Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on May 8?
open
Total volume
$1,060
$4,667 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$2,598
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-08 09:20
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $503 | $503 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $10 | $547 | $536 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $1 | $509 | $507 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 5 | — | $411 | $411 |
| Median | 7 | $0 | $125 | $125 |
| Below median | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $0 | $5 | $5 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 1 | $5 | — | +$5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boring-Supply 0xc4ca…f855 | Yes | +667 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 19:16 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +421 | $4 | $4 | 3 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | No | +333 | $330 | $330 | 1 | 05-07 19:16 |
| Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | +326 | $324 | $324 | 6 | 05-08 09:05 |
| Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | +180 | $179 | $179 | 2 | 05-08 08:20 |
| Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | +141 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 07:43 |
| Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | +91 | $90 | $90 | 1 | 05-06 18:06 |
| Next-Chin 0xcbc1…99e6 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-08 08:15 |
| Monstrous-Amber 0x46c6…3bd0 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-08 00:09 |
| Buzzing-Access 0xb060…9572 | No | +17 | $17 | $17 | 1 | 05-08 06:19 |
| Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +6 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-08 09:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x8f85…7ae1 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 05:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xda15…6811 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 05:33 |
| Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-07 23:01 |
| Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 08:20 |
| Rapid-Medication 0x5201…34c3 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 04:33 |
| Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 08:20 |
| (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-06 05:15 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 09:20:12 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x50774e… |
| 05-08 09:05:05 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 198 | 100¢ | $197 | 0x9ccbc9… |
| 05-08 08:20:12 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 80 | 99¢ | $79 | 0x26d753… |
| 05-08 08:20:12 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | No | BUY | 100 | 99¢ | $99 | 0x04a497… |
| 05-08 08:20:12 | Greedy-Diffuse 0xedbd…dd60 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x04b5ba… |
| 05-08 08:20:12 | Stormy-Conspirator 0x3d1d…9e61 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xcd7191… |
| 05-08 08:15:55 | Next-Chin 0xcbc1…99e6 | No | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x9b39df… |
| 05-08 07:43:55 | Metallic-Intelligence 0xbc80…56a7 | Yes | BUY | 141 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x722ead… |
| 05-08 06:24:05 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 8 | 99¢ | $8 | 0x9512a8… |
| 05-08 06:19:23 | Buzzing-Access 0xb060…9572 | No | BUY | 17 | 99¢ | $17 | 0x170270… |
| 05-08 05:38:12 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x8bc637… |
| 05-08 05:33:41 | (anonymous) 0xda15…6811 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x913a6e… |
| 05-08 05:33:41 | (anonymous) 0x8f85…7ae1 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x5f26a6… |
| 05-08 04:33:15 | Rapid-Medication 0x5201…34c3 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb098a9… |
| 05-08 00:09:42 | Monstrous-Amber 0x46c6…3bd0 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0x06beac… |
| 05-07 23:01:17 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 188 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xa90d95… |
| 05-07 23:01:17 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 188 | 1¢ | $2 | 0xaf0ee6… |
| 05-07 23:01:11 | Handmade-Retrospect 0x0b42…9fc4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x58faab… |
| 05-07 23:01:06 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | BUY | 2 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x361dac… |
| 05-07 19:16:17 | Super-Drain 0xa907…ba96 | No | BUY | 333 | 99¢ | $330 | 0xe90aee… |
| 05-07 19:16:01 | Boring-Supply 0xc4ca…f855 | Yes | BUY | 667 | 1¢ | $5 | 0x052116… |
| 05-07 08:40:27 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0xb9eb83… |
| 05-07 08:40:01 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 20 | 100¢ | $20 | 0x86c0ca… |
| 05-07 08:33:59 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 20 | 99¢ | $20 | 0xa10aef… |
| 05-07 08:33:53 | Ultimate-Millstone 0xd934…60a0 | No | BUY | 60 | 99¢ | $60 | 0x4b1e65… |
| 05-07 03:08:13 | Granular-Lamb-Item 0x0ba3…57bc | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb01be0… |
| 05-06 18:06:13 | Candid-Shearling 0x0878…7b50 | No | BUY | 91 | 99¢ | $90 | 0x6c0db3… |
| 05-06 13:52:38 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 46 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x323b81… |
| 05-06 05:15:00 | (anonymous) 0x805a…ff74 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xda4a65… |