… |
| 05-14 14:51:16 | Enchanting-Palm 0xeb1d…59b0 | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0xb441dd… |
| 05-14 14:28:08 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xe72bbf… |
| 05-14 13:56:03 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0x10a1af… |
| 05-14 13:38:14 | Whirlwind-Milk 0xe022…12c5 | No | BUY | 137 | 100¢ | $137 | 0x5b7993… |
| 05-14 13:19:23 | Rapid-Vendor 0x4560…8ce8 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7ca142… |
| 05-14 13:19:20 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x9133a9… |
| 05-14 13:07:54 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd0049f… |
| 05-14 13:05:39 | Knowledgeable-Card 0x608a…966b | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0xfd3659… |
| 05-14 11:00:12 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe15ebf… |
| 05-14 11:00:12 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 9¢ | $3 | 0x5ade56… |
| 05-14 11:00:11 | Better-Webinar 0x3f26…abba | Yes | SELL | 41 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xcb0d9d… |
| 05-14 10:23:57 | Elastic-Consist 0xa6c0…4606 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x3834ca… |
| 05-14 08:49:20 | (anonymous) 0xe2b2…4def | No | BUY | 15 | 98¢ | $15 | 0x099be5… |
| 05-14 06:34:02 | Impeccable-Room 0x4ce3…4291 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 5¢ | $5 | 0xe4c17e… |
| 05-14 03:59:02 | Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x8e55c8… |
| 05-14 03:16:13 | Monumental-Meme 0xb733…cdcd | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0xde3200… |
| 05-14 01:01:13 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x3d53b6… |
| 05-14 00:41:56 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x1e71e4… |
| 05-13 23:27:05 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x01dbef… |
| 05-13 23:27:00 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb1a18b… |
| 05-13 23:25:57 | Polished-Lumberman 0x492e…c50b | No | BUY | 15 | 99¢ | $15 | 0x17bf7c… |
| 05-13 23:25:52 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 19 | 99¢ | $18 | 0x69475f… |
| 05-13 23:25:52 | Polished-Lumberman 0x492e…c50b | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x17d35d… |
| 05-13 23:25:50 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xbc9e34… |
| 05-13 22:16:01 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xf5e968… |
| 05-13 22:15:59 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xa2c956… |
| 05-13 22:15:57 | Polished-Lumberman 0x492e…c50b | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x96f508… |
| 05-13 22:15:57 | Polished-Lumberman 0x492e…c50b | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x1961cf… |
| 05-13 22:15:55 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbf8741… |
| 05-13 22:15:52 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x7fce91… |
| 05-13 22:15:50 | Velvety-Moonscape 0xf7a2…c0c5 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x64b13b… |
| 05-13 20:37:52 | Odd-Canoe 0x6e2a…967b | Yes | BUY | 18 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x7e9190… |
| 05-13 19:37:49 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x6d9d58… |
| 05-13 13:03:29 | Swift-Symptom 0xd6d9…cf16 | Yes | BUY | 67 | 4¢ | $3 | 0x2f2b71… |
| 05-13 10:08:04 | (anonymous) 0xf787…7b27 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x8c991c… |
| 05-13 09:53:06 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x373157… |
| 05-13 09:19:44 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x91b37c… |
| 05-13 08:39:49 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x80f9a5… |
| 05-13 07:39:42 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 16 | 98¢ | $16 | 0xcf12eb… |
| 05-13 07:39:42 | Trained-Logo 0x2c66…f4d3 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xf66792… |
| 05-13 07:31:34 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x70d3db… |
| 05-13 06:04:28 | Courageous-Fahrenheit 0x87bf…99db | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x55ee01… |
| 05-13 06:04:07 | Massive-Distribution 0x75f3…fe29 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x1e07b3… |
| 05-13 06:04:07 | Far-Off-Grid 0xae6e…b4be | No | BUY | 22 | 98¢ | $21 | 0xc4dff8… |
| 05-13 05:16:19 | Joint-Lard 0x942e…be27 | No | BUY | 12 | 98¢ | $12 | 0x57044e… |
| 05-13 05:09:33 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xd7657d… |
| 05-12 23:46:54 | Exalted-Birdbath 0xc090…e1ef | No | BUY | 2 | 97¢ | $2 | 0xaf78c3… |