Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 end of April?
closed
Total volume
$1,182
Trades
74
Unique wallets
23
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-04-30
First seen
2026-04-14
last 04-30 22:36
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-5.1¢
(top1%: 30% YES on $41
vs crowd: 35% YES on $706)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $9 | $166 | $157 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $162 | $282 | $120 |
| 🐟 Fish | 8 | $26 | $9 | +$17 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $52 | — | +$52 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 3 | $12 | $29 | $16 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $5 | $23 | $19 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $0 | $10 | $10 |
| Median | 2 | $62 | $84 | $21 |
| Below median | 7 | $156 | $160 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $10 | — | +$10 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $3 | $147 | $144 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb | No | +137 | $137 | $137 | 1 | 04-30 22:36 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-30 22:36 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | +75 | $29 | $29 | 4 | 04-27 19:06 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +37 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-30 22:36 |
| Winding-Beating 0xb16d…e427 | Yes | +32 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 04-22 18:26 |
| Valid-Month 0xd10b…9f18 | Yes | +17 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 04-27 19:06 |
| Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | +15 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 04-29 13:32 |
| Early-Chord 0xde19…0595 | Yes | +14 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 04-27 11:34 |
| Flimsy-Maybe 0xc41a…a483 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-30 17:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xfc33…9636 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-15 13:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-30 17:19 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-30 17:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xbe9f…014a | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 04-29 12:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 22:36:52 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 37 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x710adc… |
| 04-30 22:36:52 | Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb | No | BUY | 137 | 100¢ | $137 | 0x710adc… |
| 04-30 22:36:52 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x710adc… |
| 04-30 17:19:58 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5776a5… |
| 04-30 17:19:58 | Flimsy-Maybe 0xc41a…a483 | No | BUY | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x5776a5… |
| 04-30 17:19:58 | (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5776a5… |
| 04-29 13:32:02 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xd6d63c… |
| 04-29 13:32:02 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 5 | 53¢ | $3 | 0xd6d63c… |
| 04-29 12:29:24 | Impure-Township 0x38d8…ea7c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x97451f… |
| 04-29 12:29:24 | (anonymous) 0xbe9f…014a | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x97451f… |
| 04-28 19:05:48 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | Yes | BUY | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x5559ae… |
| 04-28 19:05:48 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | SELL | 10 | 55¢ | $6 | 0x5559ae… |
| 04-27 19:06:38 | Valid-Month 0xd10b…9f18 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 58¢ | $5 | 0x93a055… |
| 04-27 19:06:38 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 17 | 42¢ | $7 | 0x93a055… |
| 04-27 18:50:12 | Valid-Month 0xd10b…9f18 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 60¢ | $5 | 0xcda516… |
| 04-27 18:50:12 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 8 | 40¢ | $3 | 0xcda516… |
| 04-27 18:14:34 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…3dc9 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 55¢ | $28 | 0xdcd7a4… |
| 04-27 18:14:34 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | No | SELL | 50 | 45¢ | $22 | 0xdcd7a4… |
| 04-27 18:14:22 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…3dc9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 55¢ | $28 | 0xaac072… |
| 04-27 18:14:22 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | No | BUY | 50 | 45¢ | $22 | 0xaac072… |
| 04-27 11:34:20 | Early-Chord 0xde19…0595 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 61¢ | $9 | 0x326d3c… |
| 04-27 11:34:20 | Understated-Logic 0x8e0c…7fa3 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 61¢ | $9 | 0x326d3c… |
| 04-25 01:39:16 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | Yes | SELL | 50 | 41¢ | $20 | 0x02524e… |
| 04-25 01:39:16 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | No | SELL | 50 | 59¢ | $30 | 0x02524e… |
| 04-25 01:39:02 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | No | BUY | 50 | 59¢ | $30 | 0xf334f2… |
