Will Ethereum reach $2,400 on May 14?
open
Total volume
$4,523
Trades
58
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$119
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 00:41
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-4.1¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $2.7K
vs crowd: 4% YES on $4.5K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $152 | $2.9K | $2.8K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $1 | $1.3K | $1.3K |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $21 | $35 | $14 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 14 | $8 | $22 | $14 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $2.7K | $2.7K |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $2 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $4 | $4 |
| Median | 6 | $0 | $17 | $16 |
| Below median | 4 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $19 | — | +$19 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 7 | $6 | $35 | $29 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $152 | — | +$152 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | +2,403 | $2,251 | $2,251 | 3 | 05-14 18:13 |
| Made-Up-Cream 0x104a…5b05 | Yes | +2,117 | $127 | $127 | 1 | 05-14 16:20 |
| 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 0x503f…8989 | No | +1,305 | $1,304 | $1,304 | 1 | 05-14 23:52 |
| Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | +970 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1 | Yes | +505 | $25 | $25 | 5 | 05-14 17:06 |
| Ambitious-Cicada 0xf70e…81df | No | +500 | $475 | $475 | 5 | 05-14 17:06 |
| Skeletal-Schooner 0x3b83…008b | Yes | +200 | $19 | $19 | 1 | 05-14 17:07 |
| Unlined-Fine 0x3cee…edcd | No | +185 | $183 | $183 | 3 | 05-14 21:20 |
| Damp-School 0xa76f…0cdf | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 23:52 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 23:52 |
| Haunting-Pump 0xc376…24dc | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:19 |
| Downright-Olive 0x76ce…f48b | Yes | +86 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 18:13 |
| Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | +70 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 21:20 |
| Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | +55 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-14 23:52 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 23:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x329d…ece6 | Yes | +30 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-14 17:06 |
| Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | +17 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-14 11:28 |
| Discrete-Mussel 0x3d8d…a7e9 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 06:18 |
| Notable-Speech 0x174b…6ae0 | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 11:04 |
| Oblong-Spice 0x9bc6…3a1b | No | +7 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 11:04 |
| Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 21:19 |
| Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 21:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-14 23:52 |
| Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 00:41 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-14 21:19 |
| High-Level-Expertise 0x4912…358c | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 11:28 |
| Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 18:13 |
| Poised-Barn 0x792d…af4d | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 20:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 00:41:43 | Reasonable-Mover 0x0f62…922e | No | BUY | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x224128… |
| 05-15 00:41:43 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | SELL | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5f95c8… |
| 05-15 00:41:43 | Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | SELL | 5 | 100¢ | $5 | 0x224128… |
| 05-15 00:41:43 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x5f95c8… |
| 05-14 23:52:38 | Colorful-Lyre 0x58fc…704f | Yes | BUY | 1,000 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xef574a… |
| 05-14 23:52:38 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xef574a… |
| 05-14 23:52:38 | (anonymous) 0x3424…5d5e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xef574a… |
| 05-14 23:52:38 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xef574a… |
| 05-14 23:52:38 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xef574a… |
| 05-14 23:52:38 | Damp-School 0xa76f…0cdf | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xef574a… |
| 05-14 23:52:38 | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 0x503f…8989 | No | BUY | 1,305 | 100¢ | $1,304 | 0xef574a… |
