Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$87,777

Trades

8,495

Unique wallets

1,473

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-02-15

First seen

2026-02-14

last 02-15 16:32

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +10,000 Finished-Wheel +5,319 (anon) +4,404 Biodegradable-Methane +3,015 Sturdy-Chinchilla +1,466 (anon) +1,250 Insecure-Bat +1,200 (anon) +1,090

NO holders

(anon) +2,400 (anon) +2,293 (anon) +2,100 Pale-Raid +2,000 (anon) +1,811 (anon) +1,538 (anon) +1,500 Rash-Consul +1,500

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: +7.5¢ (top1%: 94% YES on $26.9K vs crowd: 86% YES on $74.1K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	88	$38.1K	$2.2K	+$35.9K
🐬 Dolphin	288	$16.5K	$3.9K	+$12.6K
🐟 Fish	511	$6.2K	$2.7K	+$3.6K
🦐 Shrimp	586	$2.9K	$1.5K	+$1.5K

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	77	$25.2K	$1.7K	+$23.5K
🏆 Top 5%	152	$5.2K	$710	+$4.5K
✅ Top 10%	104	$1.2K	$1.2K	+$3
Median	154	$1.1K	$270	+$805
Below median	500	$4.0K	$1.1K	+$2.9K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	205	$2.2K	$982	+$1.2K
🔻 Bottom 5%	212	$11.8K	$2.2K	+$9.7K
💀 Bottom 1%	69	$13.1K	$2.1K	+$11.0K

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0xd84c…07b9	Up	+10,000	$9,900	$9,900	5	02-15 16:29
Finished-Wheel 0x1615…8f2b	Up	+5,319	$5,265	$5,265	42	02-15 16:31
(anonymous) 0xba26…23c9	Up	+4,404	$4,390	$4,390	6	02-15 16:32
Biodegradable-Methane 0x5dcf…75b9	Up	+3,015	$2,955	$2,955	6	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0xd871…7784	Down	+2,400	$752	$752	89	02-15 16:26
(anonymous) 0xc069…3f76	Down	+2,293	$60	$60	3	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x7651…251a	Down	+2,100	$4	$4	2	02-15 16:31
Pale-Raid 0x7024…4c4c	Down	+2,000	$20	$20	29	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x4b29…1f46	Down	+1,811	$455	$455	27	02-15 16:28
(anonymous) 0x6127…c977	Down	+1,538	$366	$366	113	02-15 16:28
(anonymous) 0x6a5c…a707	Down	+1,500	$2	$2	2	02-15 16:31
Rash-Consul 0x2cce…6e85	Down	+1,500	$557	$557	47	02-15 16:27
Sturdy-Chinchilla 0xd1dc…cc46	Up	+1,466	$1,441	$1,441	35	02-15 16:31
Beneficial-Fish 0x74d0…79ce	Down	+1,400	$363	$363	130	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x420b…3e0a	Up	+1,250	$1,236	$1,236	18	02-15 16:29
Insecure-Bat 0x6503…09f6	Up	+1,200	$1,188	$1,188	19	02-15 16:29
Wobbly-Assumption 0x7a90…2827	Down	+1,135	$65	$65	2	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x6127…c977	Up	+1,090	$751	$751	75	02-15 16:28
Sweltering-Gang 0x061d…48ea	Down	+1,084	$20	$20	1	02-15 16:29
Tender-Vernacular 0x48b0…a348	Down	+1,052	$25	$25	30	02-15 16:29
Emotional-Convenience 0x2358…8986	Up	+1,049	$1,039	$1,039	20	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x0ea5…17e4	Up	+1,014	$667	$667	107	02-15 16:26
Rundown-Brilliant 0xaf8b…15f1	Down	+1,000	$10	$10	1	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x97e6…0691	Down	+921	$18	$18	1	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x63ce…ba9a	Up	+919	$603	$603	60	02-15 16:27
(anonymous) 0xc527…9bf6	Down	+918	$150	$150	1	02-15 16:28
Excellent-Tonic 0x3239…6e1b	Up	+800	$792	$792	7	02-15 16:30
Beneficial-Fish 0x74d0…79ce	Up	+781	$593	$593	239	02-15 16:28
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Down	+662	$166	$166	81	02-15 16:28
(anonymous) 0x2dd2…096b	Up	+630	$400	$400	2	02-15 16:25
Poised-Classmate 0x41aa…dbd1	Down	+626	$13	$13	19	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Down	+624	$173	$173	45	02-15 16:28
(anonymous) 0xa840…62cf	Down	+600	$12	$12	4	02-15 16:29
Notable-Snuggle 0xadce…a482	Up	+600	$594	$594	7	02-15 16:31
Sweet-Rag 0xecbe…42ff	Down	+600	$18	$18	38	02-15 16:28
(anonymous) 0x03c3…3a1d	Up	+591	$498	$498	28	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x6837…9ca9	Down	+573	$139	$139	41	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0xf381…2b5d	Up	+573	$478	$478	40	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x6837…9ca9	Up	+571	$370	$370	25	02-15 16:26
(anonymous) 0xd0d6…93aa	Up	+569	$371	$371	37	02-15 16:26
Sturdy-Chinchilla 0xd1dc…cc46	Down	+555	$33	$33	43	02-15 16:28
Some-Dragonfruit 0x7c52…a569	Up	+554	$300	$300	1	02-15 16:24
Internal-Talk 0xa696…d40e	Up	+553	$496	$496	6	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x8102…53f2	Up	+553	$541	$541	1	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x36ed…04ec	Down	+550	$9	$9	18	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x2d8b…260a	Up	+544	$400	$400	33	02-15 16:28
(anonymous) 0x2807…27d5	Down	+518	$10	$10	2	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x34a8…b3e7	Up	+505	$500	$500	17	02-15 16:30
(anonymous) 0x65a7…95a0	Down	+503	$44	$116	5	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x70f0…8406	Down	+501	$5	$5	1	02-15 16:29
Notable-Snuggle 0xadce…a482	Down	+500	$25	$25	1	02-15 16:28
(anonymous) 0x1ef6…5fa4	Down	+494	$43	$79	4	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x6031…f96d	Up	+489	$344	$344	37	02-15 16:28
Poised-Classmate 0x41aa…dbd1	Up	+477	$462	$462	10	02-15 16:29
Excellent-Kitchen 0x7eef…44a0	Up	+470	$465	$465	1	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0xce9d…5382	Down	+443	$100	$100	1	02-15 16:27
(anonymous) 0x2208…248f	Up	+430	$400	$400	1	02-15 16:28
(anonymous) 0x81a8…9672	Down	+404	$4	$4	12	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x3fca…7afb	Up	+374	$370	$370	2	02-15 16:29
(anonymous) 0x81a8…9672	Up	+331	$299	$299	11	02-15 16:29