| 04-25 01:39:02 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 41¢ | $20 | 0xf334f2… |
| 04-24 11:38:00 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | Yes | SELL | 50 | 32¢ | $16 | 0xb03fa2… |
| 04-24 11:38:00 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…3dc9 | No | SELL | 50 | 68¢ | $34 | 0xb03fa2… |
| 04-24 11:37:48 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 32¢ | $16 | 0x405d70… |
| 04-24 11:37:48 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…3dc9 | No | BUY | 50 | 68¢ | $34 | 0x405d70… |
| 04-24 04:01:20 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 8 | 58¢ | $4 | 0x14500a… |
| 04-24 04:01:20 | Unwieldy-Television 0x14c2…b37c | Yes | SELL | 31 | 37¢ | $12 | 0x14500a… |
| 04-24 04:01:20 | Understated-Logic 0x8e0c…7fa3 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 32¢ | $5 | 0x14500a… |
| 04-24 04:01:20 | Understated-Logic 0x8e0c…7fa3 | No | SELL | 10 | 58¢ | $6 | 0x14500a… |
| 04-23 13:45:04 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 8 | 45¢ | $3 | 0x19ec90… |
| 04-23 13:45:04 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 17 | 45¢ | $8 | 0x19ec90… |
| 04-23 13:45:04 | Understated-Logic 0x8e0c…7fa3 | No | SELL | 10 | 45¢ | $4 | 0x19ec90… |
| 04-22 18:26:08 | Winding-Beating 0xb16d…e427 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 68¢ | $22 | 0x45c177… |
| 04-22 18:26:08 | Naive-Lotion 0x1755…5aac | No | BUY | 32 | 32¢ | $10 | 0x45c177… |
| 04-22 05:21:30 | Understated-Logic 0x8e0c…7fa3 | No | BUY | 16 | 35¢ | $6 | 0xf08f0d… |
| 04-22 05:21:30 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 15 | 38¢ | $6 | 0xf08f0d… |
| 04-22 05:21:30 | Unwieldy-Television 0x14c2…b37c | Yes | BUY | 31 | 64¢ | $20 | 0xf08f0d… |
| 04-20 23:08:10 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0x3fc97f… |
| 04-20 23:08:10 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | No | SELL | 50 | 61¢ | $30 | 0x3fc97f… |
| 04-20 23:07:46 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 39¢ | $20 | 0x7f3c47… |
| 04-20 23:07:46 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | No | BUY | 50 | 61¢ | $30 | 0x7f3c47… |
| 04-20 14:06:40 | Understated-Logic 0x8e0c…7fa3 | No | SELL | 5 | 48¢ | $2 | 0xfc42b5… |
| 04-20 14:06:40 | (anonymous) 0xdad6…0d14 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 52¢ | $3 | 0xfc42b5… |
| 04-20 10:46:14 | Understated-Logic 0x8e0c…7fa3 | No | BUY | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x5a0fe7… |
| 04-20 10:46:14 | (anonymous) 0xdad6…0d14 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 58¢ | $3 | 0x5a0fe7… |
| 04-20 08:20:18 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | Yes | SELL | 50 | 37¢ | $18 | 0x65f46e… |
| 04-20 08:20:18 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | No | SELL | 50 | 63¢ | $32 | 0x65f46e… |
| 04-20 08:19:50 | (anonymous) 0x3dfb…ebbf | Yes | BUY | 50 | 37¢ | $18 | 0xa87562… |
| 04-20 08:19:50 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | No | BUY | 50 | 63¢ | $32 | 0xa87562… |
| 04-18 20:30:00 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…3dc9 | No | SELL | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0x37a215… |
| 04-18 20:30:00 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 40¢ | $20 | 0x37a215… |
| 04-18 20:29:44 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 40¢ | $20 | 0x077a6d… |
| 04-18 20:29:44 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…3dc9 | No | BUY | 50 | 60¢ | $30 | 0x077a6d… |
| 04-17 01:34:22 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 42¢ | $21 | 0x4e82ec… |
| 04-17 01:34:22 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…3dc9 | No | SELL | 50 | 58¢ | $29 | 0x4e82ec… |
| 04-17 01:33:52 | (anonymous) 0x7c15…9667 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 42¢ | $21 | 0xe62228… |
| 04-17 01:33:52 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…3dc9 | No | BUY | 50 | 58¢ | $29 | 0xe62228… |
| 04-17 00:24:52 | Slimy-Ottoman 0xa109…7e42 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xbbc70e… |
| 04-17 00:24:52 | Understated-Logic 0x8e0c…7fa3 | No | SELL | 20 | 51¢ | $10 | 0xbbc70e… |
| 04-16 12:30:42 | Understated-Logic 0x8e0c…7fa3 | No | BUY | 20 | 46¢ | $9 | 0xf21b90… |
| 04-16 12:30:42 | Slimy-Ottoman 0xa109…7e42 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 54¢ | $11 | 0xf21b90… |
| 04-15 16:19:02 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…3dc9 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x72a81a… |
| 04-15 16:19:02 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | No | SELL | 50 | 72¢ | $36 | 0x72a81a… |
| 04-15 16:18:34 | (anonymous) 0x370e…5df3 | No | BUY | 50 | 72¢ | $36 | 0x54a80f… |
| 04-15 16:18:34 | (anonymous) 0xdbde…3dc9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 28¢ | $14 | 0x54a80f… |
| 04-15 13:46:58 | Understated-Logic 0x8e0c…7fa3 | No | SELL | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x3edef3… |
| 04-15 13:46:58 | (anonymous) 0xfc33…9636 | No | BUY | 7 | 71¢ | $5 | 0x3edef3… |
| 04-14 21:21:02 | Scientific-Impala 0x07d1…8ffa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 37¢ | $4 | 0x148285… |
| 04-14 21:21:02 | Understated-Logic 0x8e0c…7fa3 | No | BUY | 10 | 63¢ | $6 | 0x148285… |