| 05-14 21:20:02 | Evil-Row 0x7495…7fcf | Yes | BUY | 70 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf57327… |
| 05-14 21:20:02 | Unlined-Fine 0x3cee…edcd | No | BUY | 70 | 99¢ | $70 | 0xf57327… |
| 05-14 21:19:41 | Unlined-Fine 0x3cee…edcd | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5b1c16… |
| 05-14 21:19:41 | Wordy-Doctrine 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x5b1c16… |
| 05-14 21:19:21 | Unlined-Fine 0x3cee…edcd | No | BUY | 110 | 99¢ | $109 | 0xc598ab… |
| 05-14 21:19:21 | Haunting-Pump 0xc376…24dc | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xc598ab… |
| 05-14 21:19:21 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc598ab… |
| 05-14 21:19:21 | Grandiose-Layer 0x26aa…9d4d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xc598ab… |
| 05-14 20:17:12 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xba21a4… |
| 05-14 20:17:12 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xba21a4… |
| 05-14 20:17:12 | Poised-Barn 0x792d…af4d | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xba21a4… |
| 05-14 18:13:29 | Attractive-Wasabi 0x4a8f…f793 | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x2e9694… |
| 05-14 18:13:29 | Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x2e9694… |
| 05-14 18:13:27 | Downright-Olive 0x76ce…f48b | Yes | BUY | 86 | 6¢ | $5 | 0xa6f7a4… |
| 05-14 18:13:27 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 86 | 94¢ | $81 | 0xa6f7a4… |
| 05-14 17:07:37 | Skeletal-Schooner 0x3b83…008b | Yes | BUY | 200 | 10¢ | $19 | 0xa95008… |
| 05-14 17:07:37 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 200 | 90¢ | $181 | 0xa95008… |
| 05-14 17:06:32 | (anonymous) 0x329d…ece6 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 6¢ | $1 | 0xf48343… |
| 05-14 17:06:32 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $9 | 0xf48343… |
| 05-14 17:06:31 | Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x2c8144… |
| 05-14 17:06:31 | Ambitious-Cicada 0xf70e…81df | No | BUY | 113 | 95¢ | $107 | 0x2c8144… |
| 05-14 17:06:31 | Ambitious-Cicada 0xf70e…81df | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5cb66f… |
| 05-14 17:06:31 | Ambitious-Cicada 0xf70e…81df | No | BUY | 156 | 95¢ | $148 | 0x153c7e… |
| 05-14 17:06:31 | Ambitious-Cicada 0xf70e…81df | No | BUY | 113 | 95¢ | $107 | 0x595e97… |
| 05-14 17:06:31 | (anonymous) 0x3973…2bcf | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x5cb66f… |
| 05-14 17:06:31 | Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x595e97… |
| 05-14 17:06:31 | Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 5¢ | $6 | 0x383038… |
| 05-14 17:06:31 | Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1 | Yes | BUY | 156 | 5¢ | $8 | 0x153c7e… |
| 05-14 17:06:31 | Ambitious-Cicada 0xf70e…81df | No | BUY | 113 | 95¢ | $107 | 0x383038… |
| 05-14 16:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x329d…ece6 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x1f7b94… |
| 05-14 16:59:43 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 7 | 94¢ | $6 | 0x1f7b94… |
| 05-14 16:59:41 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 10 | 95¢ | $10 | 0x1733a9… |
| 05-14 16:59:41 | Crooked-Noir 0x4ee2…46e1 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x1733a9… |
| 05-14 16:20:13 | Made-Up-Cream 0x104a…5b05 | Yes | BUY | 2,117 | 6¢ | $127 | 0xca308a… |
| 05-14 16:20:13 | Impressive-Steak 0x06dc…4524 | No | BUY | 2,117 | 94¢ | $1,990 | 0xca308a… |
| 05-14 16:05:35 | (anonymous) 0x3973…2bcf | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb50610… |
| 05-14 16:05:35 | Acidic-Lychee 0xb692…7c83 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb50610… |
| 05-14 16:00:20 | (anonymous) 0x3973…2bcf | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x40dc0c… |
| 05-14 16:00:20 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | SELL | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0x40dc0c… |
| 05-14 11:28:58 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | BUY | 4 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x7c212d… |
| 05-14 11:28:58 | High-Level-Expertise 0x4912…358c | No | BUY | 4 | 99¢ | $4 | 0x7c212d… |
| 05-14 11:04:19 | Oblong-Spice 0x9bc6…3a1b | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x8494fa… |
| 05-14 11:04:19 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8494fa… |
| 05-14 11:04:17 | Celebrated-Plain 0x6fd0…a85b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x3351ea… |
| 05-14 11:04:17 | Notable-Speech 0x174b…6ae0 | No | BUY | 7 | 99¢ | $7 | 0x3351ea… |
| 05-14 06:18:43 | Discrete-Mussel 0x3d8d…a7e9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2bd1b3… |
| 05-14 06:18:43 | (anonymous) 0x2e1e…f936 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x2bd1b3… |