Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 14?
open
Total volume
$265
$1,390 in 24h
Trades
28
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$549
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-14
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 06:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $13 | $13 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 20 | $20 | $230 | $210 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $12 | $17 | $5 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $5 | $4 | +$1 |
| Median | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
| Below median | 6 | $1 | $129 | $128 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $1 | $34 | $33 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $50 | $50 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x6341…c64d | No | +107 | $103 | $103 | 1 | 05-14 06:26 |
| Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | +73 | $10 | $10 | 3 | 05-13 06:04 |
| Somber-Chutney 0x6fda…8858 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-13 21:44 |
| Upright-Logistics 0x75b9…0893 | Yes | +43 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 05-13 20:33 |
| Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | No | +30 | $28 | $28 | 2 | 05-14 04:09 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +19 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 02:29 |
| Glorious-Hammer 0x22be…ba43 | No | +16 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-14 06:16 |
| Cold-Hog 0x81a6…070f | Yes | +14 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 12:18 |
| United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 19:11 |
| Fatal-Gnat 0x6dc3…3472 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 04:50 |
| Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 03:28 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 05:42 |
| Worried-Reinscription-Deduction 0x6d75…4f96 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-14 06:39 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 04:20 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 22:46 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 05:40 |
| Uncomfortable-Smith 0x4d3e…2e20 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 22:22 |
| Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 06:20 |
| Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:42 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 06:39:01 | Worried-Reinscription-Deduction 0x6d75…4f96 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x83e5c6… |
| 05-14 06:28:59 | All-Committee 0x6a56…be30 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x2840db… |
| 05-14 06:26:15 | (anonymous) 0x6341…c64d | No | BUY | 107 | 96¢ | $103 | 0xcd7642… |
| 05-14 06:20:53 | Dirty-Exaggeration 0x8e86…f73b | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0x9b3567… |
| 05-14 06:16:25 | Glorious-Hammer 0x22be…ba43 | No | BUY | 16 | 96¢ | $15 | 0x681e19… |
| 05-14 05:40:34 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x883c1b… |
| 05-14 04:50:56 | Fatal-Gnat 0x6dc3…3472 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x03439d… |
| 05-14 04:20:53 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 8 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xb589f8… |
| 05-14 04:09:36 | Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x118b3c… |
| 05-14 04:09:25 | Honest-Zoology 0x1796…c490 | No | BUY | 25 | 95¢ | $24 | 0x4e814e… |
| 05-14 02:29:14 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 19 | 9¢ | $2 | 0x30c08c… |
| 05-13 23:55:02 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 10¢ | $0 | 0xf86518… |
| 05-13 23:55:02 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 10¢ | $0 | 0x8e1e34… |
| 05-13 22:46:54 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 6 | 90¢ | $5 | 0x835109… |
| 05-13 22:22:01 | Uncomfortable-Smith 0x4d3e…2e20 | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $4 | 0x56980b… |
| 05-13 21:44:36 | Somber-Chutney 0x6fda…8858 | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0x28589f… |
| 05-13 20:37:52 | Worried-Reinscription-Deduction 0x6d75…4f96 | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x238285… |
| 05-13 20:33:49 | Upright-Logistics 0x75b9…0893 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 12¢ | $2 | 0x17fabb… |
| 05-13 20:33:49 | Upright-Logistics 0x75b9…0893 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 12¢ | $4 | 0xa20add… |
| 05-13 19:11:35 | United-Dandelion 0x3f0b…d571 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0x9f4710… |
| 05-13 13:03:09 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc2ffec… |
| 05-13 12:18:20 | Cold-Hog 0x81a6…070f | Yes | BUY | 14 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x57dcca… |
| 05-13 06:04:00 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 13¢ | $4 | 0x167aca… |
| 05-13 05:42:51 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xda350a… |
| 05-13 05:42:29 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 91¢ | $9 | 0x187309… |
| 05-13 03:28:52 | Guilty-Matter 0x6c1c…5650 | No | BUY | 10 | 89¢ | $9 | 0xe68af1… |
| 05-13 00:36:08 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xdc4d4c… |
| 05-13 00:03:34 | Feisty-Rabbit 0x80cb…4629 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 16¢ | $4 | 0x127229… |