Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on May 10?
open
Total volume
$230
$556 in 24h
Trades
23
Unique wallets
21
Liquidity
$1,989
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-09
last 05-10 10:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | — | $138 | $138 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $0 | $92 | $92 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $0 | $40 | $40 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $85 | $85 |
| Median | 4 | — | $15 | $15 |
| Below median | 4 | — | $39 | $39 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $38 | $38 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $13 | $13 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +80 | $80 | $80 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-10 10:51 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-10 04:43 |
| Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | +28 | $28 | $28 | 3 | 05-10 08:13 |
| Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-10 05:06 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | +19 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Admired-Dead 0x707e…7c09 | No | +13 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-10 02:51 |
| Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-09 02:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x1cbe…7b9b | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-10 04:26 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 01:00 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 08:07 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 15:52 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 10:51:43 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0ad856… |
| 05-10 08:38:20 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9dee5c… |
| 05-10 08:13:10 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 18 | 100¢ | $18 | 0xb32ae8… |
| 05-10 08:07:44 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x6f4a00… |
| 05-10 07:26:51 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x88c918… |
| 05-10 07:26:47 | Necessary-Pentagon 0xfd55…f905 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xbbdebd… |
| 05-10 05:06:19 | Ornate-Tale 0x8544…bd34 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x4f062b… |
| 05-10 04:43:52 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0x8a68d7… |
| 05-10 04:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x1cbe…7b9b | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x28da3e… |
| 05-10 02:51:01 | Admired-Dead 0x707e…7c09 | No | BUY | 13 | 100¢ | $13 | 0xe9b604… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1437a2… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | No | BUY | 19 | 100¢ | $19 | 0xcb6ec1… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8716bb… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2bf78a… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x47d7cf… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd864a0… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 80 | 100¢ | $80 | 0x2e78cd… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x32b8eb… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4d7cdf… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe70ba2… |
| 05-10 01:00:48 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x131018… |
| 05-09 15:52:38 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xd05c7e… |
| 05-09 02:00:20 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | BUY | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x152125… |